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Manchester City W vs Real Madrid W• UEFA Champions League Women, World

#102.0:2.01-1FT01/10 · Manchester Regional Arena, Manchester1.7:0.7#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.70B365X4.75B36524.341XBMargin at best2.9%Books8Markets81Rating26 · 74Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Sep 03:20 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.683.934.387.8%
Betano1.703.904.258.0%
Bet3651.674.333.908.6%
BetVictor1.653.804.409.6%
Betfair1.603.904.609.9%
1xBet1.633.784.3910.6%
Marathonbet1.613.784.3011.8%
William Hill1.653.504.0014.2%
Best of all books1.704.334.603.7%
Average1.653.874.289.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Manchester City WReal Madrid W
Last 10#10Table position#121.00Points per game1.0011Form pts · last 582.0Goals for · last 51.72.0Goals against · last 50.729Attack rating7150Defence rating5013Form rating8813H2H rating880Goals model026Overall rating74

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:03 UTC

Manchester City W

8W 2D 0L · goals 30:12 · per match 3.0 for, 1.2 against

18 OctHBrighton W3-2W
4 OctHArsenal W4-2W
1 OctHReal Madrid W1-1D
26 SepACharlton Athletic W1-0W
22 SepABayern Munich W2-2D
18 SepHLiverpool W4-2W
13 SepAAston Villa W4-1W
6 SepHBirmingham City W3-1W
31 MayABrighton W4-0W
16 MayAWest Ham W4-1W

Real Madrid W

6W 3D 1L · goals 20:17 · per match 2.0 for, 1.7 against

17 OctHEspanyol W3-1W
4 OctABarcelona W0-7L
1 OctAManchester City W1-1D
26 SepAReal Sociedad W5-3W
22 SepHParis Saint Germain W1-1D
19 SepHValencia W3-1W
11 SepADeportivo de La Coruña W2-0W
6 SepHEibar W0-0D
2 SepHAjax W2-1W
30 AugHAtletico Madrid W3-2W

Head to head

0Manchester City W wins
1draws
2Real Madrid W wins

3 meetings · goals 1:3 · last 3: 0W 1D 2L for Manchester City W

21 Aug 2022UEFA Champions League WomenUEFA Champions League WomenManchester City W0-1Real Madrid W
8 Sep 2021UEFA Champions League WomenUEFA Champions League WomenManchester City W0-1Real Madrid W
31 Aug 2021UEFA Champions League WomenUEFA Champions League WomenReal Madrid W1-1Manchester City W

UEFA Champions League Women tableChampions League Women: League phaseupdated 1 Oct 20:41 UTC

In the UEFA Champions League Women table, Manchester City W sit 10th with 1 points from 1 games, while Real Madrid W are 12th with 1 points from 1.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Barcelona W220011:2+96
2Lyon W21108:0+84
3Bayern Munich W21105:2+34
4Arsenal W21103:2+14
5Inter Milano W21102:1+14
6Chelsea W21101:0+14
7Køge W21015:2+33
8Juventus W21014:2+23
9SL Benfica W21012:4-23
10Manchester City W10102:201
11Paris Saint Germain W10101:101
12Real Madrid W10101:101
13OH Leuven W10100:001
14Austria Wien W20111:2-11
15Paris FC W20114:7-31
16Roma W20110:6-61
17Häcken W20020:4-40
18Servette Chênois W20021:13-120

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.64X22%4.19222%4.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

28 Sep 04:111 Oct 16:311 1.64X 4.142 4.09
11.65 → 1.64 -0.6%X3.87 → 4.14 +7.0%24.28 → 4.09 -4.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Pinnacle1.652.215.9%
Betano1.702.077.1%
Betfair1.652.108.2%
1xBet1.622.119.1%
BetVictor1.622.119.1%
Marathonbet1.622.119.1%
Best of all books1.802.210.8%
Average1.672.107.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
Betano1.702.028.3%
Marathonbet1.632.099.2%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
William Hill1.622.109.3%
Best of all books1.832.151.2%
Average1.682.048.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Manchester City W 10%Draw 45%Real Madrid W 45%

The statistical model rated Manchester City W at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Real Madrid W at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.64 | 4.19 | 4.11, which imply roughly 23.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Champions League Women table: Manchester City W are 10th (1 pts, 2-2 goals), Real Madrid W 12th (1 pts, 1-1).

Over their last five matches, Manchester City W averaged 2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Real Madrid W averaged 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Real Madrid W.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Manchester City W

4-2-3-1

Coach: Andrée Alexander Jeglertz

Goalkeeper

  • 31A. Yamashita

Defence

  • 18K. Casparij
  • 4Jade Rose
  • 5A. Greenwood
  • 37C. Wamser

Midfield

  • 19Laura Blindkilde Brown
  • 25Yui Hasegawa
  • 8M. Fowler
  • 20A. Fujino
  • 11L. Hemp

Attack

  • 9K. Shaw
Substitutes (10)
  • 28Gracie Prior
  • 6Grace Clinton
  • 21Niamh Charles
  • 60Millie Burdon
  • 24I. Beney
  • 17S. Coffey
  • 1E. Cumings
  • 47S. Lewis
  • 7B. Mead
  • 14A. Moorhouse

Real Madrid W

4-3-3

Coach: Alberto Toril

Goalkeeper

  • 1M. Frohms

Defence

  • 19Eva Navarro
  • 23M. Lakrar
  • 22B. Andersson
  • 4Silvi

Midfield

  • 24A. Caruso
  • 20E. Senß
  • 17Andreia Jacinto

Attack

  • 10Athenea del Castillo
  • 12F. Schröder
  • 18L. Caicedo
Substitutes (12)
  • 2Noemí Bejarano
  • 5Paula Comendador
  • 15Irune Dorado
  • 31Oihane San Martín
  • 21S. Holmgaard
  • 14María Méndez
  • 13Laia López
  • 7L. Keukelaar
  • 9S. Bruun
  • 8S. Däbritz
  • 16F. Angeldahl
  • 11L. Beerensteyn

Match Statistics

Manchester City WReal Madrid W
439Passes accurate395
14Shots insidebox8
2Shots outsidebox8
7Blocked Shots4
10Free Kicks8
2Shots on Goal5
4Goalkeeper Saves1
7Shots off Goal7
493Total passes453
16Total Shots16
5Corner Kicks7
0Offsides3
8Fouls10
0Red Cards0
0Yellow Cards0
53%Ball Possession47%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.653.874.28

Double chance

1XX212
1.182.081.20

Draw no bet

12
1.293.34

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.682.04

1st half

1X2
2.152.324.60

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5213.42.61

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0210.9
1.51.203.97
2.51.672.10
3.52.651.42
4.54.741.14
5.58.301.03
6.513.41.01
7.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.20
1.251.085.50
1.751.243.47
21.273.29
2.251.462.49
2.751.801.90
32.051.67
3.252.311.53
3.752.971.30
43.801.19
4.254.141.16
4.755.501.08
57.501.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.691.40
-1.252.411.50
-12.121.65
-0.751.821.89
-0.51.662.14
-0.251.462.50
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.801.02
-39.001.01
-2.756.531.07
-2.55.231.13
-2.254.761.14
-24.331.16
-1.753.241.28
01.283.31
+0.251.223.70
+0.51.234.10
+0.751.115.37
+11.028.10
+1.51.029.10

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.104.73
7.51.293.06
8.51.542.32
9.51.881.81
10.52.451.48
11.53.461.22
12.55.081.08
13.56.971.02
19 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.124.50
71.144.27
7.251.213.52
7.751.332.89
81.372.72
8.251.472.43
8.751.652.11
91.731.98
9.251.841.86
9.752.081.66
102.251.56
10.252.381.49
10.752.771.36
113.131.28
11.253.291.25
11.753.941.16
124.701.11
12.254.891.10
136.541.03

Latest UEFA Champions League Women results

1 OctParis Saint Germain W 5-0 OH Leuven W
1 OctAustria Wien W 1-1 Inter Milano W
30 SepSL Benfica W 0-3 Bayern Munich W
30 SepLyon W 0-0 Chelsea W
30 SepParis FC W 2-2 Arsenal W
30 SepRoma W 0-6 Barcelona W