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Machida Zelvia vs Shanghai Shenhua• AFC Champions League Two, World

1.3:0.02-1LiveToday · Machida GION Stadium, Tokyo0.7:0.7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.35PINX5.20DAF28.09PINMargin at best5.7%Books10Markets69Rating68 · 32Exp. goals L51.4

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.355.188.095.7%
Dafabet1.345.207.806.7%
1xBet1.344.907.957.6%
Betano1.344.757.409.2%
BetVictor1.304.808.0010.3%
Betfair1.304.757.5011.3%
Marathonbet1.314.557.4011.8%
Bet3651.334.756.2512.2%
William Hill1.304.507.0013.4%
SBO1.304.566.5714.1%
Best of all books1.355.208.095.7%
Average1.324.797.4010.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Machida ZelviaShanghai Shenhua
Last 1011Form pts · last 571.3Goals for · last 50.70.0Goals against · last 50.767Attack rating33100Defence rating069Form rating31100H2H rating00Goals model068Overall rating32

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Nov 21:00 UTC

Machida Zelvia

6W 3D 1L · goals 15:5 · per match 1.5 for, 0.5 against

1 NovHGamba Osaka0-0D
29 OctAShanghai Shenhua1-0W
24 OctAVissel Kobe0-0D
21 OctAShimizu S-pulse5-0W
18 OctHAvispa Fukuoka3-0W
15 OctATampines Rovers1-0W
10 OctAKyoto Sanga1-0W
3 OctHKyoto Sanga0-0D
23 SepHTochigi City2-1W
20 SepHKashiwa Reysol2-4L

Shanghai Shenhua

4W 2D 4L · goals 18:11 · per match 1.8 for, 1.1 against

29 OctHMachida Zelvia0-1L
24 OctASichuan Jiuniu1-2L
18 OctAWuhan Three Towns3-1W
15 OctASvay Rieng0-0D
10 OctHYunnan Yukun7-1W
27 SepHZenit0-0D
17 SepHTampines Rovers2-1W
6 SepAChongqing Tongliang Long3-1W
1 SepADalian Zhixing0-1L
28 AugHShandong Luneng2-3L

Head to head

2Machida Zelvia wins
0draws
0Shanghai Shenhua wins

2 meetings · goals 3:0 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Machida Zelvia

29 Oct 2026AFC Champions League TwoAFC Champions League TwoShanghai Shenhua0-1Machida Zelvia
10 Feb 2026AFC Champions League EliteAFC Champions League EliteShanghai Shenhua0-2Machida Zelvia

AFC Champions League Two tableGroup Hupdated 5 Nov 10:10 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Phnom Penh Crown33006:2+49
2Gangwon FC31112:204
3Kitchee30211:3-22
4Kuching FA30122:4-21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg169%1.32X19%4.79212%7.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

3 Nov 21:005 Nov 07:101 1.32X 4.792 7.40
11.40 → 1.32 -5.7%X4.33 → 4.79 +10.6%26.00 → 7.40 +23.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.592.345.6%
Bet3651.622.256.2%
1xBet1.622.187.6%
Betfair1.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.592.179.0%
Betano1.602.159.0%
Marathonbet1.602.159.0%
Best of all books1.622.344.5%
Average1.602.217.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.911.837.0%
William Hill1.851.858.1%
1xBet1.861.838.4%
Betano1.911.788.5%
BetVictor1.851.838.7%
Marathonbet1.861.809.3%
Best of all books1.911.856.4%
Average1.871.828.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Machida Zelvia 50%Draw 50%Shanghai Shenhua 0%

The statistical model rates Machida Zelvia at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Shanghai Shenhua at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.32 | 4.79 | 7.40, which imply roughly 75.8% for a Machida Zelvia win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Machida Zelvia averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Shanghai Shenhua averaged 0.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Machida Zelvia or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Machida Zelvia

3-4-2-1

Goalkeeper

  • 1Kosei Tani

Defence

  • 3Gen Shoji
  • 6Henry Heroki Mochizuki
  • 5Ibrahim Drešević

Midfield

  • 88Hotaka Nakamura
  • 23Ryohei Shirasaki
  • 18Hokuto Shimoda
  • 34Futa Tokumura

Attack

  • 20Takuma Nishimura
  • 8Keiya Sento
  • 15Mitchell Duke
Substitutes (10)
  • 13Tatsuya Morita
  • 89Nicholas Guimarães
  • 2Thomas Ouwejan
  • 24Kim Min-Tae
  • 33Takahiro Akimoto
  • 31Neta Lavi
  • 16Hiroyuki Mae
  • 9Koki Ogawa
  • 7Yuki Soma
  • 99Tete Yengi

Shanghai Shenhua

4-2-3-1

Goalkeeper

  • 24Zhen Ma

Defence

  • 13Wilson Manafá
  • 3Jin Shunkai
  • 4Shenglong Jiang
  • 16Zexiang Yang

Midfield

  • 33Haijian Wang
  • 26Shuai Yang
  • 19Luís Asué
  • 10João Carlos Teixeira
  • 21Haoyang Xu

Attack

  • 9Rafael Ratão
Substitutes (10)
  • 1Qinghao Xue
  • 2Shilong Wang
  • 25Zhu Yue
  • 6Songyi Li
  • 36Ming Huang
  • 45Jiawen Han
  • 43Haoyu Yang
  • 17Tianyi Gao
  • 15Wu Xi
  • 30Xie Pengfei

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.324.797.40

Double chance

1XX212
1.062.991.12

Draw no bet

12
1.115.78

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.871.82

1st half

1X2
1.782.456.80

2nd half

1X2
1.622.916.45

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.8918.355.2
HT X3.987.2915.2
HT 220.418.613.2

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3215.03.48

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0113.8
1.51.174.30
2.51.602.21
3.52.491.47
4.54.481.16
5.57.961.04
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.27
1.251.075.80
1.751.193.79
21.263.43
2.251.422.62
2.751.741.99
31.981.75
3.252.231.58
3.752.911.35
43.731.20
4.254.061.17
4.755.451.08
57.501.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.651.43
-1.752.211.60
-1.51.951.79
-1.251.732.03
-11.532.35
-0.751.392.76
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.56.131.08
-3.255.731.10
-35.341.11
-2.753.991.20
-2.53.241.29
-2.252.991.34
-0.51.353.03
-0.251.253.55
01.095.85
+0.251.076.38
+0.51.106.80
+0.751.018.65

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.114.68
7.51.303.04
8.51.582.21
9.51.931.82
10.52.531.43
11.53.481.22
12.55.141.08
6 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.144.22
81.382.70
91.741.97
102.271.55
113.161.27
124.741.10

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