Semen Padang vs 
PSMS Medan• Liga 2, Indonesia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 15:49 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.25 | 2.45 | 10.8% |
| 1xBet | 2.43 | 3.18 | 2.52 | 12.3% |
| Marathonbet | 2.43 | 3.18 | 2.52 | 12.3% |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 2.90 | 2.30 | 20.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.55 | 3.25 | 2.52 | 9.7% |
| Average | 2.45 | 3.13 | 2.45 | 13.7% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 12:30 UTC
Semen Padang
2W 2D 6L · goals 6:19 · per match 0.6 for, 1.9 against
| 17 Oct | H | PSMS Medan | 1-1 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Persikad Depok FC | 1-2 | L |
| 4 Oct | H | PSPS | 0-1 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | PSGC Ciamis | 2-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | PSIS Semarang | 1-1 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Persiraja Banda Aceh | 1-0 | W |
| 23 May | A | Persija | 0-3 | L |
| 15 May | H | Persebaya Surabaya | 0-7 | L |
| 8 May | H | Persik Kediri | 0-3 | L |
| 3 May | A | Dewa United | 0-1 | L |
PSMS Medan
3W 3D 4L · goals 17:13 · per match 1.7 for, 1.3 against
| 11 Oct | A | PSPS | 1-2 | L |
| 3 Oct | H | Persikad Depok FC | 4-0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Bekasi City | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Persiku Kudus | 6-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Sumsel United | 2-2 | D |
| 1 Aug | A | Persija | 1-4 | L |
| 29 Jul | A | Persebaya Surabaya | 0-1 | L |
| 26 Jul | H | Port FC | 0-2 | L |
| 2 May | A | Persiraja Banda Aceh | 1-1 | D |
| 25 Apr | H | Isenmulang Kalteng | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
7 meetings · goals 10:9 · last 7: 2W 3D 2L for Semen Padang
| 22 Jan 2024Liga 2 | Liga 2 | PSMS Medan1-1Semen Padang |
| 17 Jan 2024Liga 2 | Liga 2 | Semen Padang2-0PSMS Medan |
| 1 Dec 2023Liga 2 | Liga 2 | PSMS Medan1-2Semen Padang |
| 9 Oct 2023Liga 2 | Liga 2 | Semen Padang2-2PSMS Medan |
| 26 Sep 2022Liga 2 | Liga 2 | PSMS Medan1-0Semen Padang |
| 16 Nov 2021Liga 2 | Liga 2 | Semen Padang1-2PSMS Medan |
| 14 Oct 2021Liga 2 | Liga 2 | PSMS Medan2-2Semen Padang |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.7% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 5.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.88 | 1.79 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 1.79 | 9.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 1.63 | 20.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.95 | 1.85 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.85 | 1.76 | 10.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 2.00 | 9.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.69 | 1.97 | 9.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 1.80 | 20.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.69 | 2.00 | 9.2% |
| Average | 1.64 | 1.92 | 12.8% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Semen Padang at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and PSMS Medan at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.45 | 3.13 | 2.45, which imply roughly 31.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Semen Padang averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; PSMS Medan averaged 2.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or PSMS Medan.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.45 | 3.13 | 2.45 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.41 | 1.39 | 1.22 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.74 | 1.79 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.64 | 1.92 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.00 | 2.08 | 3.13 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.77 | 2.38 | 2.93 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.96 | 14.3 | 29.0 |
| HT X | 6.00 | 5.13 | 6.10 |
| HT 2 | 28.3 | 14.3 | 4.10 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.01 | 8.80 | 1.98 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 8.60 |
| 1.5 | 1.27 | 3.14 |
| 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.77 |
| 3.5 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 4.5 | 5.95 | 1.07 |
| 5.5 | 13.0 | 1.03 |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.02 | 8.07 |
| 1 | 1.03 | 7.50 |
| 1.25 | 1.15 | 4.30 |
| 1.75 | 1.33 | 2.83 |
| 2 | 1.43 | 2.46 |
| 2.25 | 1.66 | 2.01 |
| 2.75 | 2.13 | 1.59 |
| 3 | 2.56 | 1.40 |
| 3.25 | 2.88 | 1.32 |
| 3.75 | 3.90 | 1.18 |
| 4 | 5.30 | 1.09 |
| 4.25 | 5.65 | 1.08 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 4.00 | 1.17 |
| -0.75 | 2.88 | 1.32 |
| -0.25 | 2.09 | 1.61 |
| 0 | 1.81 | 1.81 |
| +0.25 | 1.56 | 2.15 |
| +0.75 | 1.29 | 3.04 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9.35 | 1.01 |
| -1.75 | 6.30 | 1.06 |
| -1.5 | 4.85 | 1.11 |
| -1.25 | 4.45 | 1.14 |
| +1 | 1.15 | 4.25 |
| +1.25 | 1.12 | 4.70 |
| +1.5 | 1.10 | 5.10 |
| +1.75 | 1.05 | 6.60 |