Numancia vs 
Oviedo• Copa del Rey, Spain
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 00:00 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 4.50 | 3.85 | 1.79 | 4.1% |
| Betfair | 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.91 | 6.6% |
| 1xBet | 3.83 | 3.54 | 1.90 | 7.0% |
| Marathonbet | 3.84 | 3.54 | 1.88 | 7.5% |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 9.3% |
| BetVictor | 3.70 | 3.20 | 1.95 | 9.6% |
| William Hill | 3.70 | 3.30 | 1.91 | 9.7% |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.85 | 12.0% |
| Pinnacle | 2.98 | 3.30 | 1.95 | 15.1% |
| Best of all books | 4.50 | 3.85 | 1.95 | -0.5% |
| Average | 3.72 | 3.45 | 1.90 | 8.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 19:31 UTC
Numancia
4W 4D 2L · goals 11:7 · per match 1.1 for, 0.7 against
| 24 Oct | H | Navalcarnero | 2-3 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | CF Talavera | 0-0 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Real Ávila | 1-1 | D |
| 4 Oct | A | Getafe II | 0-0 | D |
| 27 Sep | H | Guadalajara | 1-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | SS Reyes | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | A Madrid III | 2-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Atlético Paso | 2-0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Zaragoza | 2-1 | W |
| 17 May | A | Poblense | 1-2 | L |
Oviedo
5W 2D 3L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against
| 24 Oct | A | Almeria | 2-2 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | AD Ceuta FC | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Eibar | 3-1 | W |
| 2 Oct | A | Eldense | 1-4 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Sporting Gijon | 2-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Sabadell | 1-3 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Valladolid | 3-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | H | Burgos | 0-0 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Albacete | 1-0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Leganes | 0-1 | L |
Head to head
8 meetings · goals 10:10 · last 8: 2W 3D 3L for Numancia
| 28 Jun 2020Segunda División | Segunda División | Numancia1-0Oviedo |
| 6 Oct 2019Segunda División | Segunda División | Oviedo1-1Numancia |
| 19 May 2019Segunda División | Segunda División | Oviedo1-0Numancia |
| 7 Jan 2019Segunda División | Segunda División | Numancia2-3Oviedo |
| 29 Apr 2018Segunda División | Segunda División | Numancia3-0Oviedo |
| 25 Nov 2017Segunda División | Segunda División | Oviedo3-1Numancia |
| 11 Mar 2017Segunda División | Segunda División | Numancia0-0Oviedo |
| 2 Oct 2016Segunda División | Segunda División | Oviedo2-2Numancia |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.5% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.10 | 1.73 | 5.4% |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 6.4% |
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 1.67 | 7.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 1.67 | 7.1% |
| Betano | 2.05 | 1.70 | 7.6% |
| BetVictor | 2.07 | 1.64 | 9.3% |
| Pinnacle | 2.08 | 1.61 | 10.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.15 | 1.73 | 4.3% |
| Average | 2.10 | 1.67 | 7.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.87 | 1.90 | 6.1% |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 1.83 | 7.0% |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 1.75 | 7.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 1.79 | 7.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 1.80 | 8.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 1.77 | 8.6% |
| Betano | 1.87 | 1.80 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.00 | 1.90 | 2.6% |
| Average | 1.91 | 1.81 | 7.7% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Numancia at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and Oviedo at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.72 | 3.45 | 1.90, which imply roughly 26.9% for a Numancia win versus the model's 33%.
Over their last five matches, Numancia averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Oviedo averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: No predictions available.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.72 | 3.45 | 1.90 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.81 | 1.24 | 1.28 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.82 | 1.39 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.91 | 1.81 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.37 | 2.10 | 2.52 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.01 | 2.33 | 2.34 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 6.40 | 15.3 | 27.4 |
| HT X | 8.52 | 4.96 | 4.87 |
| HT 2 | 41.4 | 14.7 | 2.96 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.47 | 9.10 | 1.67 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.06 | 8.73 |
| 1.5 | 1.34 | 2.91 |
| 2.5 | 2.10 | 1.67 |
| 3.5 | 3.74 | 1.22 |
| 4.5 | 7.92 | 1.05 |
| 5.5 | 18.3 | 1.02 |
| 6.5 | 41.0 | – |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.01 | 8.50 |
| 1 | 1.06 | 6.77 |
| 1.25 | 1.20 | 3.81 |
| 1.75 | 1.43 | 2.52 |
| 2 | 1.57 | 2.17 |
| 2.25 | 1.84 | 1.84 |
| 2.75 | 2.42 | 1.47 |
| 3 | 3.05 | 1.30 |
| 3.25 | 3.40 | 1.25 |
| 3.75 | 4.96 | 1.11 |
| 4 | 7.20 | 1.03 |
| 4.25 | 7.60 | 1.03 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.25 | 3.04 | 1.31 |
| 0 | 2.63 | 1.41 |
| +0.25 | 2.07 | 1.65 |
| +0.5 | 1.78 | 1.93 |
| +0.75 | 1.58 | 2.19 |
| +1 | 1.38 | 2.79 |
14 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 7.60 | 1.06 |
| -1.25 | 8.90 | 1.01 |
| -1 | 8.30 | 1.02 |
| -0.75 | 4.84 | 1.13 |
| -0.5 | 3.37 | 1.27 |
| +1.25 | 1.29 | 3.16 |
| +1.5 | 1.25 | 3.48 |
| +1.75 | 1.14 | 4.71 |
| +2 | 1.06 | 6.80 |
| +2.25 | 1.07 | 6.68 |
| +2.5 | 1.07 | 7.41 |
| +2.75 | 1.06 | 8.25 |
| +3 | 1.01 | 9.90 |
| +3.5 | 1.01 | 13.0 |
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