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Ural II vs Nosta• Second League - Group 4, Russia

#91.4:1.81-2FT04/101.4:0.8#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.381XBX3.971XB22.631XBMargin at best5.2%Books1Markets16Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.363.982.645.4%
Best of all books2.363.982.645.4%
Average2.363.982.645.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ural IINosta
Last 10#9Table position#111.00Points per game0.824Form pts · last 591.4Goals for · last 51.41.8Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5031Defence rating6931Form rating6971H2H rating2966Goals model3452Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 14:51 UTC

Ural II

2W 1D 7L · goals 13:20 · per match 1.3 for, 2.0 against

4 OctHNosta1-2L
27 SepAChelyabinsk II2-3L
20 SepAIzhevsk1-2L
13 SepHOrenburg II1-1D
6 SepANosta1-0W
30 AugHRubin Kazan 22-3L
23 AugARubin Kazan 22-1W
16 AugHNosta1-2L
9 AugADinamo Barnaul1-3L
2 AugHAkron II1-3L

Nosta

6W 2D 2L · goals 17:11 · per match 1.7 for, 1.1 against

4 OctAUral II2-1W
27 SepHOrenburg II2-0W
20 SepHChelyabinsk II3-0W
13 SepARubin Kazan 20-2L
6 SepHUral II0-1L
30 AugAIzhevsk2-1W
26 AugHFK Sokol Saratov1-1D
23 AugHPobeda Nizhniy Novgorod2-2D
16 AugAUral II2-1W
12 AugAKhimik Dzerzhinsk3-2W

Head to head

7Ural II wins
4draws
5Nosta wins

16 meetings · goals 19:19 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Ural II

6 Sep 2026Second League - Group 4Second League - Group 4Nosta0-1Ural II
16 Aug 2026Second League - Group 4Second League - Group 4Ural II1-2Nosta
7 Jun 2026Second League - Group 4Second League - Group 4Nosta0-2Ural II
7 Sep 2025Second League - Group 4Second League - Group 4Ural II1-0Nosta
1 Jun 2025Second League - Group 4Second League - Group 4Nosta2-2Ural II
30 Aug 2024Second League - Group 4Second League - Group 4Ural II0-0Nosta
26 May 2024Second League - Group 4Second League - Group 4Nosta1-2Ural II
17 Sep 2023Second League - Group 4Second League - Group 4Nosta3-1Ural II
23 Jul 2023Second League - Group 4Second League - Group 4Ural II0-0Nosta
28 May 2023Second League - Group 4Second League - Group 4Nosta0-2Ural II

Second League - Group 4 tableUralsupdated 11 Oct 16:21 UTC

In the Second League - Group 4 table, Ural II sit 9th with 22 points from 22 games, while Nosta are 11th with 18 points from 22.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Khimik Dzerzhinsk22182257:16+4156
2KDV22172340:20+2053
3Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod22134551:33+1843
4Akron II221021046:34+1232
5Krylya Sovetov II2269725:26-127
6Dinamo Barnaul22751031:50-1926
7Orenburg II2268831:35-426
8Izhevsk2258930:32-223
9Ural II22571034:44-1022
10Rubin Kazan 222481025:35-1020
11Nosta22461220:48-2818
12Chelyabinsk II22451319:36-1717

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.34X25%3.65235%2.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

2 Oct 01:114 Oct 07:011 2.34X 3.652 2.61
12.36 → 2.34 -0.8%X3.98 → 3.65 -8.3%22.64 → 2.61 -1.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.622.285.6%
Best of all books1.622.285.6%
Average1.622.285.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.562.386.1%
Best of all books1.562.386.1%
Average1.562.386.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ural II 45%Draw 45%Nosta 10%

The statistical model rated Ural II at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Nosta at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.34 | 3.65 | 2.61, which imply roughly 42.7% for a Ural II win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Second League - Group 4 table: Ural II are 9th (22 pts, 34-44 goals), Nosta 11th (18 pts, 20-48).

Over their last five matches, Ural II averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Nosta averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Ural II or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.363.982.64

Double chance

1XX212
1.421.511.29

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.562.38

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.164.49
21.243.50
2.51.622.28
31.921.78
3.52.421.54
43.601.24
4.54.191.18
5.58.551.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.54.201.17
-13.501.25
01.751.96
+11.194.10
+1.51.134.80

Latest Second League - Group 4 results

11 OctKhimik Dzerzhinsk 5-0 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
11 OctOrenburg II 1-1 Ural II
11 OctNosta 2-1 Rubin Kazan 2
11 OctKrylya Sovetov II 2-3 Akron II
4 OctPobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 1-2 Krylya Sovetov II
4 OctIzhevsk 3-1 Orenburg II