El Nacional vs Santo Domingo• Liga Pro Serie B, Ecuador

#122.0:1.81-2FTToday · Quito1.2:0.8#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.15WHX3.18PIN23.25WHMargin at best8.7%Books4Markets43Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.14	3.18	3.23	9.1%
William Hill	2.15	3.00	3.25	10.6%
1xBet	2.13	3.12	3.13	10.9%
Marathonbet	2.11	3.12	3.05	12.2%
Best of all books	2.15	3.18	3.25	8.7%
Average	2.13	3.11	3.17	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

El NacionalSanto Domingo

Last 10#12Table position#80.55Points per game1.276Form pts · last 572.0Goals for · last 51.21.8Goals against · last 50.863Attack rating3831Defence rating6946Form rating5450H2H rating5029Goals model7145Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 14:42 UTC

El Nacional

3W 1D 6L · goals 12:16 · per match 1.2 for, 1.6 against

7 Oct	A	22 de Julio	5-2	W
3 Oct	A	LDU Portoviejo	2-3	L
26 Sep	H	Cumbayá	0-3	L
18 Sep	A	Santo Domingo	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	22 de Julio	3-0	W
5 Sep	H	LDU Portoviejo	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Gualaceo SC	0-3	L
20 Aug	A	Ind. Juniors	1-1	D
13 Aug	H	San Antonio	0-1	L
6 Aug	H	9 de Octubre	1-0	W

Santo Domingo

5W 3D 2L · goals 15:8 · per match 1.5 for, 0.8 against

8 Oct	H	LDU Portoviejo	2-2	D
1 Oct	A	Cumbayá	3-0	W
27 Sep	H	Gualaceo SC	0-1	L
18 Sep	H	El Nacional	1-0	W
11 Sep	A	LDU Portoviejo	0-1	L
4 Sep	H	Cumbayá	2-1	W
27 Aug	A	22 de Julio	3-0	W
22 Aug	H	Cuniburo	0-0	D
13 Aug	A	Cumbayá	3-3	D
6 Aug	A	Atletico FC	1-0	W

Head to head

1El Nacional wins

2draws

1Santo Domingo wins

4 meetings · goals 4:4 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for El Nacional

18 Sep 2026Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	Santo Domingo1-0El Nacional
11 Jun 2026Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	El Nacional0-0Santo Domingo
10 Apr 2026Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	Santo Domingo1-1El Nacional
4 Sep 2024Copa Ecuador	Copa Ecuador	Santo Domingo2-3El Nacional

Liga Pro Serie B tableLiga Pro Serie Bupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Liga Pro Serie B table, El Nacional sit 12th with 12 points from 22 games, while Santo Domingo are 8th with 28 points from 22.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ind. Juniors	22	10	9	3	28:16	+12	39
2	Atletico FC	22	9	11	2	25:14	+11	38
3	9 de Octubre	22	9	10	3	22:14	+8	37
4	Deportivo Cuenca Juniors	22	9	7	6	20:23	-3	34
5	Cuniburo	22	8	7	7	25:17	+8	31
6	San Antonio	22	7	10	5	24:21	+3	31
7	Gualaceo SC	22	7	8	7	19:16	+3	29
8	Santo Domingo	22	6	10	6	17:16	+1	28
9	LDU Portoviejo	22	7	6	9	17:22	-5	27
10	Cumbayá	22	5	11	6	22:22	0	26
11	22 de Julio	22	4	3	15	10:31	-21	15
12	El Nacional	22	2	6	14	15:32	-17	12

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.13X29%3.11229%3.17

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.09	1.70	6.7%
1xBet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Best of all books	2.09	1.70	6.7%
Average	2.04	1.69	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.84	9.9%
Best of all books	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Average	1.80	1.87	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

El Nacional 10%Draw 45%Santo Domingo 45%

The statistical model rated El Nacional at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Santo Domingo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.13 | 3.11 | 3.17, which imply roughly 32.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Pro Serie B table: El Nacional are 12th (12 pts, 15-32 goals), Santo Domingo 8th (28 pts, 17-16).

Over their last five matches, El Nacional averaged 2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Santo Domingo averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Santo Domingo.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.13	3.11	3.17

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.27	1.57	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.57	2.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	1.87

1st half

1	X	2
2.75	2.03	3.83

2nd half

1	X	2
2.53	2.30	3.51

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.50	16.5	34.0
HT X	5.40	4.40	7.30
HT 2	26.0	16.5	5.30

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.81	7.70	2.27

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.30
1.5	1.32	2.98
2.5	2.04	1.69
3.5	3.50	1.22
4.5	7.40	1.05
5.5	17.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.55
1.25	1.18	3.88
1.75	1.40	2.62
2	1.53	2.28
2.25	1.80	1.89
2.75	2.33	1.50
3	2.89	1.34
3.25	3.20	1.26
3.75	4.30	1.14
4	6.05	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.47	1.45
-0.5	2.13	1.68
-0.25	1.83	1.86
0	1.55	2.28
+0.25	1.39	2.65
+0.5	1.32	3.16

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.70	1.01
-2	7.90	1.02
-1.75	5.19	1.10
-1.5	4.15	1.16
-1.25	3.72	1.20
-1	3.27	1.27
+0.75	1.19	3.78
+1	1.08	5.65
+1.5	1.05	6.55