PAOK vs AEK Athens FC• Cup, Greece

0.5:0.018:30Tomorrow · Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki5.0:0.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.45BTNX3.20BTN23.05DAFMargin at best4.9%Books5Markets68Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 05:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.43	3.20	3.05	5.2%
Betano	2.45	3.20	3.00	5.4%
1xBet	2.33	2.94	2.94	10.9%
Betfair	2.30	3.10	2.80	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.31	2.94	2.86	12.3%
Best of all books	2.45	3.20	3.05	4.9%
Average	2.36	3.08	2.93	8.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PAOKAEK Athens FC

Last 109Form pts · last 590.5Goals for · last 55.00.0Goals against · last 50.59Attack rating91100Defence rating040Form rating6062H2H rating380Goals model040Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 21:01 UTC

PAOK

5W 1D 4L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against

25 Oct	A	OFI	1-2	L
18 Oct	H	Iraklis 1908	2-1	W
12 Oct	H	Kalamata	1-3	L
20 Sep	A	Panetolikos	3-1	W
16 Sep	A	Atromitos	1-0	W
13 Sep	H	Aris Thessalonikis	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Panathinaikos	1-3	L
2 Sep	H	OFI	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	Atromitos	2-1	W
27 Aug	A	Brann	2-3	L

AEK Athens FC

7W 1D 2L · goals 29:11 · per match 2.9 for, 1.1 against

24 Oct	H	Panetolikos	5-0	W
20 Oct	A	Manchester City	1-5	L
14 Oct	A	Shakhtar Donetsk	1-3	L
10 Oct	H	OFI	3-0	W
20 Sep	A	Volos NFC	2-1	W
17 Sep	H	Panserraikos	8-1	W
13 Sep	A	Asteras Tripolis	1-1	D
8 Sep	H	Lask Linz	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Aris Thessalonikis	5-0	W
2 Sep	A	Nestos Chrisoupolis	2-0	W

Head to head

26PAOK wins

17draws

15AEK Athens FC wins

58 meetings · goals 63:54 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for PAOK

13 May 2026Super League 1	Super League 1	PAOK1-1AEK Athens FC
19 Apr 2026Super League 1	Super League 1	AEK Athens FC3-0PAOK
15 Feb 2026Super League 1	Super League 1	PAOK0-0AEK Athens FC
19 Oct 2025Super League 1	Super League 1	AEK Athens FC0-2PAOK
11 May 2025Super League 1	Super League 1	PAOK1-0AEK Athens FC
30 Mar 2025Super League 1	Super League 1	AEK Athens FC2-3PAOK
2 Feb 2025Super League 1	Super League 1	PAOK1-2AEK Athens FC
9 Jan 2025Cup	Cup	PAOK1-1AEK Athens FC
18 Dec 2024Cup	Cup	AEK Athens FC1-0PAOK
20 Oct 2024Super League 1	Super League 1	AEK Athens FC1-1PAOK

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.36X30%3.08231%2.93

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.26 → 2.36 +4.4%X3.04 → 3.08 +1.3%23.18 → 2.93 -7.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.22	1.70	3.9%
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Best of all books	2.22	1.70	3.9%
Average	2.12	1.66	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.87	1.87	7.0%
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.83	9.9%
Best of all books	1.87	1.87	7.0%
Average	1.83	1.85	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

PAOK 35%Draw 35%AEK Athens FC 30%

The statistical model rates PAOK at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and AEK Athens FC at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.36 | 3.08 | 2.93, which imply roughly 42.4% for a PAOK win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, PAOK averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; AEK Athens FC averaged 5 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : PAOK or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.36	3.08	2.93

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.52	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.70	2.07

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
3.01	1.97	3.71

2nd half

1	X	2
2.68	2.31	3.27

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.78	14.7	32.3
HT X	5.47	4.43	6.70
HT 2	28.3	14.8	5.10

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.91	7.10	2.18

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.77
1.5	1.35	2.92
2.5	2.12	1.66
3.5	3.78	1.22
4.5	7.80	1.06
5.5	15.7	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.00
1.25	1.20	3.72
1.75	1.42	2.50
2	1.60	2.18
2.25	1.82	1.82
2.75	2.36	1.48
3	3.05	1.33
3.25	3.28	1.25
3.75	4.50	1.17
4	6.25	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.75	1.36
-0.5	2.42	1.60
-0.25	1.96	1.69
0	1.66	2.03
+0.25	1.45	2.42
+0.5	1.42	2.95

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.30	1.01
-2	8.90	1.01
-1.75	5.70	1.10
-1.5	4.60	1.13
-1.25	4.20	1.16
-1	3.78	1.22
+0.75	1.22	3.50
+1	1.10	5.10
+1.5	1.06	6.00

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.03	9.75
2.5	1.11	5.80
3.5	1.27	3.55
4.5	1.55	2.37
5.5	2.00	1.75
6.5	2.72	1.42
7.5	3.85	1.23
8.5	5.50	1.13
9.5	7.60	1.07

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.02	11.8
4.5	1.04	9.00
5.5	1.11	6.00
6.5	1.23	3.85
7.5	1.44	2.65
8.5	1.68	2.10
9.5	2.16	1.63
10.5	2.94	1.36
11.5	4.45	1.18
12.5	6.10	1.10
13.5	8.00	1.06
14.5	10.3	1.03
15.5	12.0	1.01

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8	1.35	2.82
9	1.73	1.94
10	2.40	1.48

Next Cup matches

27 Oct	Panserraikos – Niki Volos
27 Oct	Asteras Tripolis – Kifisia
28 Oct	Marko – Olympiakos Piraeus
28 Oct	Nestos Chrisoupolis – Kalamata
28 Oct	Panathinaikos – Aris Thessalonikis
28 Oct	Larisa – OFI

All Cup fixtures and the table