Eastern vs Southern District• Senior Shield, Hong-Kong

0.0:0.008:00Today2.0:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.94PINX4.00B36523.40BFRMargin at best6.0%Books9Markets44Rating69 · 31Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 23:47 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	1.85	3.80	3.40	9.8%
BetVictor	1.85	3.80	3.40	9.8%
Dafabet	1.90	3.65	3.35	9.9%
Pinnacle	1.94	3.58	3.20	10.7%
1xBet	1.84	3.74	3.36	10.8%
Bet365	1.80	4.00	3.30	10.9%
Betano	1.91	3.60	3.25	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.82	3.74	3.28	12.2%
William Hill	1.91	3.40	3.25	12.5%
Best of all books	1.94	4.00	3.40	6.0%
Average	1.87	3.70	3.31	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

EasternSouthern District

Last 107Form pts · last 560.0Goals for · last 52.00.0Goals against · last 51.00Attack rating100100Defence rating00Form rating10071H2H rating290Goals model069Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 12:31 UTC

Eastern

3W 2D 5L · goals 21:23 · per match 2.1 for, 2.3 against

17 Oct	A	Eastern District	2-2	D
9 Oct	H	North District	1-3	L
26 Sep	H	Kitchee	3-1	W
20 Sep	A	BC Rangers	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Kowloon City	4-0	W
30 Aug	A	Wofoo Tai Po	1-4	L
21 Aug	H	Shatin	1-3	L
17 May	A	Kitchee	4-4	D
9 May	H	Wofoo Tai Po	2-4	L
1 May	H	North District	3-1	W

Southern District

6W 1D 3L · goals 23:17 · per match 2.3 for, 1.7 against

19 Oct	A	Wofoo Tai Po	2-4	L
11 Oct	H	Eastern District	3-0	W
1 Oct	A	North District	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Eastern District	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Kitchee	1-3	L
29 Aug	H	Kowloon City	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	Hong Kong FC	3-2	W
9 May	H	Eastern District	2-2	D
3 May	A	Hong Kong FC	4-1	W
26 Apr	H	Kowloon City	3-1	W

Head to head

18Eastern wins

2draws

8Southern District wins

28 meetings · goals 48:29 · last 10: 7W 2D 1L for Eastern

18 Jan 2026Premier League	Premier League	Eastern3-1Southern District
21 Sep 2025Premier League	Premier League	Southern District1-1Eastern
9 Apr 2025Sapling Cup	Sapling Cup	Southern District1-0Eastern
5 Mar 2025Premier League	Premier League	Eastern2-1Southern District
8 Feb 2025Premier League	Premier League	Eastern2-0Southern District
23 Nov 2024Senior Shield	Senior Shield	Eastern1-0Southern District
28 Sep 2024Premier League	Premier League	Southern District0-2Eastern
10 Mar 2024Premier League	Premier League	Eastern2-1Southern District
17 Feb 2024Premier League	Premier League	Southern District1-1Eastern
5 Nov 2023Senior Shield	Senior Shield	Eastern3-2Southern District

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.87X24%3.70227%3.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.71 → 1.87 +9.4%X3.94 → 3.70 -6.1%23.68 → 3.31 -10.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
BetVictor	1.45	2.60	7.4%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betfair	1.44	2.60	7.9%
Pinnacle	1.50	2.41	8.2%
1xBet	1.44	2.43	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.43	10.6%
Best of all books	1.50	2.62	4.8%
Average	1.45	2.52	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.44	2.63	7.5%
1xBet	1.43	2.56	9.0%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
BetVictor	1.40	2.63	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.50	9.9%
Best of all books	1.44	2.63	7.5%
Average	1.43	2.56	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Eastern 50%Draw 50%Southern District 0%

The statistical model rates Eastern at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Southern District at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.87 | 3.70 | 3.31, which imply roughly 53.5% for a Eastern win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Eastern averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Southern District averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Eastern or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.87	3.70	3.31

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.26	1.79	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.45	2.55

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.43	2.56

1st half

1	X	2
2.33	2.42	3.68

2nd half

1	X	2
2.17	2.73	3.40

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.88	13.8	26.3
HT X	5.25	6.57	8.38
HT 2	17.6	13.8	5.45

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.62	19.8	2.26

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.8
1.5	1.13	5.47
2.5	1.45	2.52
3.5	2.17	1.60
4.5	3.76	1.22
5.5	7.00	1.08

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.17	4.50
2	1.15	4.25
2.25	1.32	2.95
2.75	1.57	2.20
3	1.72	1.95
3.25	1.94	1.74
3.75	2.48	1.45
4	3.05	1.28
4.25	3.34	1.24
5	6.25	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.80	1.36
-1	2.56	1.43
-0.75	2.08	1.66
-0.5	1.86	1.85
-0.25	1.65	2.05
0	1.43	2.51

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.40	1.05
-2	5.57	1.08
-1.75	3.99	1.17
-1.5	3.17	1.27
+0.25	1.34	2.85
+0.75	1.22	3.80
+1	1.06	6.05
+1.5	1.04	7.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.74	2.01

Next Senior Shield matches

24 Oct	Wofoo Tai Po – Kitchee
25 Oct	BC Rangers – Warriors
25 Oct	North District – Kowloon City

All Senior Shield fixtures and the table