Sarnese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra• Serie D - Girone G, Italy

#11.4:1.013:00Today1.4:1.2#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.40BTNX4.101XB27.651XBMargin at best8.9%Books3Markets17Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.39	4.10	7.65	9.4%
Betano	1.40	3.95	7.00	11.0%
Dafabet	1.37	4.10	7.20	11.3%
Best of all books	1.40	4.10	7.65	8.9%
Average	1.39	4.05	7.28	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SarneseSarrabus Ogliastra

Last 10#1Table position#142.22Points per game1.0010Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 51.41.0Goals against · last 51.250Attack rating5055Defence rating4567Form rating3350H2H rating5073Goals model2756Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 06:02 UTC

Sarnese

6W 2D 2L · goals 14:9 · per match 1.4 for, 0.9 against

25 Oct	A	Aranova	1-2	L
18 Oct	H	Città di Anagni	1-0	W
11 Oct	A	Atletico Lodigiani	1-0	W
4 Oct	H	Paganese	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Ossese	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Gelbison	3-1	W
16 Sep	A	Venafro	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Afragolese	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Budoni	2-1	W
30 Jul	A	Cavese	0-1	L

Sarrabus Ogliastra

2W 3D 5L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against

25 Oct	H	Gelbison	3-0	W
18 Oct	A	Trastevere	2-3	L
11 Oct	H	Afragolese	0-0	D
7 Oct	A	Latte Dolce	0-3	L
4 Oct	A	Latte Dolce	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	Unipomezia	2-2	D
20 Sep	A	Albalonga	1-1	D
16 Sep	H	Certosa V. Campagnano	0-2	L
13 Sep	A	Anzio	1-0	W
6 Sep	H	Monastir	1-2	L

Head to head

1Sarnese wins

0draws

1Sarrabus Ogliastra wins

2 meetings · goals 2:3 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Sarnese

4 May 2025Serie D - Girone G	Serie D - Girone G	Sarrabus Ogliastra1-2Sarnese
22 Dec 2024Serie D - Girone G	Serie D - Girone G	Sarnese0-2Sarrabus Ogliastra

Serie D - Girone G tableGroup Gupdated 1 Nov 06:20 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone G table, Sarnese sit 1st with 20 points from 9 games, while Sarrabus Ogliastra are 14th with 9 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Sarnese	9	6	2	1	14:8	+6	20
2	Monastir	9	5	2	2	23:15	+8	17
3	Certosa V. Campagnano	9	5	2	2	14:7	+7	17
4	Aranova	10	4	3	3	15:15	0	15
5	Trastevere	9	4	3	2	13:16	-3	15
6	Afragolese	10	3	5	2	13:8	+5	14
7	Paganese	9	4	1	4	18:12	+6	13
8	Unipomezia	9	3	4	2	15:11	+4	13
9	Ossese	9	3	4	2	13:10	+3	13
10	Albalonga	9	3	4	2	14:12	+2	13
11	Anzio	9	3	4	2	8:6	+2	13
12	Città di Anagni	9	4	1	4	12:13	-1	13
13	Gelbison	9	3	1	5	10:16	-6	10
14	Sarrabus Ogliastra	9	2	3	4	10:11	-1	9
15	Venafro	9	2	3	4	7:12	-5	9
16	Budoni	9	2	2	5	14:22	-8	8
17	Latte Dolce	9	1	4	4	10:15	-5	7
18	Atletico Lodigiani	9	0	2	7	9:23	-14	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg165%1.39X22%4.05212%7.28

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.83	1.87	8.1%
Betano	1.80	1.83	10.2%
Best of all books	1.83	1.87	8.1%
Average	1.81	1.85	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.16	1.69	5.5%
Best of all books	2.16	1.69	5.5%
Average	2.16	1.69	5.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sarnese 45%Draw 45%Sarrabus Ogliastra 10%

The statistical model rates Sarnese at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sarrabus Ogliastra at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.39 | 4.05 | 7.28, which imply roughly 71.9% for a Sarnese win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone G table: Sarnese are 1st (20 pts, 14-8 goals), Sarrabus Ogliastra 14th (9 pts, 10-11).

Over their last five matches, Sarnese averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Sarrabus Ogliastra averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sarnese or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.39	4.05	7.28

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.52	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.13	4.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.16	1.69

1st half

1	X	2
1.93	2.18	6.60

2nd half

1	X	2
1.70	2.67	6.00

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.10	17.0	70.0
HT X	3.65	5.60	13.5
HT 2	23.0	18.0	13.0

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.26	3.40
2.5	1.82	1.85
3.5	2.92	1.32

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	3.70	1.22
-1.5	2.09	1.63
-1	1.62	2.02
0	1.11	5.25

Next Serie D - Girone G matches

1 Nov	Gelbison – Atletico Lodigiani
1 Nov	Trastevere – Anzio

All Serie D - Girone G fixtures and the table

Latest Serie D - Girone G results

25 Oct	Albalonga 1-1 Unipomezia
25 Oct	Sarrabus Ogliastra 3-0 Gelbison
25 Oct	Anzio 0-0 Afragolese
25 Oct	Città di Anagni 2-1 Paganese
4 Oct	Sarnese 2-1 Paganese
4 Oct	Albalonga 0-2 Anzio