Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan• Cup, Poland

3.0:2.011:30Today · Stadion Miejski0.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

117.0WHX7.40DAF21.17B365Margin at best4.9%Books9Markets73Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 00:19 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	15.0	7.40	1.15	7.1%
William Hill	17.0	6.50	1.15	8.2%
BetVictor	15.0	6.50	1.14	9.8%
Bet365	15.0	5.50	1.17	10.3%
Betano	12.0	6.00	1.16	11.2%
Betfair	14.0	6.50	1.12	11.8%
1xBet	16.0	6.75	1.10	12.0%
Marathonbet	16.0	6.75	1.10	12.0%
Pinnacle	10.8	7.12	1.11	13.4%
Best of all books	17.0	7.40	1.17	4.9%
Average	14.5	6.56	1.13	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Siarka TarnobrzegLech Poznan

Last 106Form pts · last 5103.0Goals for · last 50.02.0Goals against · last 50.0100Attack rating00Defence rating100100Form rating00H2H rating00Goals model00Overall rating0

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 15:01 UTC

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

6W 1D 3L · goals 19:15 · per match 1.9 for, 1.5 against

24 Oct	A	Moravia Morawica	3-2	W
17 Oct	H	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	4-0	W
9 Oct	A	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	1-4	L
3 Oct	H	Korona Kielce II	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Star Starachowice	1-4	L
19 Sep	H	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Chełmianka Chełm	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	KS Wieczysta Krakow II	2-0	W
1 Sep	H	Zaglebie Lubin	3-2	W
29 Aug	H	Wisłoka Dębica	1-0	W

Lech Poznan

5W 2D 3L · goals 22:17 · per match 2.2 for, 1.7 against

25 Oct	A	Legia Warszawa	2-1	W
22 Oct	H	Sunderland	1-1	D
18 Oct	H	Korona Kielce	6-1	W
15 Oct	H	Bayer Leverkusen	0-4	L
10 Oct	A	Slask Wroclaw	4-1	W
3 Oct	H	Energie Cottbus	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Radomiak Radom	5-1	W
17 Sep	A	Crystal Palace	0-4	L
12 Sep	A	Gornik Zabrze	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Raków Częstochowa	1-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Siarka Tarnobrzeg and Lech Poznan on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg16%14.5X14%6.56280%1.13

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

124.8 → 14.5 -41.3%X8.50 → 6.56 -22.8%21.06 → 1.13 +6.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betfair	1.45	2.55	8.2%
BetVictor	1.45	2.55	8.2%
Pinnacle	1.51	2.28	10.1%
1xBet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Best of all books	1.51	2.55	5.4%
Average	1.46	2.47	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.25	1.60	6.9%
William Hill	2.20	1.62	7.2%
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
BetVictor	2.25	1.57	8.1%
1xBet	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.20	1.55	10.0%
Best of all books	2.38	1.62	3.7%
Average	2.25	1.57	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Siarka Tarnobrzeg 33%Draw 33%Lech Poznan 33%

The statistical model rates Siarka Tarnobrzeg at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and Lech Poznan at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 14.54 | 6.56 | 1.13, which imply roughly 6.9% for a Siarka Tarnobrzeg win versus the model's 33%.

Over their last five matches, Siarka Tarnobrzeg averaged 3 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Lech Poznan averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: No predictions available.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
14.5	6.56	1.13

Double chance

1X	X2	12
4.54	1.02	1.07

Draw no bet

1	2
10.7	1.03

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.25	1.57

1st half

1	X	2
11.5	2.85	1.49

2nd half

1	X	2
10.5	3.51	1.35

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	27.0	28.0	23.0
HT X	28.0	9.81	3.76
HT 2	85.5	26.3	1.51

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
4.81	19.4	1.17

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	15.3
1.5	1.12	5.28
2.5	1.46	2.47
3.5	2.16	1.60
4.5	3.68	1.22
5.5	6.88	1.06
6.5	10.0	1.03
7.5	15.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	13.0
1.75	1.12	4.70
2	1.15	4.25
2.25	1.31	2.92
2.75	1.57	2.19
3	1.71	1.96
3.25	1.94	1.73
3.75	2.44	1.45
4	2.76	1.37
4.25	3.16	1.28
4.75	4.46	1.14
5	6.00	1.06
5.25	6.40	1.05
6	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+1.5	2.41	1.48
+1.75	2.17	1.59
+2	1.92	1.77
+2.25	1.69	2.02
+2.5	1.57	2.20
+2.75	1.42	2.56

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
0	15.0	1.03
+0.25	6.87	1.06
+0.5	5.00	1.17
+0.75	4.40	1.16
+1	3.98	1.20
+1.25	2.92	1.33
+3	1.34	2.96
+3.25	1.25	3.43
+3.5	1.21	3.78
+3.75	1.14	4.68
+4	1.07	6.47
+4.25	1.07	6.82
+4.5	1.07	6.75
+5	1.01	9.15
+5.5	1.04	8.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10.5	1.92	1.81

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