San Donato Tavarnelle vs Montevarchi Calcio• Serie D - Girone E, Italy

#120.8:1.413:30Tomorrow1.4:1.0#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.201XBX3.201XB23.101XBMargin at best9.0%Books3Markets15Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.20	3.20	3.10	9.0%
Betano	2.18	3.10	3.05	10.9%
Dafabet	2.16	3.15	3.00	11.4%
Best of all books	2.20	3.20	3.10	9.0%
Average	2.18	3.15	3.05	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

San Donato TavarnelleMontevarchi Calcio

Last 10#12Table position#101.22Points per game1.444Form pts · last 590.8Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 51.036Attack rating6442Defence rating5831Form rating6950H2H rating5053Goals model4745Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 06:02 UTC

San Donato Tavarnelle

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

25 Oct	A	Scandicci	1-2	L
18 Oct	H	Tau Altopascio	1-0	W
11 Oct	A	Prato	0-2	L
4 Oct	H	Mezzolara	1-1	D
27 Sep	A	Flaminia	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Gavorrano	0-2	L
16 Sep	A	Terranuova Traiana	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Sasso Marconi Zola	3-1	W
6 Sep	H	Seravezza	2-1	W
23 Aug	H	Robur Siena	1-1	D

Montevarchi Calcio

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

25 Oct	H	Grassina	1-0	W
18 Oct	A	Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano	3-0	W
11 Oct	H	Rondinella	0-1	L
4 Oct	A	Ternana	1-4	L
27 Sep	H	Progresso	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Robur Siena	0-3	L
16 Sep	A	Seravezza	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Tau Altopascio	4-1	W
6 Sep	A	Lucchese	1-2	L
19 Aug	H	Figline	0-0	D

Head to head

4San Donato Tavarnelle wins

3draws

3Montevarchi Calcio wins

10 meetings · goals 14:12 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for San Donato Tavarnelle

11 Jan 2026Serie D - Girone E	Serie D - Girone E	San Donato Tavarnelle0-0Montevarchi Calcio
14 Sep 2025Serie D - Girone E	Serie D - Girone E	Montevarchi Calcio1-1San Donato Tavarnelle
31 Aug 2025Coppa Italia Serie D	Coppa Italia Serie D	Montevarchi Calcio2-1San Donato Tavarnelle
27 Apr 2025Serie D - Girone E	Serie D - Girone E	Montevarchi Calcio0-0San Donato Tavarnelle
15 Dec 2024Serie D - Girone E	Serie D - Girone E	San Donato Tavarnelle2-0Montevarchi Calcio
14 Apr 2024Serie D - Girone E	Serie D - Girone E	Montevarchi Calcio3-0San Donato Tavarnelle
3 Dec 2023Serie D - Girone E	Serie D - Girone E	San Donato Tavarnelle3-1Montevarchi Calcio
1 Apr 2023Serie C - Girone B	Serie C - Girone B	Montevarchi Calcio1-3San Donato Tavarnelle
29 Nov 2022Serie C - Girone B	Serie C - Girone B	San Donato Tavarnelle3-1Montevarchi Calcio
8 Dec 2019Serie D - Girone E	Serie D - Girone E	Montevarchi Calcio3-1San Donato Tavarnelle

Serie D - Girone E tableSerie D: Group Eupdated 30 Oct 06:03 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone E table, San Donato Tavarnelle sit 12th with 11 points from 9 games, while Montevarchi Calcio are 10th with 13 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Prato	9	5	4	0	13:6	+7	19
2	Gavorrano	9	4	5	0	12:6	+6	17
3	Robur Siena	9	5	1	3	16:10	+6	16
4	Tau Altopascio	9	5	1	3	13:15	-2	16
5	Seravezza	9	4	3	2	16:6	+10	15
6	Ternana	9	4	3	2	14:8	+6	15
7	Scandicci	9	4	3	2	15:10	+5	15
8	Lucchese	9	4	3	2	19:16	+3	15
9	Terranuova Traiana	9	3	4	2	14:11	+3	13
10	Montevarchi Calcio	9	4	1	4	13:12	+1	13
11	Flaminia	9	3	4	2	11:12	-1	13
12	San Donato Tavarnelle	9	3	2	4	10:12	-2	11
13	Mezzolara	9	1	7	1	8:10	-2	10
14	Rondinella	9	2	3	4	6:11	-5	9
15	Sasso Marconi Zola	9	2	2	5	11:15	-4	8
16	Grassina	9	1	3	5	8:15	-7	6
17	Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano	9	0	3	6	7:17	-10	3
18	Progresso	9	1	0	8	4:18	-14	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.18X29%3.15230%3.05

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.87	1.83	8.1%
Betano	1.83	1.80	10.2%
Best of all books	1.87	1.83	8.1%
Average	1.85	1.81	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.75	2.08	5.2%
Best of all books	1.75	2.08	5.2%
Average	1.75	2.08	5.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

San Donato Tavarnelle 10%Draw 45%Montevarchi Calcio 45%

The statistical model rates San Donato Tavarnelle at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Montevarchi Calcio at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.18 | 3.15 | 3.05, which imply roughly 31.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone E table: San Donato Tavarnelle are 12th (11 pts, 10-12 goals), Montevarchi Calcio 10th (13 pts, 13-12).

Over their last five matches, San Donato Tavarnelle averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Montevarchi Calcio averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Montevarchi Calcio.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.18	3.15	3.05

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.31	1.55	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.57	2.15

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.75	2.08

1st half

1	X	2
2.77	2.02	3.60

2nd half

1	X	2
2.47	2.42	3.20

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.60	12.5	32.0
HT X	5.10	4.75	6.70
HT 2	26.0	13.5	5.20

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.27	3.30
2.5	1.85	1.82
3.5	2.97	1.31

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.90	1.20
-0.5	2.07	1.60
0	1.58	2.18

Next Serie D - Girone E matches

1 Nov	Gavorrano – Scandicci
1 Nov	Prato – Mezzolara
1 Nov	Ternana – Seravezza
1 Nov	Terranuova Traiana – Lucchese

All Serie D - Girone E fixtures and the table

Latest Serie D - Girone E results

25 Oct	Mezzolara 1-1 Terranuova Traiana
25 Oct	Progresso 0-1 Ternana
25 Oct	Tau Altopascio 2-1 Sasso Marconi Zola
25 Oct	Seravezza 1-1 Gavorrano
25 Oct	Prato 1-1 Flaminia
25 Oct	Scandicci 2-1 San Donato Tavarnelle