Nosta vs 
Orenburg II• Second League - Group 4, Russia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 25 Sep 00:30 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.79 | 3.50 | 2.24 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.79 | 3.50 | 2.24 | 9.1% |
| Average | 2.79 | 3.50 | 2.24 | 9.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 08:31 UTC
Nosta
6W 2D 2L · goals 17:11 · per match 1.7 for, 1.1 against
| 4 Oct | A | Ural II | 2-1 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Orenburg II | 2-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Chelyabinsk II | 3-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Rubin Kazan 2 | 0-2 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Ural II | 0-1 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Izhevsk | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Aug | H | FK Sokol Saratov | 1-1 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod | 2-2 | D |
| 16 Aug | A | Ural II | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Aug | A | Khimik Dzerzhinsk | 3-2 | W |
Orenburg II
4W 2D 4L · goals 17:16 · per match 1.7 for, 1.6 against
| 4 Oct | A | Izhevsk | 1-3 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Nosta | 0-2 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Rubin Kazan 2 | 3-3 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Ural II | 1-1 | D |
| 7 Sep | H | Izhevsk | 3-0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Chelyabinsk II | 2-0 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Chelyabinsk II | 2-1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Khimik Dzerzhinsk | 1-2 | L |
| 9 Aug | H | Izhevsk | 3-2 | W |
| 2 Aug | A | KDV | 1-2 | L |
Head to head
16 meetings · goals 24:17 · last 10: 4W 1D 5L for Nosta
| 5 Jul 2026Second League - Group 4 | Second League - Group 4 | Nosta1-0Orenburg II |
| 3 May 2026Second League - Group 4 | Second League - Group 4 | Orenburg II3-0Nosta |
| 6 Oct 2025Second League - Group 4 | Second League - Group 4 | Orenburg II2-0Nosta |
| 29 Jun 2025Second League - Group 4 | Second League - Group 4 | Nosta3-2Orenburg II |
| 13 Sep 2024Second League - Group 4 | Second League - Group 4 | Orenburg II2-1Nosta |
| 8 Jun 2024Second League - Group 4 | Second League - Group 4 | Nosta2-1Orenburg II |
| 8 Oct 2023Second League - Group 4 | Second League - Group 4 | Orenburg II0-2Nosta |
| 13 Aug 2023Second League - Group 4 | Second League - Group 4 | Nosta1-1Orenburg II |
| 4 Jun 2023Second League - Group 4 | Second League - Group 4 | Orenburg II3-0Nosta |
| 9 Apr 2023Second League - Group 4 | Second League - Group 4 | Orenburg II2-1Nosta |
Second League - Group 4 tableUralsupdated 11 Oct 16:21 UTC
In the Second League - Group 4 table, Nosta sit 11th with 18 points from 22 games, while Orenburg II are 7th with 26 points from 22.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khimik Dzerzhinsk | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 57:16 | +41 | 56 |
| 2 | KDV | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 40:20 | +20 | 53 |
| 3 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 51:33 | +18 | 43 |
| 4 | Akron II | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 46:34 | +12 | 32 |
| 5 | Krylya Sovetov II | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 27 |
| 6 | Dinamo Barnaul | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 31:50 | -19 | 26 |
| 7 | Orenburg II | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 31:35 | -4 | 26 |
| 8 | Izhevsk | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 30:32 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Ural II | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 34:44 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 | Rubin Kazan 2 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 20 |
| 11 | Nosta | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 20:48 | -28 | 18 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk II | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 19:36 | -17 | 17 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.9% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 1.90 | 8.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.80 | 1.90 | 8.2% |
| Average | 1.80 | 1.90 | 8.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 2.09 | 5.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.74 | 2.09 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.74 | 2.09 | 5.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Nosta at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Orenburg II at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.72 | 3.42 | 2.20, which imply roughly 29.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Second League - Group 4 table: Nosta are 11th (18 pts, 20-48 goals), Orenburg II 7th (26 pts, 31-35).
Over their last five matches, Nosta averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Orenburg II averaged 2.2 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Orenburg II.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.79 | 3.50 | 2.24 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.59 | 1.39 | 1.26 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.74 | 2.09 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.24 | 3.50 |
| 2 | 1.39 | 2.75 |
| 2.5 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| 3 | 2.38 | 1.51 |
| 3.5 | 3.00 | 1.32 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 5.30 | 1.11 |
| -1 | 4.40 | 1.16 |
| 0 | 2.06 | 1.68 |
| +1 | 1.27 | 3.30 |
| +1.5 | 1.18 | 4.10 |