Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig• DFB Pokal, Germany

2.0:0.017:00Today · Stadion an der Hafenstrasse, Essen6.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

114.0MARX8.50B36521.19BTNMargin at best2.9%Books10Markets97Rating32 · 68Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	14.0	8.20	1.18	4.1%
Pinnacle	13.9	8.29	1.17	4.7%
Bet365	11.0	8.50	1.18	5.6%
Betano	11.5	6.90	1.19	7.2%
William Hill	13.0	7.00	1.17	7.4%
1xBet	14.0	7.70	1.14	7.8%
Marathonbet	14.0	7.70	1.14	7.8%
BetVictor	13.0	7.50	1.13	9.5%
Betfair	13.0	7.50	1.12	10.3%
SBO	9.45	6.28	1.14	14.2%
Best of all books	14.0	8.50	1.19	2.9%
Average	12.7	7.56	1.16	7.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Rot-Weiß EssenRB Leipzig

Last 108Form pts · last 592.0Goals for · last 56.00.0Goals against · last 50.025Attack rating750Defence rating050Form rating500H2H rating1000Goals model032Overall rating68

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 00:10 UTC

Rot-Weiß Essen

5W 4D 1L · goals 18:10 · per match 1.8 for, 1.0 against

23 Oct	H	SSV Jahn Regensburg	1-0	W
17 Oct	A	FC Ingolstadt 04	0-1	L
13 Oct	H	Fortuna Köln	2-0	W
9 Oct	A	Preußen Münster	3-3	D
3 Oct	A	Arminia Bielefeld	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Hansa Rostock	1-1	D
16 Sep	A	Waldhof Mannheim	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Würzburger Kickers	6-2	W
5 Sep	H	FC Viktoria Köln	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	SV Wehen	0-0	D

RB Leipzig

5W 0D 5L · goals 23:19 · per match 2.3 for, 1.9 against

24 Oct	H	SV Elversberg	4-0	W
21 Oct	A	Real Madrid	1-4	L
17 Oct	A	Bayern München	1-6	L
13 Oct	H	PSV Eindhoven	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Eintracht Frankfurt	6-0	W
20 Sep	A	Bayer Leverkusen	0-2	L
13 Sep	H	Hamburger SV	5-0	W
10 Sep	A	Como	1-4	L
5 Sep	A	Werder Bremen	1-3	L
29 Aug	H	Borussia Mönchengladbach	3-0	W

Head to head

0Rot-Weiß Essen wins

0draws

1RB Leipzig wins

1 meeting · goals 1:4 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Rot-Weiß Essen

17 Aug 2024DFB Pokal

DFB Pokal

Rot-Weiß Essen1-4RB Leipzig

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg17%12.7X12%7.56280%1.16

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

111.1 → 12.7 +14.2%X6.73 → 7.56 +12.3%21.18 → 1.16 -1.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.30	3.50	5.5%
Pinnacle	1.29	3.52	5.9%
Betano	1.32	3.20	7.0%
Betfair	1.25	3.60	7.8%
BetVictor	1.25	3.50	8.6%
1xBet	1.26	3.20	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.26	3.20	10.6%
Best of all books	1.32	3.60	3.5%
Average	1.28	3.39	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Betfair	1.83	1.91	7.0%
BetVictor	1.78	1.93	8.0%
1xBet	1.80	1.90	8.2%
Betano	1.80	1.90	8.2%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.88	8.7%
Best of all books	1.83	1.95	5.9%
Average	1.79	1.92	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rot-Weiß Essen 10%Draw 45%RB Leipzig 45%

The statistical model rates Rot-Weiß Essen at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and RB Leipzig at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 12.68 | 7.56 | 1.16, which imply roughly 13.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Rot-Weiß Essen averaged 2 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; RB Leipzig averaged 6 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : RB Leipzig and +4.5 goals (goal line signal: over 4.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
12.7	7.56	1.16

Double chance

1X	X2	12
4.87	1.03	1.07

Draw no bet

1	2
9.86	1.04

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.79	1.92

1st half

1	X	2
9.22	3.18	1.47

2nd half

1	X	2
8.67	3.79	1.38

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	21.2	24.5	18.1
HT X	24.7	11.7	4.25
HT 2	65.2	22.5	1.53

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
4.00	31.5	1.23

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	24.5
1.5	1.07	7.29
2.5	1.28	3.39
3.5	1.78	1.99
4.5	2.69	1.41
5.5	4.54	1.17
6.5	8.25	1.07
7.5	14.8	1.02
8.5	29.0	1.01
9.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	16.0
1.75	1.05	6.55
2	1.06	6.15
2.25	1.16	4.16
2.75	1.32	2.95
3	1.43	2.62
3.25	1.59	2.23
3.75	1.92	1.81
4	2.19	1.61
4.25	2.41	1.49
4.75	3.06	1.29
5	3.82	1.18
5.25	4.15	1.16
6	7.20	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+1.5	2.51	1.47
+1.75	2.29	1.56
+2	2.04	1.74
+2.25	1.81	1.93
+2.5	1.63	2.16
+2.75	1.49	2.44

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
0	8.50	1.02
+0.25	6.32	1.08
+0.5	4.65	1.18
+0.75	4.28	1.17
+1	4.00	1.20
+1.25	3.03	1.34
+3	1.35	2.95
+3.25	1.30	3.23
+3.5	1.25	3.43
+3.75	1.17	4.20
+4	1.10	5.57
+4.25	1.12	6.25
+4.5	1.06	6.05

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	2.25	1.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.05	5.37
7.5	1.13	4.23
8.5	1.27	3.22
9.5	1.52	2.36
10.5	1.83	1.91
11.5	2.30	1.54
12.5	2.94	1.31
13.5	4.00	1.15
14.5	4.49	1.09
15.5	6.60	1.05

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.06	5.20
8	1.15	3.77
8.75	1.32	2.88
9	1.40	2.71
9.25	1.45	2.44
9.75	1.61	2.12
10	1.68	2.09
10.25	1.81	1.87
10.75	1.92	1.71
11	2.06	1.71
11.25	2.32	1.51
11.75	2.62	1.38
12	2.58	1.38
12.25	2.70	1.36
13	3.29	1.20
14	4.30	1.11
15	5.15	1.06

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