Milsami Orhei vs Politehnica UTM• Super Liga, Moldova

#61.2:0.63-3FT11/10 · Complexul Sportiv Raional, Orhei0.6:1.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.55DAFX4.00DAF25.721XBMargin at best7.0%Books8Markets44Rating74 · 26Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 09:17 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.55	4.00	5.40	8.0%
1xBet	1.49	3.80	5.72	10.9%
Betano	1.53	3.85	5.00	11.3%
Bet365	1.53	3.80	5.00	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.48	3.80	5.45	12.2%
Betfair	1.50	3.90	5.00	12.3%
Pinnacle	1.51	3.71	5.16	12.6%
William Hill	1.53	3.40	5.50	13.0%
Best of all books	1.55	4.00	5.72	7.0%
Average	1.51	3.78	5.28	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Milsami OrheiPolitehnica UTM

Last 10#6Table position#51.27Points per game1.278Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 50.60.6Goals against · last 51.667Attack rating3373Defence rating2771Form rating2991H2H rating956Goals model4474Overall rating26

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 17:31 UTC

Milsami Orhei

3W 5D 2L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against

18 Oct	H	Zimbru	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Politehnica UTM	3-3	D
20 Sep	A	Sireți	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Sheriff Tiraspol	0-1	L
6 Sep	A	CSF Bălți	3-1	W
30 Aug	A	Dacia-Buiucani	0-0	D
22 Aug	H	Petrocub	1-0	W
16 Aug	A	Zimbru	2-4	L
8 Aug	A	Politehnica UTM	1-1	D
1 Aug	H	Sireți	2-2	D

Politehnica UTM

3W 3D 4L · goals 18:16 · per match 1.8 for, 1.6 against

18 Oct	A	CSF Bălți	4-1	W
11 Oct	A	Milsami Orhei	3-3	D
19 Sep	H	Petrocub	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Zimbru	1-2	L
5 Sep	H	Dacia-Buiucani	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	Sireți	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Sheriff Tiraspol	0-4	L
15 Aug	H	CSF Bălți	6-0	W
8 Aug	H	Milsami Orhei	1-1	D
2 Aug	A	Petrocub	1-3	L

Head to head

3Milsami Orhei wins

1draws

0Politehnica UTM wins

4 meetings · goals 13:2 · last 4: 3W 1D 0L for Milsami Orhei

8 Aug 2026Super Liga	Super Liga	Politehnica UTM1-1Milsami Orhei
18 Oct 2025Super Liga	Super Liga	Politehnica UTM0-5Milsami Orhei
17 Aug 2025Super Liga	Super Liga	Milsami Orhei4-1Politehnica UTM
28 Jun 2025Super Liga	Super Liga	Politehnica UTM0-3Milsami Orhei

Super Liga tableSuper Ligaupdated 23 Oct 17:31 UTC

In the Super Liga table, Milsami Orhei sit 6th with 19 points from 15 games, while Politehnica UTM are 5th with 19 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Sheriff Tiraspol	15	10	4	1	39:12	+27	34
2	Zimbru	15	8	4	3	29:14	+15	28
3	Petrocub	15	7	5	3	25:14	+11	26
4	Dacia-Buiucani	15	6	3	6	19:21	-2	21
5	Politehnica UTM	15	5	4	6	25:23	+2	19
6	Milsami Orhei	15	4	7	4	17:21	-4	19
7	Sireți	15	1	7	7	11:21	-10	10
8	CSF Bălți	15	1	2	12	10:49	-39	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.52X24%3.78217%5.28

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.61 → 1.52 -5.6%X3.70 → 3.78 +2.2%24.71 → 5.28 +12.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.77	1.94	8.0%
1xBet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Betano	1.70	1.95	10.1%
Best of all books	1.77	2.05	5.3%
Average	1.73	1.97	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.87	10.0%
Best of all books	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Average	1.77	1.89	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Milsami Orhei 45%Draw 45%Politehnica UTM 10%

The statistical model rated Milsami Orhei at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Politehnica UTM at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.52 | 3.78 | 5.28, which imply roughly 65.8% for a Milsami Orhei win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Super Liga table: Milsami Orhei are 6th (19 pts, 17-21 goals), Politehnica UTM 5th (19 pts, 25-23).

Over their last five matches, Milsami Orhei averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Politehnica UTM averaged 0.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Milsami Orhei or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.52	3.78	5.28

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.25	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.21	3.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.77	1.89

1st half

1	X	2
2.05	2.25	5.30

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	11.4	2.87

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.95
1.5	1.19	3.80
2.5	1.73	1.97
3.5	2.76	1.35
4.5	5.25	1.09
5.5	11.0	1.04

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	8.35
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.32	2.88
2.25	1.53	2.28
2.75	1.91	1.75
3	2.22	1.53
3.25	2.52	1.42
3.75	3.34	1.24
4	4.50	1.13
4.25	4.20	1.15

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.44	1.44
-1.25	2.17	1.58
-1	1.89	1.80
-0.75	1.69	2.03
-0.5	1.49	2.35
-0.25	1.33	2.85

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	4.70	1.12
-2.25	4.79	1.11
-2	3.90	1.18
-1.75	2.93	1.31
0	1.15	4.20
+0.25	1.12	4.80
+1.5	1.02	8.90

Next Super Liga matches

24 Oct	Politehnica UTM – Sheriff Tiraspol
24 Oct	Dacia-Buiucani – Sireți
24 Oct	Petrocub – Milsami Orhei

All Super Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Super Liga results

18 Oct	Milsami Orhei 1-1 Zimbru
17 Oct	Petrocub 0-0 Dacia-Buiucani
17 Oct	Sheriff Tiraspol 2-0 Sireți
11 Oct	Petrocub 1-1 Zimbru
10 Oct	Dacia-Buiucani 2-5 Sheriff Tiraspol