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Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod• Second League - Group 4, Russia

#11.4:0.65-0FT11/101.0:1.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.52DAFX4.151XB25.20DAFMargin at best9.1%Books2Markets39Rating73 · 27Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.524.105.209.4%
1xBet1.494.155.0611.0%
Best of all books1.524.155.209.1%
Average1.504.135.1310.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Khimik DzerzhinskPobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Last 10#1Table position#32.55Points per game1.9512Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 51.00.6Goals against · last 51.458Attack rating4270Defence rating3075Form rating2588H2H rating1366Goals model3473Overall rating27

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 14:51 UTC

Khimik Dzerzhinsk

7W 0D 3L · goals 17:9 · per match 1.7 for, 0.9 against

4 OctAKDV2-0W
27 SepAKrylya Sovetov II1-0W
20 SepHAkron II1-2L
13 SepAPobeda Nizhniy Novgorod1-0W
6 SepHKDV2-1W
30 AugHDinamo Barnaul3-0W
23 AugAKDV0-1L
16 AugHOrenburg II2-1W
12 AugHNosta2-3L
9 AugARubin Kazan 23-1W

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

2W 2D 6L · goals 14:23 · per match 1.4 for, 2.3 against

4 OctHKrylya Sovetov II1-2L
25 SepADinamo Barnaul2-2D
20 SepAKDV1-2L
13 SepHKhimik Dzerzhinsk0-1L
6 SepAKrylya Sovetov II1-0W
30 AugHAkron II3-2W
23 AugANosta2-2D
16 AugHDinamo Barnaul2-3L
12 AugAAmkar0-2L
9 AugAAkron II2-7L

Head to head

2Khimik Dzerzhinsk wins
1draws
0Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod wins

3 meetings · goals 4:1 · last 3: 2W 1D 0L for Khimik Dzerzhinsk

13 Sep 2026Second League - Group 4Second League - Group 4Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod0-1Khimik Dzerzhinsk
5 Jul 2026Second League - Group 4Second League - Group 4Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod1-1Khimik Dzerzhinsk
3 May 2026Second League - Group 4Second League - Group 4Khimik Dzerzhinsk2-0Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

Second League - Group 4 tableUralsupdated 11 Oct 16:21 UTC

In the Second League - Group 4 table, Khimik Dzerzhinsk sit 1st with 56 points from 22 games, while Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod are 3rd with 43 points from 22.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Khimik Dzerzhinsk22182257:16+4156
2KDV22172340:20+2053
3Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod22134551:33+1843
4Akron II221021046:34+1232
5Krylya Sovetov II2269725:26-127
6Dinamo Barnaul22751031:50-1926
7Orenburg II2268831:35-426
8Izhevsk2258930:32-223
9Ural II22571034:44-1022
10Rubin Kazan 222481025:35-1020
11Nosta22461220:48-2818
12Chelyabinsk II22451319:36-1717

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.51X22%4.13218%5.13

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

9 Oct 13:5011 Oct 14:201 1.51X 4.132 5.13
11.54 → 1.51 -1.9%X4.15 → 4.13 -0.5%25.01 → 5.13 +2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.482.3310.5%
Best of all books1.482.3310.5%
Average1.482.3310.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.572.209.1%
Best of all books1.572.209.1%
Average1.572.209.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Khimik Dzerzhinsk 45%Draw 45%Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 10%

The statistical model rated Khimik Dzerzhinsk at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.51 | 4.13 | 5.13, which imply roughly 66.2% for a Khimik Dzerzhinsk win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Second League - Group 4 table: Khimik Dzerzhinsk are 1st (56 pts, 57-16 goals), Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 3rd (43 pts, 51-33).

Over their last five matches, Khimik Dzerzhinsk averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Khimik Dzerzhinsk or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.514.135.13

Double chance

1XX212
1.092.251.14

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.572.20

1st half

1X2
2.002.425.06

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0113.0
1.51.154.70
2.51.482.33
3.52.241.55
4.53.741.19
5.57.001.06
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0310.5
21.183.84
2.251.332.83
2.751.592.10
31.771.85
3.252.011.68
3.752.561.40
43.141.27
4.253.421.23
56.101.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.701.36
-1.52.301.49
-1.252.071.61
-11.831.83
-0.751.612.07
-0.251.342.78
5 more lines
LineHomeAway
-37.101.04
-2.54.101.16
-23.421.23
01.193.80
+0.251.154.20

Latest Second League - Group 4 results

11 OctOrenburg II 1-1 Ural II
11 OctNosta 2-1 Rubin Kazan 2
11 OctKrylya Sovetov II 2-3 Akron II
4 OctPobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 1-2 Krylya Sovetov II
4 OctIzhevsk 3-1 Orenburg II
4 OctAkron II 2-0 Dinamo Barnaul