Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis• Cup, Greece

1.5:0.015:30Tomorrow · Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens1.3:0.3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75BTNX3.65BTN24.90BTNMargin at best4.9%Books5Markets68Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L51.6

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 05:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.78	3.55	4.90	4.8%
Dafabet	1.75	3.65	4.90	4.9%
1xBet	1.67	3.40	4.62	10.9%
Betfair	1.67	3.40	4.60	11.0%
Marathonbet	1.65	3.40	4.50	12.2%
Best of all books	1.78	3.65	4.90	4.0%
Average	1.70	3.48	4.70	8.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PanathinaikosAris Thessalonikis

Last 1012Form pts · last 5131.5Goals for · last 51.30.0Goals against · last 50.343Attack rating57100Defence rating046Form rating5462H2H rating38100Goals model053Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 19:50 UTC

Panathinaikos

9W 0D 1L · goals 25:6 · per match 2.5 for, 0.6 against

25 Oct	A	Volos NFC	1-0	W
22 Oct	A	Kairat Almaty	5-1	W
18 Oct	H	Asteras Tripolis	5-1	W
15 Oct	H	Borac Banja Luka	2-1	W
11 Oct	A	Olympiakos Piraeus	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Kalamata	1-0	W
16 Sep	A	Kifisia	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Panetolikos	3-0	W
10 Sep	H	Kifisia	3-1	W
6 Sep	H	PAOK	3-1	W

Aris Thessalonikis

6W 2D 2L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

25 Oct	H	Atromitos	3-1	W
18 Oct	A	Kifisia	2-1	W
11 Oct	H	Volos NFC	3-2	W
19 Sep	H	Iraklis 1908	0-0	D
16 Sep	H	Marko	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	PAOK	0-2	L
10 Sep	A	Asteras Tripolis	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	AEK Athens FC	0-5	L
30 Aug	H	OFI	2-1	W
22 Aug	A	Kalamata	3-2	W

Head to head

17Panathinaikos wins

8draws

9Aris Thessalonikis wins

34 meetings · goals 38:25 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Panathinaikos

1 Mar 2026Super League 1	Super League 1	Panathinaikos3-1Aris Thessalonikis
14 Jan 2026Cup	Cup	Panathinaikos3-0Aris Thessalonikis
19 Oct 2025Super League 1	Super League 1	Aris Thessalonikis1-1Panathinaikos
9 Feb 2025Super League 1	Super League 1	Aris Thessalonikis2-0Panathinaikos
27 Oct 2024Super League 1	Super League 1	Panathinaikos1-1Aris Thessalonikis
25 May 2024Cup	Cup	Panathinaikos1-0Aris Thessalonikis
28 Apr 2024Super League 1	Super League 1	Panathinaikos0-1Aris Thessalonikis
7 Apr 2024Super League 1	Super League 1	Aris Thessalonikis0-2Panathinaikos
28 Feb 2024Super League 1	Super League 1	Panathinaikos2-0Aris Thessalonikis
26 Nov 2023Super League 1	Super League 1	Aris Thessalonikis2-0Panathinaikos

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.69X26%3.52219%4.73

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.22	1.70	3.9%
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Best of all books	2.22	1.70	3.9%
Average	2.12	1.66	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	2.05	1.72	6.9%
Betfair	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	1.97	1.72	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.97	1.69	9.9%
Best of all books	2.05	1.73	6.6%
Average	2.00	1.71	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Panathinaikos 45%Draw 45%Aris Thessalonikis 10%

The statistical model rates Panathinaikos at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Aris Thessalonikis at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.69 | 3.52 | 4.73, which imply roughly 59.2% for a Panathinaikos win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Panathinaikos averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Aris Thessalonikis averaged 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Panathinaikos or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.70	3.48	4.70

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.00	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	3.35

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.00	1.72

1st half

1	X	2
2.31	2.07	5.25

2nd half

1	X	2
2.09	2.37	4.73

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.73	15.7	50.3
HT X	4.50	4.78	9.90
HT 2	25.0	15.8	7.95

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.53	8.10	2.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.93
1.5	1.35	2.92
2.5	2.12	1.66
3.5	3.87	1.21
4.5	7.77	1.06
5.5	15.7	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.70
1.25	1.18	3.82
1.75	1.42	2.50
2	1.60	2.19
2.25	1.82	1.82
2.75	2.42	1.46
3	3.13	1.31
3.25	3.34	1.24
3.75	4.60	1.16
4	6.75	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.05	1.32
-1.25	2.62	1.38
-1	2.33	1.55
-0.75	1.86	1.76
-0.5	1.75	2.12
-0.25	1.45	2.41

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.35	1.06
-2	5.45	1.08
-1.75	3.80	1.19
0	1.24	3.34
+0.25	1.18	3.88
+0.75	1.11	5.50
+1	1.03	8.30
+1.5	1.02	9.40

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.04	9.25
2.5	1.13	5.50
3.5	1.30	3.30
4.5	1.62	2.22
5.5	2.12	1.67
6.5	2.95	1.37
7.5	4.25	1.20
8.5	6.00	1.11
9.5	8.25	1.05

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.02	11.8
4.5	1.05	8.75
5.5	1.11	5.80
6.5	1.24	3.85
7.5	1.39	2.80
8.5	1.72	2.02
9.5	2.25	1.58
10.5	3.20	1.32
11.5	4.45	1.18
12.5	6.20	1.10
13.5	8.00	1.06
14.5	10.5	1.03
15.5	12.5	1.01

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8	1.42	2.58
9	1.85	1.81
10	2.63	1.40

Next Cup matches

27 Oct	Panserraikos – Niki Volos
27 Oct	Asteras Tripolis – Kifisia
28 Oct	Marko – Olympiakos Piraeus
28 Oct	Nestos Chrisoupolis – Kalamata
28 Oct	Larisa – OFI
28 Oct	PAOK – AEK Athens FC

All Cup fixtures and the table