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Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya• Liga Alef, Israel

1.8:1.408:30Today2.2:1.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.85BTNX3.75B36523.70DAFMargin at best7.7%Books7Markets42Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 22:19 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.853.703.708.1%
Betano1.853.603.4510.8%
1xBet1.793.643.6310.9%
Bet3651.833.753.3011.6%
Marathonbet1.773.643.5412.2%
Pinnacle1.833.523.3912.6%
William Hill1.753.603.6012.7%
Best of all books1.853.753.707.7%
Average1.813.643.5211.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Hapoel Migdal HaEmekIroni Baka El Garbiya
Last 108Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 52.21.4Goals against · last 51.845Attack rating5556Defence rating4453Form rating4725H2H rating7544Goals model5643Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:30 UTC

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

3W 3D 1L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.9 for, 1.3 against

19 OctAHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt1-1D
8 OctHTzeirey Tamra1-0W
30 SepAHapoel Ironi Arraba1-1D
24 SepHHapoel Nazareth Illit2-3L
18 SepAMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed4-2W
5 SepAMaccabi K. Ata Bialik2-2D
27 FebATzeirey Tamra2-0W

Ironi Baka El Garbiya

2W 2D 3L · goals 11:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.6 against

19 OctATzeirey Tamra3-1W
8 OctHHapoel Nazareth Illit1-2L
30 SepAHapoel Beit Shean1-2L
23 SepHHapoel Tirat HaCarmel3-1W
19 SepAHapoel Umm al-Fahm3-3D
9 SepHIroni Nesher0-2L
5 SepAMaccabi Neve Sha'anan0-0D

Head to head

7Hapoel Migdal HaEmek wins
6draws
8Ironi Baka El Garbiya wins

21 meetings · goals 25:30 · last 10: 1W 5D 4L for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

16 Jan 2026Liga AlefLiga AlefIroni Baka El Garbiya2-1Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
5 Sep 2025Liga AlefLiga AlefHapoel Migdal HaEmek0-0Ironi Baka El Garbiya
3 Jan 2025Liga AlefLiga AlefHapoel Migdal HaEmek2-2Ironi Baka El Garbiya
15 Mar 2024Liga AlefLiga AlefHapoel Migdal HaEmek0-2Ironi Baka El Garbiya
22 Dec 2023Liga AlefLiga AlefIroni Baka El Garbiya0-0Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
1 Sep 2023State CupState CupHapoel Migdal HaEmek1-3Ironi Baka El Garbiya
3 Mar 2023Liga AlefLiga AlefHapoel Migdal HaEmek0-2Ironi Baka El Garbiya
31 Oct 2022Liga AlefLiga AlefIroni Baka El Garbiya1-1Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
25 Mar 2022Liga AlefLiga AlefIroni Baka El Garbiya1-1Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3 Dec 2021Liga AlefLiga AlefHapoel Migdal HaEmek2-1Ironi Baka El Garbiya

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.81X25%3.64226%3.52

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 06:3022 Oct 23:301 1.81X 3.642 3.52
11.79 → 1.81 +1.1%X3.56 → 3.64 +2.2%23.60 → 3.52 -2.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.732.085.9%
1xBet1.552.249.2%
Marathonbet1.552.249.2%
Pinnacle1.512.329.3%
Betano1.572.1510.2%
Best of all books1.732.320.9%
Average1.582.218.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.532.387.4%
1xBet1.522.328.9%
Marathonbet1.522.279.8%
Best of all books1.532.387.4%
Average1.522.328.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 10%Draw 45%Ironi Baka El Garbiya 45%

The statistical model rates Hapoel Migdal HaEmek at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ironi Baka El Garbiya at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.81 | 3.64 | 3.52, which imply roughly 27.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Ironi Baka El Garbiya averaged 2.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Ironi Baka El Garbiya.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.813.643.52

Double chance

1XX212
1.211.821.21

Draw no bet

12
1.412.65

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.522.32

1st half

1X2
2.312.324.01

2nd half

1X2
2.112.673.64

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.8814.330.5
HT X4.906.208.25
HT 221.015.55.70

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6114.12.34

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.0
1.51.144.35
2.51.582.21
3.52.321.49
4.54.051.17
5.57.001.08
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
1–9.10
1.751.173.96
21.223.50
2.251.382.68
2.751.662.03
31.871.78
3.252.101.61
3.752.701.37
43.421.23

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.701.37
-12.411.47
-0.752.001.67
-0.51.831.87
-0.251.592.14
01.382.65
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.55.701.08
-25.001.10
-1.753.681.20
-1.52.971.30
+0.251.303.02
+11.066.25
+1.51.047.10

Next Liga Alef matches

23 OctMaccabi K. Ata Bialik – Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
23 OctFC Jerusalem – Hapoel Sderot
23 OctHapoel Hadera – Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
23 OctIroni Beit Shemesh – Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
23 OctBeitar Nahariya – Hapoel Beit Shean
23 OctHapoel Ironi Karmiel – Hapoel Nazareth Illit

All Liga Alef fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Alef results

22 OctHapoel Herzliya 1-5 Hapoel Azor
22 OctTira 2-0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
19 OctHapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0-4 Beitar Nahariya
19 OctTzeirey Tira 0-1 Hapoel Hadera
19 OctHapoel Mahane Yehuda 4-2 FC Jerusalem
19 OctHapoel Beit Shean 1-1 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel