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Pogradeci vs Oriku• 1st Division, Albania

#21.8:0.812:30Today0.4:2.6#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.12BFRX9.00B365224.0MARMargin at best4.6%Books6Markets47Rating76 · 24Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Bet3651.099.0021.07.6%
Dafabet1.078.4024.09.5%
Betfair1.128.0011.010.9%
Betano1.116.8016.011.0%
1xBet1.057.8024.012.2%
Marathonbet1.057.8024.012.2%
Best of all books1.129.0024.04.6%
Average1.087.9720.010.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PogradeciOriku
Last 10#2Table position#121.86Points per game0.149Form pts · last 511.8Goals for · last 50.40.8Goals against · last 52.682Attack rating1876Defence rating2490Form rating1050H2H rating5090Goals model1076Overall rating24

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 10:00 UTC

Pogradeci

4W 5D 1L · goals 19:7 · per match 1.9 for, 0.7 against

23 OctABylis2-2D
17 OctHSopoti Librazhd2-2D
11 OctAKorabi Peshkopi2-0W
7 OctHDelvina7-0W
20 SepHFlamurtari0-0D
16 SepAFK Kukesi3-0W
12 SepHKastrioti Krujë2-1W
5 SepAIliria Fushë-Krujë0-0D
25 JulHBesa Kavajë1-1D
16 MayATeuta Durrës0-1L

Oriku

0W 1D 9L · goals 4:21 · per match 0.4 for, 2.1 against

24 OctASopoti Librazhd1-1D
16 OctHFlamurtari1-4L
11 OctAKastrioti Krujë0-2L
7 OctHButrinti Sarandë1-2L
20 SepHBurreli0-1L
16 SepABesa Kavajë0-5L
12 SepHBylis1-2L
6 SepAKorabi Peshkopi0-1L
15 OctALuftëtari0-2L
26 AprAFK Kukesi0-1L

Head to head

4Pogradeci wins
1draws
4Oriku wins

9 meetings · goals 15:9 · last 9: 4W 1D 4L for Pogradeci

3 Mar 20242nd Division - Group B2nd Division - Group BPogradeci1-0Oriku
22 Oct 20232nd Division - Group B2nd Division - Group BOriku1-1Pogradeci
18 Oct 2023CupCupOriku2-0Pogradeci
14 May 20221st Division1st DivisionPogradeci1-2Oriku
1 Nov 2020CupCupPogradeci9-1Oriku
21 Dec 20191st Division1st DivisionPogradeci1-0Oriku
28 Sep 20191st Division1st DivisionOriku1-0Pogradeci
8 Dec 20181st Division1st DivisionPogradeci2-1Oriku
22 Sep 20181st Division1st DivisionOriku1-0Pogradeci

1st Division tableRegular Seasonupdated 27 Oct 10:00 UTC

In the 1st Division table, Pogradeci sit 2nd with 13 points from 7 games, while Oriku are 12th with 1 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Besa Kavajë741217:7+1013
2Pogradeci734011:5+613
3Flamurtari733111:6+512
4FK Kukesi740310:8+212
5Iliria Fushë-Krujë73317:5+212
6Bylis72507:5+211
7Besëlidhja Lezhë72237:708
8Kastrioti Krujë72238:10-28
9Korabi Peshkopi72234:9-58
10Sopoti Librazhd71428:12-47
11Burreli71336:9-36
12Oriku70163:16-131

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg184%1.08X11%7.9725%20.0

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

27 Oct 10:0028 Oct 07:101 1.08X 7.972 20.0
11.08 → 1.08 0.0%X7.80 → 7.97 +2.2%220.2 → 20.0 -1.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.442.627.6%
1xBet1.422.4910.6%
Marathonbet1.422.4910.6%
Best of all books1.442.627.6%
Average1.432.539.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet3.041.328.7%
Marathonbet3.041.309.8%
Best of all books3.041.328.7%
Average3.041.319.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pogradeci 45%Draw 45%Oriku 10%

The statistical model rates Pogradeci at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Oriku at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.08 | 7.97 | 20.00, which imply roughly 92.6% for a Pogradeci win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1st Division table: Pogradeci are 2nd (13 pts, 11-5 goals), Oriku 12th (1 pts, 3-16).

Over their last five matches, Pogradeci averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Oriku averaged 0.4 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Pogradeci.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.087.9720.0

Double chance

1XX212
1.025.631.04

Draw no bet

12
1.029.63

Both teams to score

YesNo
3.041.31

1st half

1X2
1.432.9114.6

2nd half

1X2
1.254.0314.5

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.4632.7118.7
HT X3.7710.729.7
HT 223.032.330.7

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.1115.86.75

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.5–17.0
1.51.115.50
2.51.432.53
3.52.041.66
4.53.171.27
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
21.164.05
2.251.302.97
2.751.512.26
31.642.02
3.251.831.81
3.752.291.52
42.691.36
4.252.921.31
54.901.11

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-3.252.501.42
-32.261.51
-2.751.981.72
-2.51.821.87
-2.251.622.08
-21.442.43
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-44.101.16
-3.753.201.26
-3.52.741.35
-1.751.362.70
-1.51.302.97
-11.095.30
01.0111.0

Next 1st Division matches

28 OctBylis – Besa Kavajë
28 OctFK Kukesi – Kastrioti Krujë
28 OctKorabi Peshkopi – Burreli
28 OctBesëlidhja Lezhë – Sopoti Librazhd
29 OctIliria Fushë-Krujë – Flamurtari

All 1st Division fixtures and the table

Latest 1st Division results

24 OctBesa Kavajë 2-0 Korabi Peshkopi
24 OctBurreli 1-2 FK Kukesi
24 OctSopoti Librazhd 1-1 Oriku
24 OctKastrioti Krujë 0-1 Iliria Fushë-Krujë
23 OctFlamurtari 1-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë
23 OctBylis 2-2 Pogradeci