Safa vs Tripoli SC• Premier League, Lebanon

#22.3:0.514:30Tomorrow1.6:1.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.66DAFX3.75BFR24.70DAFMargin at best8.2%Books7Markets41Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 10:36 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.66	3.65	4.70	8.9%
Betfair	1.62	3.75	4.60	10.1%
1xBet	1.64	3.60	4.51	10.9%
Betano	1.65	3.50	4.55	11.2%
Bet365	1.62	3.60	4.50	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.62	3.60	4.40	12.2%
BetVictor	1.55	3.20	4.10	20.2%
Best of all books	1.66	3.75	4.70	8.2%
Average	1.62	3.56	4.48	12.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SafaTripoli SC

Last 10#2Table position#53.00Points per game1.4015Form pts · last 572.3Goals for · last 51.60.5Goals against · last 51.053Attack rating4771Defence rating2963Form rating3762H2H rating3848Goals model5259Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 07:00 UTC

Safa

8W 1D 1L · goals 22:10 · per match 2.2 for, 1.0 against

30 Oct	A	Tadamon Sour	2-0	W
24 Oct	A	Al Akhaa Al Ahli	2-1	W
12 Oct	A	Shabab Al Sahel	3-0	W
8 Oct	H	Reyady Abaseya	2-1	W
3 Jul	H	Al Mabarrah	4-0	W
28 Jun	A	Jwaaya FC	1-1	D
24 Jun	A	Al Ahed	1-4	L
20 Jun	A	Reyady Abaseya	4-2	W
12 Jun	A	Shabab Al Sahel	1-0	W
18 May	A	Al Ahed	2-1	W

Tripoli SC

4W 2D 4L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against

31 Oct	A	Al Hikma	1-2	L
23 Oct	H	Tadamon Sour	1-2	L
18 Oct	A	Al Mabarrah	3-0	W
13 Oct	H	Al Akhaa Al Ahli	2-0	W
9 Oct	H	Al Ahed	1-1	D
23 May	A	Shabab Al Ghazieh	0-0	D
17 May	A	Shabab Al Sahel	1-0	W
9 May	A	Tadamon Sour	1-0	W
5 May	A	Al Ahli Nabatiya	1-3	L
25 Apr	A	Al Hikma	0-1	L

Head to head

9Safa wins

8draws

5Tripoli SC wins

22 meetings · goals 33:24 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Safa

1 Oct 2023Premier League	Premier League	Tripoli SC2-4Safa
19 Feb 2023Premier League	Premier League	Tripoli SC1-1Safa
8 Jan 2023Premier League	Premier League	Safa1-2Tripoli SC
11 Dec 2022Premier League	Premier League	Safa0-0Tripoli SC
19 Apr 2022Premier League	Premier League	Tripoli SC1-2Safa
20 Mar 2022Premier League	Premier League	Safa0-2Tripoli SC
18 Oct 2021Premier League	Premier League	Safa1-2Tripoli SC
11 Oct 2020Premier League	Premier League	Tripoli SC0-3Safa
10 Mar 2019Premier League	Premier League	Tripoli SC0-1Safa
20 Oct 2018Premier League	Premier League	Safa0-0Tripoli SC

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 6 Nov 14:51 UTC

In the Premier League table, Safa sit 2nd with 12 points from 4 games, while Tripoli SC are 5th with 7 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Jwaaya FC	5	4	1	0	10:1	+9	13
2	Safa	4	4	0	0	9:2	+7	12
3	Tadamon Sour	5	3	1	1	10:7	+3	10
4	Al Ahed	5	2	3	0	4:2	+2	9
5	Tripoli SC	5	2	1	2	8:5	+3	7
6	Al Nejmeh	3	1	2	0	5:3	+2	5
7	Al Ansar	2	1	1	0	3:2	+1	4
8	Al Hikma	5	1	1	3	4:8	-4	4
9	Shabab Al Ghazieh	5	1	1	3	2:8	-6	4
10	Reyady Abaseya	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1
11	Shabab Al Sahel	4	0	1	3	0:6	-6	1
12	Al Akhaa Al Ahli	5	0	1	4	3:11	-8	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.62X25%3.56220%4.48

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
1xBet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Betano	1.83	1.80	10.2%
BetVictor	1.67	1.66	20.1%
Best of all books	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Average	1.81	1.80	10.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.85	9.9%
BetVictor	1.65	1.70	19.4%
Best of all books	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Average	1.74	1.81	12.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Safa 45%Draw 45%Tripoli SC 10%

The statistical model rates Safa at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Tripoli SC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.62 | 3.56 | 4.48, which imply roughly 61.7% for a Safa win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Safa are 2nd (12 pts, 9-2 goals), Tripoli SC 5th (7 pts, 8-5).

Over their last five matches, Safa averaged 2.3 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Tripoli SC averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Safa or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.62	3.56	4.48

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	2.03	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.27	3.38

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.81

1st half

1	X	2
2.20	2.17	4.87

2nd half

1	X	2
1.99	2.52	4.47

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.57	16.2	42.7
HT X	4.48	5.50	9.83
HT 2	22.0	16.5	7.67

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.51	10.9	2.74

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	10.7
1.5	1.24	3.34
2.5	1.81	1.80
3.5	3.08	1.28
4.5	5.25	1.11

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.40
1.75	1.30	2.97
2	1.39	2.59
2.25	1.61	2.09
2.75	2.04	1.63
3	2.46	1.43
3.25	2.79	1.34
3.75	3.80	1.19
4	5.15	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.83	1.33
-1.25	2.49	1.42
-1	2.19	1.57
-0.75	1.78	1.81
-0.5	1.62	2.05
-0.25	1.44	2.43

5 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.70	1.08
-2	4.90	1.11
-1.75	3.50	1.22
0	1.24	3.34
+0.25	1.18	3.82

Latest Premier League results

6 Nov	Reyady Abaseya 0-0 Al Hikma
31 Oct	Al Hikma 2-1 Tripoli SC
31 Oct	Al Akhaa Al Ahli 1-1 Al Ansar
30 Oct	Shabab Al Sahel 0-0 Al Ahed
30 Oct	Tadamon Sour 0-2 Safa
23 Oct	Al Ahed 1-0 Reyady Abaseya