Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia• Cup, Poland

2.0:1.019:30Today · Polsat Plus Arena, Gdansk0.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.711XBX3.85DAF21.73B365Margin at best5.0%Books9Markets60Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 00:19 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.40	3.85	1.71	7.2%
Betano	4.30	3.75	1.72	8.1%
BetVictor	4.40	3.75	1.67	9.3%
Betfair	4.60	3.80	1.62	9.8%
1xBet	4.71	3.70	1.60	10.8%
William Hill	4.60	3.50	1.65	10.9%
Bet365	3.90	3.50	1.73	12.0%
Marathonbet	4.50	3.68	1.59	12.3%
Pinnacle	4.05	3.81	1.60	13.4%
Best of all books	4.71	3.85	1.73	5.0%
Average	4.38	3.70	1.65	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lechia GdanskJagiellonia

Last 1012Form pts · last 562.0Goals for · last 50.01.0Goals against · last 50.0100Attack rating00Defence rating100100Form rating040H2H rating600Goals model045Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 15:01 UTC

Lechia Gdansk

8W 0D 2L · goals 25:12 · per match 2.5 for, 1.2 against

24 Oct	A	Puszcza Niepołomice	1-2	L
18 Oct	H	Arka Gdynia	2-1	W
12 Oct	A	Stal Rzeszów	2-1	W
3 Oct	A	Ruch Chorzów	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Stal Mielec	7-1	W
13 Sep	H	Miedz Legnica	2-1	W
4 Sep	A	Nieciecza	1-2	L
1 Sep	A	Kluczbork	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Polonia Warszawa	4-2	W
21 Aug	H	Pogoń Siedlce	1-0	W

Jagiellonia

3W 0D 7L · goals 13:17 · per match 1.3 for, 1.7 against

25 Oct	H	Wisla Plock	1-0	W
22 Oct	H	Anderlecht	0-3	L
18 Oct	A	Zaglebie Lubin	0-1	L
15 Oct	H	Ararat-Armenia	3-1	W
10 Oct	H	Gornik Zabrze	1-3	L
3 Oct	H	Polonia Warszawa	1-2	L
29 Sep	H	Suduva Marijampole	5-0	W
20 Sep	H	Legia Warszawa	1-3	L
16 Sep	A	Olympiakos Piraeus	1-2	L
11 Sep	A	Wisla Krakow	0-2	L

Head to head

7Lechia Gdansk wins

3draws

7Jagiellonia wins

17 meetings · goals 23:23 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Lechia Gdansk

6 Mar 2026Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Lechia Gdansk3-0Jagiellonia
31 Aug 2025Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Jagiellonia2-0Lechia Gdansk
29 Mar 2025Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Lechia Gdansk1-0Jagiellonia
21 Sep 2024Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Jagiellonia3-2Lechia Gdansk
10 Apr 2023Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Jagiellonia1-0Lechia Gdansk
17 Sep 2022Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Lechia Gdansk2-2Jagiellonia
11 Dec 2021Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Lechia Gdansk1-2Jagiellonia
21 Sep 2021Cup	Cup	Jagiellonia1-3Lechia Gdansk
24 Jul 2021Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Jagiellonia1-1Lechia Gdansk
16 May 2021Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Jagiellonia2-1Lechia Gdansk

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.38X24%3.70255%1.65

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.58 → 4.38 -4.4%X3.91 → 3.70 -5.4%21.61 → 1.65 +2.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Betano	1.70	2.07	7.1%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.04	8.9%
Pinnacle	1.67	2.04	8.9%
BetVictor	1.68	2.02	9.0%
1xBet	1.67	2.03	9.1%
Best of all books	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Average	1.68	2.06	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.05	6.6%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.67	2.07	8.2%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.67	2.05	8.7%
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.01	10.0%
Best of all books	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Average	1.67	2.06	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lechia Gdansk 10%Draw 45%Jagiellonia 45%

The statistical model rates Lechia Gdansk at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Jagiellonia at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.38 | 3.70 | 1.65, which imply roughly 27% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Lechia Gdansk averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Jagiellonia averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Jagiellonia and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.38	3.70	1.65

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.08	1.15	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
3.46	1.28

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.06

1st half

1	X	2
4.66	2.26	2.19

2nd half

1	X	2
4.35	2.62	1.98

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.76	15.3	21.6
HT X	10.3	5.92	4.46
HT 2	41.2	14.7	2.45

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.61	13.4	1.52

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.2
1.5	1.20	4.00
2.5	1.68	2.06
3.5	2.70	1.40
4.5	4.93	1.14
5.5	9.22	1.05
6.5	11.0	1.02
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.70
1.25	1.08	5.55
1.75	1.22	3.51
2	1.29	3.06
2.25	1.48	2.36
2.75	1.84	1.82
3	2.12	1.61
3.25	2.39	1.47
3.75	3.21	1.27
4	4.25	1.15
4.25	4.63	1.13
4.75	6.35	1.06
5	9.10	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.48	1.45
+0.5	2.09	1.68
+0.75	1.85	1.83
+1	1.61	2.17
+1.25	1.46	2.46
+1.5	1.37	2.77

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.90	1.03
-1.25	8.45	1.01
-1	7.85	1.03
-0.75	5.77	1.09
-0.5	4.00	1.23
-0.25	3.63	1.23
0	3.22	1.28
+1.75	1.26	3.37
+2	1.14	4.68
+2.25	1.12	5.11
+2.5	1.10	5.52
+2.75	1.07	6.72
+3	1.01	9.35
+3.5	1.04	9.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.44	2.62
9.5	1.73	2.00
10	1.98	1.82
10.5	2.20	1.60

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