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Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem• Liga Alef, Israel

2.0:0.810:35Today0.4:3.4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.14B365X8.70MAR221.0WHMargin at best4.0%Books7Markets47Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 22:19 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.098.6021.08.1%
Bet3651.128.0015.08.5%
Betfair1.078.5021.010.0%
Betano1.126.7015.010.9%
1xBet1.039.1022.012.6%
Marathonbet1.039.1022.012.6%
BetVictor1.065.7513.019.4%
Best of all books1.129.1022.04.8%
Average1.077.9618.411.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Shimshon Tel AvivNordia Jerusalem
Last 1012Form pts · last 502.0Goals for · last 50.40.8Goals against · last 53.483Attack rating1781Defence rating19100Form rating07H2H rating9396Goals model459Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 08:00 UTC

Shimshon Tel Aviv

5W 1D 1L · goals 14:6 · per match 2.0 for, 0.9 against

18 OctAMaccabi Ashdod1-0W
9 OctHKfar Saba 19283-0W
30 SepHHapoel Ramat HaSharon1-2L
23 SepAHapoel Marmorek2-1W
17 SepHHolon Yermiyahu3-1W
9 SepAHapoel Hadera2-2D
3 SepHIroni Beit Shemesh2-0W

Nordia Jerusalem

0W 0D 7L · goals 3:22 · per match 0.4 for, 3.1 against

19 OctHHapoel Marmorek1-4L
8 OctAHolon Yermiyahu0-5L
30 SepHHapoel Hadera0-4L
23 SepAIroni Beit Shemesh0-1L
18 SepHFC Jerusalem1-3L
9 SepAHapoel Herzliya1-3L
3 SepHDimona0-2L

Head to head

2Shimshon Tel Aviv wins
2draws
4Nordia Jerusalem wins

8 meetings · goals 13:13 · last 8: 2W 2D 4L for Shimshon Tel Aviv

17 Jan 2026Liga AlefLiga AlefShimshon Tel Aviv1-1Nordia Jerusalem
5 Sep 2025Liga AlefLiga AlefNordia Jerusalem1-0Shimshon Tel Aviv
12 Feb 2025Liga AlefLiga AlefShimshon Tel Aviv2-4Nordia Jerusalem
15 Oct 2024Liga AlefLiga AlefNordia Jerusalem1-0Shimshon Tel Aviv
8 Mar 2024Liga AlefLiga AlefNordia Jerusalem1-0Shimshon Tel Aviv
5 Oct 2023Liga AlefLiga AlefShimshon Tel Aviv2-2Nordia Jerusalem
7 Jan 2022Liga AlefLiga AlefNordia Jerusalem2-5Shimshon Tel Aviv
12 Sep 2021Liga AlefLiga AlefShimshon Tel Aviv3-1Nordia Jerusalem

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg183%1.08X11%7.8725%16.9

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 08:0023 Oct 02:301 1.08X 7.872 16.9
11.06 → 1.08 +1.9%X7.94 → 7.87 -0.9%218.5 → 16.9 -8.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.402.757.8%
Betfair1.362.888.3%
1xBet1.362.7010.6%
Marathonbet1.362.7010.6%
BetVictor1.292.3819.5%
Best of all books1.402.886.2%
Average1.352.6811.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.401.508.3%
1xBet2.531.449.0%
Marathonbet2.531.429.9%
BetVictor2.151.3620.0%
Best of all books2.531.506.2%
Average2.401.4311.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Shimshon Tel Aviv 45%Draw 45%Nordia Jerusalem 10%

The statistical model rates Shimshon Tel Aviv at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Nordia Jerusalem at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.08 | 7.87 | 16.85, which imply roughly 92.6% for a Shimshon Tel Aviv win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Shimshon Tel Aviv averaged 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Nordia Jerusalem averaged 0.4 scored and 3.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Shimshon Tel Aviv and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.077.9618.4

Double chance

1XX212
1.025.751.07

Draw no bet

12
1.048.50

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.401.43

1st half

1X2
1.393.0612.8

2nd half

1X2
1.264.0013.7

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.4426.8119.3
HT X4.0711.632.5
HT 221.332.832.8

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.1321.05.75

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.5–17.0
1.51.075.67
2.51.352.68
3.51.941.68
4.53.011.25
5.54.001.06
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
21.114.90
2.251.243.34
2.751.422.33
31.532.08
3.251.721.82
3.752.121.51
42.621.38
4.252.921.31
55.201.10

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-32.391.39
-2.752.041.56
-2.51.871.74
-2.251.651.90
-21.462.23
-1.751.402.60
6 more lines
LineHomeAway
-44.951.11
-3.53.051.28
-3.252.781.34
-1.51.322.88
-1.251.203.70
-11.085.55

Next Liga Alef matches

23 OctHapoel Migdal HaEmek – Ironi Baka El Garbiya
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23 OctFC Jerusalem – Hapoel Sderot
23 OctHapoel Hadera – Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
23 OctIroni Beit Shemesh – Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
23 OctBeitar Nahariya – Hapoel Beit Shean

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