El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC• Liga Pro Serie B, Ecuador

#121.8:2.419:00Today · Quito1.4:0.8#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.33B365X3.60BFR21.78DAFMargin at best7.1%Books6Markets45Rating38 · 63Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 04:10 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.30	3.55	1.78	7.6%
Betano	4.05	3.45	1.75	10.8%
1xBet	4.08	3.58	1.71	10.9%
Betfair	4.00	3.60	1.70	11.6%
Bet365	4.33	3.25	1.73	11.7%
Marathonbet	3.98	3.58	1.69	12.2%
Best of all books	4.33	3.60	1.78	7.1%
Average	4.12	3.50	1.73	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

El NacionalGualaceo SC

Last 10#12Table position#70.55Points per game1.323Form pts · last 591.8Goals for · last 51.42.4Goals against · last 50.856Attack rating4425Defence rating7525Form rating7550H2H rating5025Goals model7538Overall rating63

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 23:00 UTC

El Nacional

2W 1D 7L · goals 13:19 · per match 1.3 for, 1.9 against

22 Oct	A	Cumbayá	1-2	L
17 Oct	H	Santo Domingo	1-2	L
7 Oct	A	22 de Julio	5-2	W
3 Oct	A	LDU Portoviejo	2-3	L
26 Sep	H	Cumbayá	0-3	L
18 Sep	A	Santo Domingo	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	22 de Julio	3-0	W
5 Sep	H	LDU Portoviejo	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Gualaceo SC	0-3	L
20 Aug	A	Ind. Juniors	1-1	D

Gualaceo SC

5W 4D 1L · goals 14:6 · per match 1.4 for, 0.6 against

24 Oct	H	Santo Domingo	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	LDU Portoviejo	0-0	D
10 Oct	H	Cumbayá	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	22 de Julio	4-2	W
27 Sep	A	Santo Domingo	1-0	W
25 Sep	H	Independiente del Valle	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	LDU Portoviejo	0-0	D
10 Sep	A	Cumbayá	1-0	W
4 Sep	A	22 de Julio	3-0	W
29 Aug	H	El Nacional	3-0	W

Head to head

3El Nacional wins

2draws

4Gualaceo SC wins

9 meetings · goals 13:15 · last 9: 3W 2D 4L for El Nacional

29 Aug 2026Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	Gualaceo SC3-0El Nacional
24 Jul 2026Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	El Nacional0-0Gualaceo SC
2 May 2026Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	Gualaceo SC2-0El Nacional
12 Nov 2023Liga Pro	Liga Pro	El Nacional4-2Gualaceo SC
4 Jun 2023Liga Pro	Liga Pro	Gualaceo SC3-4El Nacional
7 Oct 2021Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	El Nacional4-2Gualaceo SC
11 Aug 2021Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	Gualaceo SC1-0El Nacional
17 Jun 2021Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	El Nacional1-1Gualaceo SC
6 May 2021Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	Gualaceo SC1-0El Nacional

Liga Pro Serie B tableLiga Pro Serie Bupdated 26 Oct 23:01 UTC

In the Liga Pro Serie B table, El Nacional sit 12th with 12 points from 22 games, while Gualaceo SC are 7th with 29 points from 22.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ind. Juniors	22	10	9	3	28:16	+12	39
2	Atletico FC	22	9	11	2	25:14	+11	38
3	9 de Octubre	22	9	10	3	22:14	+8	37
4	Deportivo Cuenca Juniors	22	9	7	6	20:23	-3	34
5	Cuniburo	22	8	7	7	25:17	+8	31
6	San Antonio	22	7	10	5	24:21	+3	31
7	Gualaceo SC	22	7	8	7	19:16	+3	29
8	Santo Domingo	22	6	10	6	17:16	+1	28
9	LDU Portoviejo	22	7	6	9	17:22	-5	27
10	Cumbayá	22	5	11	6	22:22	0	26
11	22 de Julio	22	4	3	15	10:31	-21	15
12	El Nacional	22	2	6	14	15:32	-17	12

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg122%4.12X26%3.50252%1.73

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
1xBet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Betano	1.72	1.91	10.5%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.75	1.95	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.68	1.99	9.8%
Best of all books	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Average	1.68	2.00	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

El Nacional 10%Draw 45%Gualaceo SC 45%

The statistical model rates El Nacional at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Gualaceo SC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.12 | 3.50 | 1.73, which imply roughly 28.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Pro Serie B table: El Nacional are 12th (12 pts, 15-32 goals), Gualaceo SC 7th (29 pts, 19-16).

Over their last five matches, El Nacional averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Gualaceo SC averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Gualaceo SC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.12	3.50	1.73

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.91	1.16	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
3.08	1.33

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.68	2.01

1st half

1	X	2
4.46	2.21	2.30

2nd half

1	X	2
4.10	2.55	2.06

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.83	15.2	20.7
HT X	9.22	5.43	4.68
HT 2	37.0	15.2	2.72

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.58	11.5	1.58

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	10.2
1.5	1.21	3.58
2.5	1.75	1.95
3.5	2.83	1.33
4.5	5.30	1.11
5.5	9.50	1.04

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.30
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.33	2.83
2.25	1.53	2.26
2.75	1.92	1.73
3	2.24	1.52
3.25	2.53	1.42
3.75	3.42	1.23
4	4.60	1.13
4.25	4.90	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.30	1.49
+0.5	1.97	1.75
+0.75	1.73	1.90
+1	1.51	2.31
+1.25	1.38	2.62
+1.5	1.31	2.92

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1	8.10	1.02
-0.75	5.30	1.12
-0.25	3.42	1.23
0	3.04	1.29
+1.75	1.20	3.68
+2	1.10	5.15
+2.5	1.07	5.95

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.74	2.01
9	2.00	1.80

Latest Liga Pro Serie B results

22 Oct	Cumbayá 2-1 El Nacional
22 Oct	Cuniburo 2-0 Ind. Juniors
22 Oct	San Antonio 3-3 9 de Octubre
22 Oct	Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 2-2 Atletico FC
21 Oct	22 de Julio 2-2 LDU Portoviejo
17 Oct	LDU Portoviejo 0-0 Gualaceo SC