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Milsami Orhei vs Zimbru• Super Liga, Moldova

#61.6:1.21-1FT18/10 · Complexul Sportiv Raional, Orhei1.4:0.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.511XBX3.40B36521.91WHMargin at best10.3%Books5Markets41Rating31 · 69Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.513.361.9010.9%
Bet3653.403.401.9011.5%
Marathonbet3.423.361.8812.2%
Pinnacle3.403.391.8612.7%
William Hill3.403.101.9114.0%
Best of all books3.513.401.9110.3%
Average3.433.321.8912.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Milsami OrheiZimbru
Last 10#6Table position#21.27Points per game1.878Form pts · last 571.6Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 50.853Attack rating4740Defence rating6044Form rating567H2H rating9321Goals model7931Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 17:31 UTC

Milsami Orhei

3W 5D 2L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against

18 OctHZimbru1-1D
11 OctHPolitehnica UTM3-3D
20 SepASireți2-1W
13 SepHSheriff Tiraspol0-1L
6 SepACSF Bălți3-1W
30 AugADacia-Buiucani0-0D
22 AugHPetrocub1-0W
16 AugAZimbru2-4L
8 AugAPolitehnica UTM1-1D
1 AugHSireți2-2D

Zimbru

6W 1D 3L · goals 20:11 · per match 2.0 for, 1.1 against

11 OctAPetrocub1-1D
27 SepHBukovyna0-3L
19 SepHDacia-Buiucani0-1L
12 SepHPolitehnica UTM2-1W
6 SepASireți2-0W
29 AugHSheriff Tiraspol2-1W
22 AugACSF Bălți4-0W
16 AugHMilsami Orhei4-2W
9 AugHPetrocub1-2L
2 AugADacia-Buiucani4-0W

Head to head

25Milsami Orhei wins
8draws
13Zimbru wins

46 meetings · goals 55:41 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Milsami Orhei

16 Aug 2026Super LigaSuper LigaZimbru4-2Milsami Orhei
27 Jun 2026Super LigaSuper LigaMilsami Orhei0-0Zimbru
13 May 2026CupaCupaMilsami Orhei0-1Zimbru
6 May 2026CupaCupaZimbru2-0Milsami Orhei
18 Apr 2026Super LigaSuper LigaZimbru3-1Milsami Orhei
7 Mar 2026Super LigaSuper LigaMilsami Orhei0-0Zimbru
5 Oct 2025Super LigaSuper LigaMilsami Orhei0-3Zimbru
10 Aug 2025Super LigaSuper LigaZimbru2-1Milsami Orhei
21 Jun 2025Super LigaSuper LigaMilsami Orhei3-0Zimbru
19 Apr 2025Super LigaSuper LigaMilsami Orhei2-0Zimbru

Super Liga tableSuper Ligaupdated 23 Oct 17:31 UTC

In the Super Liga table, Milsami Orhei sit 6th with 19 points from 15 games, while Zimbru are 2nd with 28 points from 15.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Sheriff Tiraspol15104139:12+2734
2Zimbru1584329:14+1528
3Petrocub1575325:14+1126
4Dacia-Buiucani1563619:21-221
5Politehnica UTM1554625:23+219
6Milsami Orhei1547417:21-419
7Sireți1517711:21-1010
8CSF Bălți15121210:49-395

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.44X27%3.33247%1.89

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

17 Oct 18:5018 Oct 07:301 3.43X 3.322 1.89
13.40 → 3.43 +0.9%X3.37 → 3.32 -1.5%21.91 → 1.89 -1.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Pinnacle1.951.768.1%
1xBet1.921.768.9%
Marathonbet1.921.768.9%
Best of all books1.951.855.3%
Average1.941.787.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.761.919.2%
Marathonbet1.761.8810.0%
Best of all books1.761.919.2%
Average1.761.909.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Milsami Orhei 10%Draw 45%Zimbru 45%

The statistical model rated Milsami Orhei at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Zimbru at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.44 | 3.33 | 1.89, which imply roughly 30% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Super Liga table: Milsami Orhei are 6th (19 pts, 17-21 goals), Zimbru 2nd (28 pts, 29-14).

Over their last five matches, Milsami Orhei averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Zimbru averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Zimbru.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.433.321.89

Double chance

1XX212
1.731.221.23

Draw no bet

12
2.621.44

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.761.90

1st half

1X2
4.132.132.51

2nd half

1X2
3.772.402.30

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.7016.823.0
HT X7.805.155.05
HT 234.516.83.10

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.409.351.70

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.028.15
1.51.283.12
2.51.941.78
3.53.281.25
4.55.401.05
5.515.01.02
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.027.90
1.751.342.80
21.452.43
2.251.691.99
2.752.171.56
32.641.38
3.252.981.30
3.754.141.16
45.701.08
4.254.881.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.811.35
02.571.42
+0.252.031.65
+0.51.831.93
+0.751.582.16
+11.362.72
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.57.901.02
-16.851.04
-0.754.401.14
-0.252.951.32
+1.251.293.08
+1.51.213.58
+21.046.80
+2.51.027.70

Next Super Liga matches

24 OctPolitehnica UTM – Sheriff Tiraspol
24 OctDacia-Buiucani – Sireți
24 OctPetrocub – Milsami Orhei

All Super Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Super Liga results

17 OctPetrocub 0-0 Dacia-Buiucani
17 OctSheriff Tiraspol 2-0 Sireți
11 OctPetrocub 1-1 Zimbru
11 OctMilsami Orhei 3-3 Politehnica UTM
10 OctDacia-Buiucani 2-5 Sheriff Tiraspol