Neftchi vs Al-Ittihad FC• AFC Champions League Elite, World

1.0:1.51-2FT26/10 · Istiqlol Stadium, Fergana2.0:1.3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.16PINX4.031XB21.83DAFMargin at best3.5%Books10Markets71Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Oct 08:39 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.10	3.95	1.83	4.4%
1xBet	4.07	4.03	1.81	4.6%
Pinnacle	4.16	3.94	1.79	5.3%
Marathonbet	3.96	3.92	1.76	7.6%
BetVictor	4.10	3.80	1.75	7.8%
Betano	3.95	3.70	1.80	7.9%
William Hill	4.00	3.70	1.75	9.2%
Betfair	4.00	3.75	1.70	10.5%
Bet365	3.70	3.75	1.73	11.5%
SBO	3.64	3.40	1.73	14.7%
Best of all books	4.16	4.03	1.83	3.5%
Average	3.97	3.79	1.76	8.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NeftchiAl-Ittihad FC

Last 107Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 52.01.5Goals against · last 51.325Attack rating7557Defence rating4343Form rating570H2H rating0100Goals model042Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 11:30 UTC

Neftchi

6W 1D 3L · goals 19:19 · per match 1.9 for, 1.9 against

23 Oct	A	Pakhtakor	3-1	W
20 Oct	H	Lokomotiv	2-4	L
16 Oct	A	Kokand-1912	4-2	W
12 Oct	A	Al-Nassr	1-3	L
7 Oct	H	Xorazm	2-2	D
20 Sep	A	Lokomotiv	1-0	W
14 Sep	H	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	1-0	W
9 Sep	H	Surkhon	2-1	W
4 Sep	A	Nasaf	2-6	L
29 Aug	H	Pakhtakor	1-0	W

Al-Ittihad FC

6W 2D 2L · goals 20:12 · per match 2.0 for, 1.2 against

23 Oct	H	Al Diriyah	2-0	W
20 Oct	A	Al-Ettifaq	4-1	W
13 Oct	H	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	1-2	L
10 Oct	A	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	2-3	L
14 Sep	A	Al Shamal	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Al-Faisaly FC	3-1	W
8 Sep	H	Al-Fayha	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Al-Nassr	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Al-Fateh	0-0	D
24 Aug	H	Al-Hazm	3-2	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Neftchi and Al-Ittihad FC on record.

AFC Champions League Elite tableEast Regionupdated 26 Oct 22:00 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Kashima	2	2	0	0	8:1	+7	6
2	Gamba Osaka	2	2	0	0	7:2	+5	6
3	Vissel Kobe	2	2	0	0	4:1	+3	6
4	Beijing Guoan	2	2	0	0	4:1	+3	6
5	SHANGHAI SIPG	2	1	1	0	7:5	+2	4
6	Johor Darul Takzim FC	2	1	1	0	3:1	+2	4
7	Daejeon Citizen	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
8	Kashiwa Reysol	2	1	0	1	6:3	+3	3
9	Kyoto Sanga	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
10	Jeonbuk Motors	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
11	Buriram United	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
12	Ratchaburi	2	0	0	2	4:7	-3	0
13	Công An Nhân Dân	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0
14	Pohang Steelers	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0
15	Port FC	2	0	0	2	2:7	-5	0
16	Newcastle Jets	2	0	0	2	2:10	-8	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg124%3.78X25%3.73251%1.82

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.65	2.27	4.7%
Pinnacle	1.65	2.24	5.2%
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Betano	1.62	2.22	6.8%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.15	10.6%
Best of all books	1.65	2.27	4.7%
Average	1.61	2.21	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.56	2.28	8.0%
Betano	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.24	8.7%
Best of all books	1.62	2.30	5.2%
Average	1.58	2.25	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Neftchi 35%Draw 35%Al-Ittihad FC 30%

The statistical model rated Neftchi at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Al-Ittihad FC at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.78 | 3.73 | 1.82, which imply roughly 26.5% for a Neftchi win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Neftchi averaged 1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Al-Ittihad FC averaged 2 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Neftchi or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Neftchi

4-3-3

Coach: Islom Ismoilov

Goalkeeper

1B. Ergashev

Defence

52K. Kouao
4B. Ciger
3Michel
34F. Sayfiyev

Midfield

77Ratinho
8V. Jovović
10J. Iskanderov

Attack

7A. Ismailov
88M. Forss
22Alisher Odilov

Substitutes (12)

9K. Giyosov
11A. Jumayev
19A. Erimbetov
2I. Pulatov
27N. Sarsenbaev
71B. Toshmirzaev
45A. Turaev
31Yan Sasse
20A. G'ofurov
17Azizbek Murotov
6Ibrokhimkhalil Yuldoshev
15Nurmuhammad Abduganiyev

Al-Ittihad FC

4-2-3-1

Coach: Jens Wissing

Goalkeeper

1P. Rajković

Defence

13Muhannad Al Shanqiti
6Saad Al Mosa
2Danilo Pereira
25F. Abdi

Midfield

5R. Rios
30D. Lopy
23G. Wijnaldum
10H. Aouar
34S. Bergwijn

Attack

99G. Ilenikhena

Substitutes (11)

50Mohammed Al Absi
8Mukhtar Ali
32Ahmed Al Julaydan
88Osama Al Mermesh
21Y. En-Nesyri
22Marwan Al Sahafi
66Mohammed Barnawi
42Muath Faqeehi
41Mohammed Fallatah
4J. Šimić
27Ahmed Al Ghamdi

Match Statistics

NeftchiAl-Ittihad FC

1.53Expected Goals1.1

222Passes accurate454

4Shots insidebox8

3Shots outsidebox6

1Blocked Shots4

6Free Kicks11

2Shots on Goal5

3Goalkeeper Saves1

4Shots off Goal5

4Offsides1

277Total passes526

7Total Shots14

2Yellow Cards1

4Corner Kicks8

12Fouls7

0Red Cards0

47%Ball Possession53%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.97	3.79	1.77

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.99	1.20	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
3.03	1.34

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.58	2.25

1st half

1	X	2
4.26	2.35	2.24

2nd half

1	X	2
3.90	2.71	2.08

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.58	14.3	20.1
HT X	8.96	6.28	4.87
HT 2	33.3	14.1	2.67

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.42	16.1	1.59

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.3
1.5	1.18	4.42
2.5	1.61	2.21
3.5	2.54	1.48
4.5	4.51	1.17
5.5	8.45	1.05
6.5	10.1	1.02
7.5	14.3	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.95
1.25	1.07	6.31
1.75	1.19	4.01
2	1.26	3.45
2.25	1.43	2.62
2.75	1.76	1.99
3	2.00	1.75
3.25	2.26	1.60
3.75	2.90	1.36
4	3.81	1.21
4.25	4.15	1.17
4.75	5.70	1.09
5	8.00	1.04
5.25	7.98	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.34	1.55
+0.5	2.02	1.76
+0.75	1.80	1.97
+1	1.56	2.36
+1.25	1.43	2.68
+1.5	1.37	2.92

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	10.2	1.01
-1	7.83	1.04
-0.75	4.90	1.14
-0.5	3.70	1.26
-0.25	3.44	1.28
0	3.07	1.34
+1.75	1.25	3.65
+2	1.13	5.11
+2.25	1.11	5.54
+2.5	1.10	5.98
+2.75	1.05	7.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	7.80
6.5	1.11	4.90
7.5	1.25	3.32
8.5	1.49	2.43
9.5	1.83	1.91
10.5	2.32	1.53
11.5	3.12	1.29
12.5	4.30	1.15
13.5	6.10	1.07

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.75	1.53	2.28
9	1.65	2.16
9.25	1.73	1.99
9.75	1.93	1.74
10	2.08	1.70
10.25	2.19	1.55
10.75	2.52	1.41

Next AFC Champions League Elite matches

27 Oct	Johor Darul Takzim FC – Port FC
27 Oct	Kyoto Sanga – Newcastle Jets
27 Oct	SHANGHAI SIPG – Công An Nhân Dân
27 Oct	Daejeon Citizen – Vissel Kobe
27 Oct	Ratchaburi – Kashiwa Reysol
27 Oct	Beijing Guoan – Jeonbuk Motors

All AFC Champions League Elite fixtures and the table

Latest AFC Champions League Elite results

26 Oct	Al-Qadisiyah FC 1-1 Al Sadd
26 Oct	Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-0 Pakhtakor
26 Oct	Al-Ahli Jeddah 2-1 Al-Gharafa
26 Oct	Al Ain 2-1 Tractor Sazi
14 Oct	Kashiwa Reysol 5-1 Port FC
14 Oct	Vissel Kobe 2-0 Jeonbuk Motors