Middlesbrough U21 vs Derby County U21• Premier League 2 Division One, England

#301.8:2.619:00Today · Heritage Park, Bishop Auckland2.6:3.0#20

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.95B365X4.35PIN23.301XBMargin at best4.6%Books9Markets54Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L55.0

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.90	4.20	3.20	7.7%
Pinnacle	1.87	4.35	3.12	8.5%
Betano	1.91	4.00	3.15	9.1%
1xBet	1.81	3.98	3.28	10.9%
Bet365	1.85	4.50	2.88	11.0%
Betfair	1.85	4.00	3.10	11.3%
William Hill	1.85	3.90	3.10	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.79	3.98	3.20	12.2%
BetVictor	1.75	3.50	2.90	20.2%
Best of all books	1.91	4.50	3.28	5.1%
Average	1.84	4.05	3.10	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Middlesbrough U21Derby County U21

Last 10#30Table position#200.33Points per game1.176Form pts · last 551.8Goals for · last 52.62.6Goals against · last 53.041Attack rating5954Defence rating4633Form rating6775H2H rating2526Goals model7451Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 15:01 UTC

Middlesbrough U21

3W 3D 4L · goals 18:24 · per match 1.8 for, 2.4 against

3 Nov	H	Valencia U21	3-2	W
25 Oct	H	Tottenham Hotspur U21	1-2	L
20 Oct	A	Boreham Wood	1-7	L
16 Oct	A	Everton U21	1-2	L
30 Sep	H	Juventus U21	1-0	W
23 Sep	H	Genk U21	1-1	D
18 Sep	A	Aston Villa U21	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Leeds United U21	4-4	D
9 Sep	A	Tamworth	3-1	W
31 Aug	A	AFC Bournemouth U21	1-3	L

Derby County U21

2W 3D 5L · goals 22:25 · per match 2.2 for, 2.5 against

3 Nov	A	Wealdstone	2-2	D
2 Nov	A	Hull City U21	0-1	L
26 Oct	H	Norwich City U21	3-4	L
19 Oct	A	Birmingham City U21	4-0	W
13 Oct	A	Scunthorpe	2-2	D
10 Oct	A	Brentford U21	2-4	L
18 Sep	A	Burnley U21	1-4	L
11 Sep	H	Tottenham Hotspur U21	1-3	L
8 Sep	A	Gateshead	3-1	W
31 Aug	H	West Bromwich Albion U21	4-4	D

Head to head

3Middlesbrough U21 wins

0draws

1Derby County U21 wins

4 meetings · goals 9:3 · last 4: 3W 0D 1L for Middlesbrough U21

20 Mar 2026Premier League 2 Division One	Premier League 2 Division One	Derby County U211-0Middlesbrough U21
5 Nov 2023Premier League 2 Division One	Premier League 2 Division One	Middlesbrough U211-0Derby County U21
24 Mar 2023Premier League 2 Division One	Premier League 2 Division One	Derby County U211-5Middlesbrough U21
12 Aug 2022Premier League 2 Division One	Premier League 2 Division One	Middlesbrough U213-1Derby County U21

Premier League 2 Division One tablePremier League 2 U21updated 8 Nov 18:10 UTC

In the Premier League 2 Division One table, Middlesbrough U21 sit 30th with 2 points from 6 games, while Derby County U21 are 20th with 7 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Southampton U21	6	5	1	0	17:6	+11	16
2	Chelsea U21	7	5	1	1	20:12	+8	16
3	Tottenham Hotspur U21	7	5	1	1	18:11	+7	16
4	Fulham U21	7	4	1	2	20:15	+5	13
5	Norwich City U21	7	4	1	2	16:15	+1	13
6	Nottingham Forest U21	7	4	1	2	13:13	0	13
7	Liverpool U21	6	3	2	1	11:6	+5	11
8	Reading U21	7	3	2	2	10:9	+1	11
9	Manchester United U21	5	3	1	1	15:7	+8	10
10	Leeds United U21	6	3	1	2	17:14	+3	10
11	Sunderland U21	7	3	1	3	18:16	+2	10
12	AFC Bournemouth U21	7	3	1	3	15:18	-3	10
13	Everton U21	6	2	3	1	7:5	+2	9
14	Brentford U21	7	3	0	4	15:15	0	9
15	West Ham United U21	7	2	3	2	12:12	0	9
16	Blackburn Rovers U21	5	3	0	2	10:10	0	9
17	Crystal Palace U21	6	2	2	2	10:9	+1	8
18	Brighton U21	6	2	2	2	14:14	0	8
19	Aston Villa U21	6	2	2	2	10:13	-3	8
20	Derby County U21	6	2	1	3	16:16	0	7
21	Arsenal U21	7	1	4	2	12:15	-3	7
22	Manchester City U21	4	2	0	2	11:9	+2	6
23	Ipswich Town U21	4	2	0	2	11:10	+1	6
24	Wolves U21	5	2	0	3	4:11	-7	6
25	Leicester City U21	6	1	2	3	7:12	-5	5
26	Stoke City U21	7	1	1	5	12:15	-3	4
27	Burnley U21	7	1	1	5	10:14	-4	4
28	Newcastle United U21	5	1	1	3	5:12	-7	4
29	Birmingham City U21	6	0	3	3	7:18	-11	3
30	Middlesbrough U21	6	0	2	4	9:14	-5	2
31	West Bromwich Albion U21	5	0	1	4	11:17	-6	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.87X22%4.10229%3.09

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.93 → 1.87 -3.1%X4.04 → 4.10 +1.5%22.99 → 3.09 +3.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.33	3.25	6.0%
Betfair	1.25	3.60	7.8%
Betano	1.33	2.95	9.1%
1xBet	1.27	3.14	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.27	3.14	10.6%
Best of all books	1.33	3.60	3.0%
Average	1.29	3.22	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.29	3.40	6.9%
Betano	1.34	2.92	8.9%
1xBet	1.30	3.12	9.0%
William Hill	1.33	2.90	9.7%
Marathonbet	1.30	3.04	9.8%
BetVictor	1.22	2.63	20.0%
Best of all books	1.34	3.40	4.0%
Average	1.30	3.00	10.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Middlesbrough U21 10%Draw 45%Derby County U21 45%

The statistical model rates Middlesbrough U21 at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Derby County U21 at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.87 | 4.10 | 3.09, which imply roughly 24.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League 2 Division One table: Middlesbrough U21 are 30th (2 pts, 9-14 goals), Derby County U21 20th (7 pts, 16-16).

Over their last five matches, Middlesbrough U21 averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Derby County U21 averaged 2.6 scored and 3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Derby County U21 and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.84	4.05	3.10

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.80	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.49	2.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.30	3.00

1st half

1	X	2
2.25	2.59	3.38

2nd half

1	X	2
2.11	2.94	3.24

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.79	13.4	24.0
HT X	5.52	7.76	8.42
HT 2	17.6	13.7	5.03

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.64	29.0	2.13

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	19.0
1.5	1.06	6.93
2.5	1.29	3.22
3.5	1.76	1.90
4.5	2.63	1.38
5.5	4.59	1.15

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.05	6.60
2	1.06	6.05
2.25	1.17	4.05
2.75	1.34	2.71
3	1.40	2.47
3.25	1.57	2.09
3.75	1.91	1.70
4	2.17	1.53
4.25	2.39	1.43
4.75	3.21	1.26
5	4.20	1.16
5.25	4.50	1.13
6	8.30	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.70	1.38
-1	2.34	1.46
-0.75	1.99	1.63
-0.5	1.83	1.83
-0.25	1.60	2.03
0	1.42	2.41

16 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.30	1.01
-3	8.65	1.02
-2.75	6.80	1.04
-2.5	5.65	1.08
-2.25	5.30	1.09
-2	4.90	1.11
-1.75	3.58	1.21
-1.5	2.97	1.30
+0.25	1.35	2.81
+0.5	1.39	2.80
+0.75	1.17	3.94
+1	1.08	5.55
+1.25	1.06	6.00
+1.5	1.05	6.40
+2	1.02	9.10
+2.5	1.01	10.0

Latest Premier League 2 Division One results

8 Nov	Arsenal U21 5-2 Aston Villa U21
8 Nov	Tottenham Hotspur U21 1-3 Chelsea U21
8 Nov	Burnley U21 1-1 Manchester United U21
8 Nov	Crystal Palace U21 1-1 Everton U21
8 Nov	Leeds United U21 5-1 AFC Bournemouth U21
7 Nov	Southampton U21 5-2 Norwich City U21