Orenburg II vs Nosta• Second League - Group 4, Russia

#71.4:2.010:30Today1.8:0.4#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.011XBX3.45DAF23.201XBMargin at best10.0%Books3Markets36Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.00	3.45	3.20	10.2%
1xBet	2.01	3.34	3.20	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.99	3.34	3.12	12.2%
Best of all books	2.01	3.45	3.20	10.0%
Average	2.00	3.38	3.17	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Orenburg IINosta

Last 10#7Table position#111.18Points per game0.825Form pts · last 5131.4Goals for · last 51.82.0Goals against · last 50.444Attack rating5617Defence rating8328Form rating7240H2H rating6077Goals model2343Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 01:01 UTC

Orenburg II

4W 3D 3L · goals 16:14 · per match 1.6 for, 1.4 against

19 Oct	A	Rubin Kazan 2	2-1	W
11 Oct	H	Ural II	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Izhevsk	1-3	L
27 Sep	A	Nosta	0-2	L
20 Sep	H	Rubin Kazan 2	3-3	D
13 Sep	A	Ural II	1-1	D
7 Sep	H	Izhevsk	3-0	W
30 Aug	H	Chelyabinsk II	2-0	W
23 Aug	H	Chelyabinsk II	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	Khimik Dzerzhinsk	1-2	L

Nosta

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:9 · per match 1.4 for, 0.9 against

18 Oct	A	Chelyabinsk II	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Rubin Kazan 2	2-1	W
4 Oct	A	Ural II	2-1	W
27 Sep	H	Orenburg II	2-0	W
20 Sep	H	Chelyabinsk II	3-0	W
13 Sep	A	Rubin Kazan 2	0-2	L
6 Sep	H	Ural II	0-1	L
30 Aug	A	Izhevsk	2-1	W
26 Aug	H	FK Sokol Saratov	1-1	D
23 Aug	H	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	2-2	D

Head to head

5Orenburg II wins

3draws

9Nosta wins

17 meetings · goals 17:26 · last 10: 4W 1D 5L for Orenburg II

27 Sep 2026Second League - Group 4	Second League - Group 4	Nosta2-0Orenburg II
5 Jul 2026Second League - Group 4	Second League - Group 4	Nosta1-0Orenburg II
3 May 2026Second League - Group 4	Second League - Group 4	Orenburg II3-0Nosta
6 Oct 2025Second League - Group 4	Second League - Group 4	Orenburg II2-0Nosta
29 Jun 2025Second League - Group 4	Second League - Group 4	Nosta3-2Orenburg II
13 Sep 2024Second League - Group 4	Second League - Group 4	Orenburg II2-1Nosta
8 Jun 2024Second League - Group 4	Second League - Group 4	Nosta2-1Orenburg II
8 Oct 2023Second League - Group 4	Second League - Group 4	Orenburg II0-2Nosta
13 Aug 2023Second League - Group 4	Second League - Group 4	Nosta1-1Orenburg II
4 Jun 2023Second League - Group 4	Second League - Group 4	Orenburg II3-0Nosta

Second League - Group 4 tableUralsupdated 24 Oct 14:11 UTC

In the Second League - Group 4 table, Orenburg II sit 7th with 26 points from 22 games, while Nosta are 11th with 18 points from 22.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Khimik Dzerzhinsk	22	18	2	2	57:16	+41	56
2	KDV	22	17	2	3	40:20	+20	53
3	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	22	13	4	5	51:33	+18	43
4	Akron II	22	10	2	10	46:34	+12	32
5	Krylya Sovetov II	22	6	9	7	25:26	-1	27
6	Dinamo Barnaul	22	7	5	10	31:50	-19	26
7	Orenburg II	22	6	8	8	31:35	-4	26
8	Izhevsk	22	5	8	9	30:32	-2	23
9	Ural II	22	5	7	10	34:44	-10	22
10	Rubin Kazan 2	22	4	8	10	25:35	-10	20
11	Nosta	22	4	6	12	20:48	-28	18
12	Chelyabinsk II	22	4	5	13	19:36	-17	17

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.00X27%3.38228%3.17

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.04 → 2.00 -2.0%X3.38 → 3.38 0.0%23.23 → 3.17 -1.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Best of all books	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Average	1.79	1.88	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.65	2.07	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.03	9.9%
Best of all books	1.65	2.07	8.9%
Average	1.65	2.05	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Orenburg II 10%Draw 45%Nosta 45%

The statistical model rates Orenburg II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Nosta at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.00 | 3.38 | 3.17, which imply roughly 29.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Second League - Group 4 table: Orenburg II are 7th (26 pts, 31-35 goals), Nosta 11th (18 pts, 20-48).

Over their last five matches, Orenburg II averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Nosta averaged 1.8 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Nosta.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.00	3.38	3.17

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.62	1.22

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.05

1st half

1	X	2
2.61	2.12	3.82

2nd half

1	X	2
2.39	2.46	3.44

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.10	15.0	30.0
HT X	6.20	5.80	7.50
HT 2	20.0	13.0	5.60

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.70	12.8	2.19

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.00
1.5	1.21	3.58
2.5	1.79	1.88
3.5	2.97	1.30
4.5	5.80	1.07

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.90
1.75	1.27	3.14
2	1.35	2.74
2.25	1.57	2.16
2.75	2.00	1.68
3	2.35	1.47
3.25	2.70	1.37
3.75	3.68	1.20
4	5.05	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.42	1.23
-1	3.04	1.29
-0.75	2.34	1.48
-0.25	1.75	1.90
0	1.50	2.34
+0.25	1.36	2.71

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.60	1.01
-2	7.60	1.03
-1.5	3.88	1.18
+0.75	1.17	3.96
+1	1.06	6.05
+1.5	1.04	7.10

Next Second League - Group 4 matches

25 Oct

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod – Dinamo Barnaul

All Second League - Group 4 fixtures and the table

Latest Second League - Group 4 results

24 Oct	Izhevsk 1-1 Rubin Kazan 2
11 Oct	Khimik Dzerzhinsk 5-0 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
11 Oct	Orenburg II 1-1 Ural II
11 Oct	Nosta 2-1 Rubin Kazan 2
11 Oct	Krylya Sovetov II 2-3 Akron II
4 Oct	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 1-2 Krylya Sovetov II