Conquense vs 
Castellón• Copa del Rey, Spain
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 21:15 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 5.40 | 4.50 | 1.58 | 4.0% |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.55 | 5.8% |
| 1xBet | 5.54 | 4.10 | 1.55 | 7.0% |
| Marathonbet | 5.65 | 4.10 | 1.53 | 7.4% |
| Pinnacle | 5.41 | 4.04 | 1.53 | 8.6% |
| Betano | 4.90 | 4.10 | 1.55 | 9.3% |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.55 | 9.5% |
| BetVictor | 5.50 | 4.00 | 1.50 | 9.8% |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 4.00 | 1.53 | 11.4% |
| Best of all books | 5.65 | 4.50 | 1.58 | 3.2% |
| Average | 5.29 | 4.13 | 1.54 | 8.0% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 19:30 UTC
Conquense
5W 2D 3L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against
| 25 Oct | A | Real Madrid III | 2-0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Atlético Paso | 2-2 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Albacete II | 4-0 | W |
| 4 Oct | A | A Madrid III | 2-3 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Navalcarnero | 3-1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Salamanca UDS | 1-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Gimnástica Segoviana | 2-1 | W |
| 6 Sep | H | Getafe II | 2-2 | D |
| 31 May | H | UD Ourense | 0-2 | L |
| 24 May | A | UD Ourense | 0-1 | L |
Castellón
7W 2D 1L · goals 21:4 · per match 2.1 for, 0.4 against
| 25 Oct | H | Sporting Gijon | 4-0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Las Palmas | 3-0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | FC Andorra | 0-1 | L |
| 4 Oct | H | AD Ceuta FC | 1-1 | D |
| 28 Sep | A | Leganes | 2-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Tenerife | 5-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Girona | 2-1 | W |
| 6 Sep | H | Albacete | 2-0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Celta de Vigo II | 2-1 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Sabadell | 0-0 | D |
Head to head
1 meeting · goals 0:1 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Conquense
| 5 Sep 2018Copa del Rey | Copa del Rey | Castellón1-0Conquense |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.73 | 2.10 | 5.4% |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 6.4% |
| Pinnacle | 1.74 | 2.04 | 6.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.73 | 2.04 | 6.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.73 | 2.04 | 6.8% |
| Betano | 1.70 | 2.05 | 7.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 1.99 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.74 | 2.10 | 5.1% |
| Average | 1.72 | 2.05 | 6.9% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.80 | 2.00 | 5.6% |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 1.95 | 6.8% |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 2.00 | 7.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 1.92 | 7.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.78 | 1.93 | 8.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 1.89 | 8.8% |
| Betano | 1.75 | 1.91 | 9.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.80 | 2.00 | 5.6% |
| Average | 1.78 | 1.94 | 7.7% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Conquense at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Castellón at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.29 | 4.13 | 1.54, which imply roughly 24.2% for the draw versus the model's 50%.
Over their last five matches, Conquense averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Castellón averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Castellón.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.29 | 4.13 | 1.54 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.34 | 1.14 | 1.19 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 4.00 | 1.21 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.78 | 1.94 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.40 | 2.34 | 2.02 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.97 | 2.71 | 1.87 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 9.35 | 17.0 | 22.2 |
| HT X | 11.9 | 6.30 | 4.35 |
| HT 2 | 45.4 | 15.8 | 2.29 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.05 | 13.5 | 1.43 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 12.5 |
| 1.5 | 1.21 | 3.83 |
| 2.5 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
| 3.5 | 2.73 | 1.39 |
| 4.5 | 5.01 | 1.13 |
| 5.5 | 9.42 | 1.03 |
| 6.5 | 21.0 | 1.01 |
| 7.5 | 50.5 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 8.90 |
| 1.25 | 1.10 | 5.10 |
| 1.75 | 1.26 | 3.31 |
| 2 | 1.33 | 2.97 |
| 2.25 | 1.53 | 2.34 |
| 2.75 | 1.90 | 1.81 |
| 3 | 2.19 | 1.59 |
| 3.25 | 2.46 | 1.47 |
| 3.75 | 3.17 | 1.28 |
| 4 | 4.13 | 1.16 |
| 4.25 | 4.51 | 1.13 |
| 4.75 | 6.00 | 1.06 |
| 5 | 8.30 | 1.02 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.5 | 2.42 | 1.52 |
| +0.75 | 2.11 | 1.64 |
| +1 | 1.86 | 1.88 |
| +1.25 | 1.62 | 2.14 |
| +1.5 | 1.49 | 2.42 |
| +1.75 | 1.35 | 2.89 |
13 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 9.90 | 1.02 |
| -1 | 8.90 | 1.02 |
| -0.75 | 6.60 | 1.07 |
| -0.5 | 5.00 | 1.17 |
| -0.25 | 4.61 | 1.15 |
| 0 | 4.13 | 1.18 |
| +0.25 | 2.90 | 1.35 |
| +2 | 1.21 | 3.73 |
| +2.25 | 1.18 | 4.16 |
| +2.5 | 1.15 | 4.59 |
| +2.75 | 1.09 | 5.67 |
| +3 | 1.02 | 7.80 |
| +3.5 | 1.02 | 8.77 |
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