Poblense vs 
AD Ceuta FC• Copa del Rey, Spain
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 05:48 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 5.00 | 4.40 | 1.64 | 3.7% |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 4.10 | 1.67 | 6.5% |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.33 | 1.57 | 6.8% |
| 1xBet | 4.74 | 4.20 | 1.61 | 7.0% |
| Marathonbet | 4.80 | 4.20 | 1.59 | 7.5% |
| Betano | 4.35 | 3.95 | 1.65 | 8.9% |
| William Hill | 4.50 | 4.00 | 1.62 | 9.0% |
| BetVictor | 4.75 | 3.90 | 1.60 | 9.2% |
| Best of all books | 5.00 | 4.40 | 1.67 | 2.6% |
| Average | 4.71 | 4.13 | 1.62 | 7.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 15:30 UTC
Poblense
4W 2D 4L · goals 9:10 · per match 0.9 for, 1.0 against
| 25 Oct | H | Peña Deportiva | 1-0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Yeclano | 2-2 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Castellón II | 2-1 | W |
| 4 Oct | A | Atlético Baleares | 1-2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Valencia II | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Alcoyano | 0-2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Castellonense | 1-2 | L |
| 6 Sep | A | La Nucía | 0-1 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | Atlético Baleares | 1-0 | W |
| 31 May | H | Águilas | 0-0 | D |
AD Ceuta FC
1W 2D 7L · goals 9:20 · per match 0.9 for, 2.0 against
| 25 Oct | A | Cadiz | 1-3 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Oviedo | 1-2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Sabadell | 1-2 | L |
| 4 Oct | A | Castellón | 1-1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Real Sociedad II | 3-1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Valladolid | 1-1 | D |
| 11 Sep | A | Burgos | 1-3 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Celta de Vigo II | 0-2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Mallorca | 0-3 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Las Palmas | 0-2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Poblense and AD Ceuta FC on record.
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 6.4% |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 2.15 | 6.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 2.12 | 7.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 2.12 | 7.1% |
| Betano | 1.65 | 2.07 | 8.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 2.07 | 8.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.67 | 2.15 | 6.4% |
| Average | 1.66 | 2.11 | 7.4% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.80 | 2.00 | 5.6% |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 7.1% |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 2.10 | 7.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.70 | 2.04 | 7.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 2.10 | 8.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 2.01 | 8.6% |
| Betano | 1.67 | 2.02 | 9.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.80 | 2.10 | 3.2% |
| Average | 1.71 | 2.04 | 7.7% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Poblense at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and AD Ceuta FC at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.68 | 4.15 | 1.60, which imply roughly 21.4% for a Poblense win versus the model's 33%.
Over their last five matches, Poblense averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; AD Ceuta FC averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: No predictions available.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.71 | 4.14 | 1.62 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.24 | 1.17 | 1.20 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 3.52 | 1.26 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.71 | 2.04 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.85 | 2.38 | 2.11 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.48 | 2.68 | 1.96 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 8.02 | 15.6 | 21.4 |
| HT X | 10.6 | 6.46 | 4.56 |
| HT 2 | 41.4 | 15.0 | 2.39 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.64 | 15.4 | 1.50 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 13.4 |
| 1.5 | 1.20 | 4.00 |
| 2.5 | 1.66 | 2.11 |
| 3.5 | 2.59 | 1.42 |
| 4.5 | 4.73 | 1.15 |
| 5.5 | 8.70 | 1.04 |
| 6.5 | 21.0 | 1.01 |
| 7.5 | 41.0 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 8.90 |
| 1.25 | 1.09 | 5.40 |
| 1.75 | 1.24 | 3.46 |
| 2 | 1.29 | 3.11 |
| 2.25 | 1.47 | 2.44 |
| 2.75 | 1.82 | 1.87 |
| 3 | 2.06 | 1.65 |
| 3.25 | 2.33 | 1.51 |
| 3.75 | 3.05 | 1.30 |
| 4 | 3.89 | 1.19 |
| 4.25 | 4.31 | 1.15 |
| 4.75 | 5.75 | 1.07 |
| 5 | 7.90 | 1.02 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.25 | 2.63 | 1.41 |
| +0.5 | 2.20 | 1.62 |
| +0.75 | 1.96 | 1.74 |
| +1 | 1.71 | 2.04 |
| +1.25 | 1.53 | 2.31 |
| +1.5 | 1.43 | 2.58 |
13 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 9.95 | 1.02 |
| -1 | 8.90 | 1.01 |
| -0.75 | 5.77 | 1.10 |
| -0.5 | 4.55 | 1.17 |
| -0.25 | 4.01 | 1.19 |
| 0 | 3.56 | 1.23 |
| +1.75 | 1.30 | 3.16 |
| +2 | 1.17 | 4.24 |
| +2.25 | 1.15 | 4.57 |
| +2.5 | 1.14 | 4.77 |
| +2.75 | 1.07 | 6.27 |
| +3 | 1.04 | 8.07 |
| +3.5 | 1.04 | 9.30 |
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