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Cumbayá vs El Nacional• Liga Pro Serie B, Ecuador

#103.6:1.220:00Tomorrow · Quito1.6:2.2#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.44BTNX4.50BFR28.00BFRMargin at best4.2%Books6Markets50Rating71 · 29Exp. goals L54.3

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 16:23 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.434.206.808.4%
Betfair1.334.508.009.9%
1xBet1.334.337.9010.9%
Betano1.443.906.3011.0%
Bet3651.404.206.2511.2%
Marathonbet1.324.337.5012.2%
Best of all books1.444.508.004.2%
Average1.384.247.1310.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CumbayáEl Nacional
Last 10#10Table position#121.18Points per game0.5510Form pts · last 533.6Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 52.269Attack rating3165Defence rating3577Form rating2380H2H rating2062Goals model3871Overall rating29

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 19:30 UTC

Cumbayá

3W 3D 4L · goals 22:15 · per match 2.2 for, 1.5 against

15 OctH22 de Julio7-1W
10 OctAGualaceo SC1-1D
1 OctHSanto Domingo0-3L
26 SepAEl Nacional3-0W
17 SepA22 de Julio7-1W
10 SepHGualaceo SC0-1L
4 SepASanto Domingo1-2L
26 AugHLDU Portoviejo0-0D
20 AugAAtletico FC0-3L
13 AugHSanto Domingo3-3D

El Nacional

2W 1D 7L · goals 12:18 · per match 1.2 for, 1.8 against

17 OctHSanto Domingo1-2L
7 OctA22 de Julio5-2W
3 OctALDU Portoviejo2-3L
26 SepHCumbayá0-3L
18 SepASanto Domingo0-1L
12 SepH22 de Julio3-0W
5 SepHLDU Portoviejo0-2L
29 AugAGualaceo SC0-3L
20 AugAInd. Juniors1-1D
13 AugHSan Antonio0-1L

Head to head

5Cumbayá wins
3draws
3El Nacional wins

11 meetings · goals 14:10 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Cumbayá

26 Sep 2026Liga Pro Serie BLiga Pro Serie BEl Nacional0-3Cumbayá
8 Jul 2026Liga Pro Serie BLiga Pro Serie BEl Nacional0-1Cumbayá
24 Apr 2026Liga Pro Serie BLiga Pro Serie BCumbayá2-1El Nacional
15 Sep 2024Liga ProLiga ProEl Nacional2-1Cumbayá
30 Mar 2024Liga ProLiga ProCumbayá1-0El Nacional
26 Aug 2023Liga ProLiga ProEl Nacional2-2Cumbayá
2 Apr 2023Liga ProLiga ProCumbayá2-0El Nacional
25 Aug 2021Liga Pro Serie BLiga Pro Serie BCumbayá0-0El Nacional
11 Jul 2021Liga Pro Serie BLiga Pro Serie BEl Nacional2-1Cumbayá
6 Jun 2021Liga Pro Serie BLiga Pro Serie BCumbayá1-1El Nacional

Liga Pro Serie B tableLiga Pro Serie Bupdated 21 Oct 14:30 UTC

In the Liga Pro Serie B table, Cumbayá sit 10th with 26 points from 22 games, while El Nacional are 12th with 12 points from 22.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Ind. Juniors22109328:16+1239
2Atletico FC22911225:14+1138
39 de Octubre22910322:14+837
4Deportivo Cuenca Juniors2297620:23-334
5Cuniburo2287725:17+831
6San Antonio22710524:21+331
7Gualaceo SC2278719:16+329
8Santo Domingo22610617:16+128
9LDU Portoviejo2276917:22-527
10Cumbayá22511622:22026
1122 de Julio22431510:31-2115
12El Nacional22261415:32-1712

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.38X21%4.24213%7.12

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Betfair1.871.906.1%
1xBet1.801.879.0%
Marathonbet1.801.879.0%
Betano1.821.829.9%
Best of all books1.872.003.5%
Average1.821.897.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.101.677.5%
1xBet2.061.659.1%
Marathonbet2.061.639.9%
Best of all books2.101.677.5%
Average2.071.658.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cumbayá 50%Draw 50%El Nacional 0%

The statistical model rates Cumbayá at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and El Nacional at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.38 | 4.24 | 7.12, which imply roughly 72.5% for a Cumbayá win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Liga Pro Serie B table: Cumbayá are 10th (26 pts, 22-22 goals), El Nacional 12th (12 pts, 15-32).

Over their last five matches, Cumbayá averaged 3.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; El Nacional averaged 1.6 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Cumbayá and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.384.247.12

Double chance

1XX212
1.052.711.15

Draw no bet

12
1.154.70

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.071.65

1st half

1X2
1.882.306.86

2nd half

1X2
1.682.706.43

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.0718.063.0
HT X3.996.2513.9
HT 221.318.812.0

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3311.63.54

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0210.6
1.51.253.45
2.51.821.89
3.53.061.31
4.56.101.10
5.511.81.02
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.018.70
1.251.134.60
1.751.283.08
21.362.70
2.251.582.16
2.751.991.66
32.381.46
3.252.691.36
3.753.581.21
44.951.11
4.254.781.14

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-23.051.28
-1.752.421.46
-1.52.081.63
-1.251.831.85
-11.602.08
-0.751.422.49
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.57.601.03
-36.801.04
-2.754.801.12
-2.53.781.19
-2.253.421.23
-0.251.203.68
01.075.80

Latest Liga Pro Serie B results

17 OctLDU Portoviejo 0-0 Gualaceo SC
17 OctEl Nacional 1-2 Santo Domingo
16 OctSan Antonio 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
15 OctCumbayá 7-1 22 de Julio
15 OctAtletico FC 1-0 Ind. Juniors
10 OctGualaceo SC 1-1 Cumbayá