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Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna• Friendlies Clubs, World

2.8:1.25-0FT04/101.2:0.6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75SBOX4.341XB24.65MARMargin at best1.7%Books3Markets9Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 20:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.523.955.1010.7%
Bet3651.504.005.0011.7%
Betfair1.364.406.0012.9%
Best of all books1.524.406.005.2%
Average1.464.125.3711.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LudogoretsCherno More Varna
Last 1015Form pts · last 572.8Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 50.670Attack rating3033Defence rating6754Form rating4662H2H rating3815Goals model8548Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Ludogorets

8W 2D 0L · goals 27:6 · per match 2.7 for, 0.6 against

17 OctABeroe3-0W
12 OctHArda Kardzhali5-0W
4 OctHCherno More Varna5-0W
27 SepHCSM Ramnicu Valcea3-0W
14 SepHSeptemvri Sofia2-1W
6 SepALokomotiv Sofia2-1W
30 AugASpartak Varna1-1D
22 AugHSlavia Sofia1-1D
15 AugHBotev Plovdiv2-0W
9 AugACherno More Varna3-2W

Cherno More Varna

3W 2D 5L · goals 12:19 · per match 1.2 for, 1.9 against

17 OctAMarek3-0W
11 OctHLevski Sofia0-2L
4 OctALudogorets0-5L
26 SepHDunav Ruse1-0W
19 SepAArda Kardzhali1-1D
11 SepHLokomotiv Sofia2-2D
6 SepALokomotiv Plovdiv0-1L
30 AugACSKA Sofia1-3L
21 AugHDunav Ruse3-1W
14 AugACSKA 19481-4L

Head to head

15Ludogorets wins
5draws
7Cherno More Varna wins

27 meetings · goals 42:28 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Ludogorets

9 Aug 2026First LeagueFirst LeagueCherno More Varna2-3Ludogorets
9 Apr 2026First LeagueFirst LeagueLudogorets0-0Cherno More Varna
2 Nov 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueCherno More Varna0-0Ludogorets
13 May 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueCherno More Varna2-0Ludogorets
27 Apr 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueLudogorets2-0Cherno More Varna
22 Feb 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueCherno More Varna1-1Ludogorets
1 Sep 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueLudogorets0-0Cherno More Varna
19 May 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueCherno More Varna4-0Ludogorets
19 Feb 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueLudogorets3-1Cherno More Varna
20 Aug 2023First LeagueFirst LeagueCherno More Varna1-0Ludogorets

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.63X24%3.82221%4.23

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

3 Oct 22:314 Oct 12:111 1.64X 3.822 4.22
11.46 → 1.64 +12.3%X4.12 → 3.82 -7.3%25.37 → 4.22 -21.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.652.206.1%
Betano1.532.2010.8%
Best of all books1.652.206.1%
Average1.592.208.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ludogorets 35%Draw 35%Cherno More Varna 30%

The statistical model rated Ludogorets at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Cherno More Varna at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.63 | 3.82 | 4.23, which imply roughly 61.3% for a Ludogorets win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Ludogorets averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Cherno More Varna averaged 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Ludogorets or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.464.125.37

Double chance

1XX212
1.122.421.18

Draw no bet

12
1.203.97

1st half

1X2
1.942.415.33

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4415.02.75

Match goals

LineOverUnder
2.51.592.20
31.831.80

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-11.821.89

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