AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol• Friendlies Clubs, World

0.8:1.23-0FT03/101.3:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.15BTNX3.841XB23.10BTNMargin at best4.8%Books5Markets52Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L51.6

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 02:26 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.06	3.84	3.04	7.5%
Betano	2.15	3.45	3.10	7.8%
Betfair	2.05	3.50	3.00	10.7%
Bet365	2.05	3.40	3.00	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.04	3.42	2.95	12.2%
Best of all books	2.15	3.84	3.10	4.8%
Average	2.07	3.52	3.02	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AEK LarnacaApollon Limassol

Last 1013Form pts · last 580.8Goals for · last 51.31.2Goals against · last 50.050Attack rating500Defence rating10036Form rating6462H2H rating380Goals model10051Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 20:30 UTC

AEK Larnaca

7W 1D 2L · goals 19:9 · per match 1.9 for, 0.9 against

18 Oct	A	Aris	1-1	D
12 Oct	H	Omonia Aradippou	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	Apollon Limassol	3-0	W
27 Sep	H	Nea Salamis	2-1	W
18 Sep	A	Omonia 29is Maiou	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Pafos	0-1	L
6 Sep	A	Nea Salamis	4-1	W
29 Aug	H	Apoel Nicosia	3-1	W
8 Aug	H	Omonia Aradippou	0-1	L
30 Jul	A	Beitar Jerusalem	3-2	W

Apollon Limassol

5W 3D 2L · goals 20:15 · per match 2.0 for, 1.5 against

17 Oct	H	Nea Salamis	4-2	W
10 Oct	A	Krasava Ypsonas	3-1	W
3 Oct	A	AEK Larnaca	0-3	L
19 Sep	H	Apoel Nicosia	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Omonia Nicosia	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Anorthosis	3-1	W
29 Aug	A	Aris	2-2	D
11 Aug	H	Brann	2-4	L
5 Aug	A	Brann	1-0	W
28 Jul	H	Dila	3-0	W

Head to head

11AEK Larnaca wins

7draws

12Apollon Limassol wins

30 meetings · goals 37:37 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for AEK Larnaca

16 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Apollon Limassol0-0AEK Larnaca
6 May 20261. Division	1. Division	AEK Larnaca1-0Apollon Limassol
5 Apr 20261. Division	1. Division	Apollon Limassol1-1AEK Larnaca
14 Feb 20261. Division	1. Division	AEK Larnaca0-1Apollon Limassol
2 Nov 20251. Division	1. Division	Apollon Limassol1-2AEK Larnaca
12 May 20251. Division	1. Division	AEK Larnaca3-0Apollon Limassol
6 Apr 20251. Division	1. Division	Apollon Limassol1-1AEK Larnaca
15 Dec 20241. Division	1. Division	AEK Larnaca4-0Apollon Limassol
25 Aug 20241. Division	1. Division	Apollon Limassol1-2AEK Larnaca
29 Feb 2024Cup	Cup	Apollon Limassol2-1AEK Larnaca

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.09X26%3.47230%2.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.07 → 2.09 +1.0%X3.52 → 3.46 -1.7%23.02 → 2.99 -1.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Betano	1.70	2.07	7.1%
1xBet	1.68	2.09	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Best of all books	1.73	2.09	5.7%
Average	1.70	2.06	7.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.16	10.0%
Best of all books	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Average	1.57	2.20	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AEK Larnaca 10%Draw 45%Apollon Limassol 45%

The statistical model rated AEK Larnaca at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Apollon Limassol at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.09 | 3.47 | 2.99, which imply roughly 28.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, AEK Larnaca averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Apollon Limassol averaged 1.3 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Apollon Limassol and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.07	3.52	3.02

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.32	1.65	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.57	2.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.57	2.20

1st half

1	X	2
2.67	2.24	3.57

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.76	13.6	2.11

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.00
1.5	1.20	3.92
2.5	1.70	2.07
3.5	2.66	1.41
4.5	4.76	1.14
5.5	7.30	1.06
6.5	10.0	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.10
1.75	1.22	3.50
2	1.30	3.03
2.25	1.50	2.40
2.75	1.85	1.80
3	2.15	1.61
3.25	2.46	1.49
3.75	3.28	1.25
4	4.20	1.17

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.08	1.28
-0.75	2.40	1.48
-0.5	2.07	1.70
-0.25	1.84	1.88
0	1.57	2.25
+0.25	1.42	2.58

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.60	1.01
-2	7.70	1.03
-1.5	3.92	1.18
-1.25	3.50	1.22
+0.75	1.20	3.70
+1	1.08	5.50
+1.5	1.05	6.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.12	4.51
6.5	1.33	2.86
7.5	1.64	2.13
8.5	2.10	1.66
9.5	2.81	1.37
10.5	4.13	1.15
11.5	6.49	1.03

6 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.16	4.02
7	1.44	2.52
8	1.88	1.88
9	2.53	1.43
10	3.74	1.19
11	6.02	1.04

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