Besa Kavajë vs Pogradeci• 1st Division, Albania

#31.0:0.812:30Today1.2:0.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.25BTNX3.20B36523.25WHMargin at best6.5%Books6Markets39Rating43 · 58Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 07:29 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.24	3.15	2.95	10.3%
1xBet	2.13	3.08	3.18	10.9%
Betano	2.25	3.10	2.92	10.9%
Bet365	2.10	3.20	3.10	11.1%
William Hill	2.15	2.90	3.25	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.11	3.08	3.10	12.1%
Best of all books	2.25	3.20	3.25	6.5%
Average	2.16	3.09	3.08	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Besa KavajëPogradeci

Last 10#3Table position#41.75Points per game1.7510Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 51.20.8Goals against · last 50.845Attack rating5550Defence rating5050Form rating5025H2H rating7545Goals model5543Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 21:01 UTC

Besa Kavajë

6W 2D 2L · goals 25:9 · per match 2.5 for, 0.9 against

28 Oct	A	Bylis	0-0	D
24 Oct	H	Korabi Peshkopi	2-0	W
16 Oct	A	FK Kukesi	0-2	L
11 Oct	H	Iliria Fushë-Krujë	2-0	W
7 Oct	H	Devolli	4-1	W
20 Sep	A	Besëlidhja Lezhë	1-2	L
16 Sep	H	Oriku	5-0	W
12 Sep	A	Sopoti Librazhd	4-0	W
6 Sep	H	Flamurtari	3-3	D
12 Aug	A	FK Kukesi	4-1	W

Pogradeci

4W 6D 0L · goals 19:6 · per match 1.9 for, 0.6 against

28 Oct	H	Oriku	0-0	D
23 Oct	A	Bylis	2-2	D
17 Oct	H	Sopoti Librazhd	2-2	D
11 Oct	A	Korabi Peshkopi	2-0	W
7 Oct	H	Delvina	7-0	W
20 Sep	H	Flamurtari	0-0	D
16 Sep	A	FK Kukesi	3-0	W
12 Sep	H	Kastrioti Krujë	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Iliria Fushë-Krujë	0-0	D
25 Jul	H	Besa Kavajë	1-1	D

Head to head

6Besa Kavajë wins

6draws

11Pogradeci wins

23 meetings · goals 21:30 · last 10: 2W 4D 4L for Besa Kavajë

25 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Pogradeci1-1Besa Kavajë
11 May 2026Superliga	Superliga	Pogradeci1-0Besa Kavajë
14 Mar 20261st Division	1st Division	Besa Kavajë2-3Pogradeci
17 Jan 20261st Division	1st Division	Pogradeci0-0Besa Kavajë
19 Oct 20251st Division	1st Division	Besa Kavajë1-1Pogradeci
28 Apr 20251st Division	1st Division	Besa Kavajë0-1Pogradeci
15 Mar 20251st Division	1st Division	Pogradeci0-1Besa Kavajë
2 Dec 20241st Division	1st Division	Besa Kavajë0-0Pogradeci
11 Sep 20241st Division	1st Division	Pogradeci0-2Besa Kavajë
29 Jan 20221st Division	1st Division	Besa Kavajë0-3Pogradeci

1st Division tableRegular Seasonupdated 31 Oct 21:02 UTC

In the 1st Division table, Besa Kavajë sit 3rd with 14 points from 8 games, while Pogradeci are 4th with 14 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FK Kukesi	8	5	0	3	11:8	+3	15
2	Iliria Fushë-Krujë	8	4	3	1	9:6	+3	15
3	Besa Kavajë	8	4	2	2	17:7	+10	14
4	Pogradeci	8	3	5	0	11:5	+6	14
5	Flamurtari	8	3	3	2	12:8	+4	12
6	Bylis	8	2	6	0	7:5	+2	12
7	Besëlidhja Lezhë	8	3	2	3	12:9	+3	11
8	Korabi Peshkopi	8	3	2	3	5:9	-4	11
9	Kastrioti Krujë	8	2	2	4	8:11	-3	8
10	Sopoti Librazhd	8	1	4	3	10:17	-7	7
11	Burreli	8	1	3	4	6:10	-4	6
12	Oriku	8	0	2	6	3:16	-13	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.16X29%3.08229%3.08

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.17 → 2.16 -0.5%X3.14 → 3.08 -1.9%23.02 → 3.08 +2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Pinnacle	2.27	1.55	8.6%
1xBet	2.18	1.58	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.18	1.58	9.2%
Betano	2.15	1.57	10.2%
Best of all books	2.27	1.62	5.8%
Average	2.21	1.58	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.90	1.78	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.75	9.8%
Best of all books	1.95	1.78	7.5%
Average	1.92	1.76	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Besa Kavajë 10%Draw 45%Pogradeci 45%

The statistical model rates Besa Kavajë at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Pogradeci at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.16 | 3.08 | 3.08, which imply roughly 32.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1st Division table: Besa Kavajë are 3rd (14 pts, 17-7 goals), Pogradeci 4th (14 pts, 11-5).

Over their last five matches, Besa Kavajë averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Pogradeci averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Pogradeci.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.16	3.08	3.08

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.57	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.60	2.16

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.92	1.76

1st half

1	X	2
2.85	1.97	3.85

2nd half

1	X	2
2.59	2.23	3.50

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.60	15.5	37.0
HT X	5.20	4.52	6.60
HT 2	30.3	15.5	5.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.82	7.55	2.30

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.83
1.5	1.37	2.69
2.5	2.21	1.58
3.5	4.00	1.17
4.5	9.50	1.05
5.5	23.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.20
1.25	1.21	3.58
1.75	1.48	2.37
2	1.65	2.02
2.25	1.93	1.74
2.75	2.56	1.41
3	3.31	1.25
3.25	3.58	1.21
4	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.52	1.42
-0.5	2.17	1.60
-0.25	1.86	1.84
0	1.55	2.25
+0.25	1.38	2.64
+0.5	1.30	3.05

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	8.90	1.01
-1.5	4.33	1.14
-1.25	3.88	1.18
-1	3.41	1.24
+0.75	1.17	3.94
+1	1.06	6.15
+1.5	1.03	7.20

Next 1st Division matches

1 Nov	Oriku – Besëlidhja Lezhë
1 Nov	Burreli – Bylis
2 Nov	Sopoti Librazhd – Iliria Fushë-Krujë
2 Nov	Flamurtari – FK Kukesi

All 1st Division fixtures and the table

Latest 1st Division results

29 Oct	Iliria Fushë-Krujë 2-1 Flamurtari
28 Oct	Pogradeci 0-0 Oriku
28 Oct	FK Kukesi 1-0 Kastrioti Krujë
28 Oct	Besëlidhja Lezhë 5-2 Sopoti Librazhd
28 Oct	Korabi Peshkopi 1-0 Burreli
28 Oct	Bylis 0-0 Besa Kavajë