North District vs 
Kowloon City• Senior Shield, Hong-Kong
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 00:16 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.37 | 5.60 | 5.50 | 9.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 5.25 | 6.00 | 9.2% |
| Dafabet | 1.37 | 5.20 | 5.60 | 10.1% |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 10.5% |
| Betano | 1.39 | 5.00 | 5.30 | 10.8% |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 5.50 | 5.50 | 11.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.31 | 5.15 | 6.05 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.39 | 5.60 | 6.50 | 5.2% |
| Average | 1.35 | 5.31 | 5.78 | 10.4% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 18:02 UTC
North District
6W 2D 2L · goals 23:11 · per match 2.3 for, 1.1 against
| 18 Oct | A | BC Rangers | 1-0 | W |
| 9 Oct | A | Eastern | 3-1 | W |
| 1 Oct | H | Southern District | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | BC Rangers | 5-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Shatin | 5-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Kitchee | 0-0 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | Wofoo Tai Po | 2-0 | W |
| 24 May | A | Eastern District | 2-2 | D |
| 10 May | H | Warriors | 2-4 | L |
| 1 May | A | Eastern | 1-3 | L |
Kowloon City
3W 2D 5L · goals 14:20 · per match 1.4 for, 2.0 against
| 10 Oct | A | Wofoo Tai Po | 1-1 | D |
| 4 Oct | H | Eastern District | 1-2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Hong Kong FC | 4-1 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Shatin | 3-2 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | Eastern | 0-4 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Southern District | 1-2 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | Warriors | 0-3 | L |
| 16 May | H | Hong Kong FC | 1-1 | D |
| 3 May | A | BC Rangers | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | Southern District | 1-3 | L |
Head to head
7 meetings · goals 14:13 · last 7: 3W 2D 2L for North District
| 17 Jan 2026Premier League | Premier League | North District2-1Kowloon City |
| 19 Oct 2025Premier League | Premier League | Kowloon City2-2North District |
| 30 Mar 2025Premier League | Premier League | Kowloon City3-4North District |
| 12 Jan 2025Premier League | Premier League | North District3-1Kowloon City |
| 15 Sep 2024Premier League | Premier League | North District2-3Kowloon City |
| 19 Mar 2023HKFA 1st Division | HKFA 1st Division | Kowloon City2-0North District |
| 8 Jan 2023HKFA 1st Division | HKFA 1st Division | North District1-1Kowloon City |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.22 | 4.10 | 6.4% |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 3.75 | 6.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 3.90 | 7.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.24 | 3.60 | 8.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.21 | 3.58 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.25 | 4.10 | 4.4% |
| Average | 1.23 | 3.79 | 7.8% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.37 | 2.90 | 7.5% |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 2.75 | 7.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 2.88 | 8.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 2.67 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.40 | 2.90 | 5.9% |
| Average | 1.38 | 2.80 | 8.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates North District at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Kowloon City at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.35 | 5.31 | 5.78, which imply roughly 74.1% for a North District win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, North District averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Kowloon City averaged 4 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : North District or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.35 | 5.31 | 5.78 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.10 | 2.86 | 1.10 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.17 | 4.46 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.38 | 2.80 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.74 | 2.92 | 5.14 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.62 | 3.39 | 4.96 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 1.93 | 16.3 | 35.5 |
| HT X | 4.75 | 9.81 | 14.4 |
| HT 2 | 13.9 | 17.0 | 9.10 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.33 | 38.0 | 2.90 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | – | 41.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.05 | 8.55 |
| 2.5 | 1.23 | 3.79 |
| 3.5 | 1.62 | 2.14 |
| 4.5 | 2.42 | 1.50 |
| 5.5 | 4.03 | 1.21 |
| 6.5 | 8.00 | 1.06 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.06 | 6.65 |
| 2.75 | 1.27 | 3.25 |
| 3 | 1.32 | 2.96 |
| 3.25 | 1.48 | 2.40 |
| 3.75 | 1.76 | 1.91 |
| 4 | 1.95 | 1.72 |
| 4.25 | 2.15 | 1.59 |
| 4.75 | 2.72 | 1.38 |
| 5 | 3.32 | 1.25 |
| 5.25 | 3.60 | 1.24 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 2.48 | 1.45 |
| -1.75 | 2.10 | 1.62 |
| -1.5 | 1.89 | 1.80 |
| -1.25 | 1.70 | 1.99 |
| -1 | 1.50 | 2.33 |
| -0.75 | 1.41 | 2.60 |
9 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5 | 9.90 | 1.01 |
| -3.5 | 5.30 | 1.10 |
| -3 | 4.63 | 1.13 |
| -2.75 | 3.70 | 1.24 |
| -2.5 | 3.01 | 1.31 |
| -2.25 | 2.73 | 1.38 |
| -0.25 | 1.25 | 3.45 |
| 0 | 1.14 | 4.65 |
| +1.5 | 1.02 | 9.40 |
Next Senior Shield matches
| 24 Oct | Eastern – Southern District |
| 24 Oct | Wofoo Tai Po – Kitchee |
| 25 Oct | BC Rangers – Warriors |