Arsenal U21 vs Aston Villa U21• Premier League 2 Division One, England

#211.2:2.45-2FT08/11 · Meadow Park, Borehamwood1.6:1.6#19

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.95BTNX4.32PIN23.30BFRMargin at best4.7%Books9Markets55Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.89	4.20	3.20	8.0%
Pinnacle	1.85	4.32	3.18	8.6%
Betano	1.90	4.00	3.20	8.9%
1xBet	1.83	4.15	3.12	10.8%
Betfair	1.80	4.00	3.30	10.9%
Bet365	1.83	4.20	3.00	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.81	4.15	3.05	12.1%
William Hill	1.85	3.80	3.00	13.7%
BetVictor	1.75	3.50	2.90	20.2%
Best of all books	1.90	4.32	3.30	6.1%
Average	1.83	4.04	3.11	11.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Arsenal U21Aston Villa U21

Last 10#21Table position#191.00Points per game1.338Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 51.62.4Goals against · last 51.643Attack rating5740Defence rating6027Form rating7350H2H rating5025Goals model7540Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 16:02 UTC

Arsenal U21

2W 5D 3L · goals 13:21 · per match 1.3 for, 2.1 against

27 Oct	A	AFC Wimbledon	2-1	W
24 Oct	A	Leicester City U21	1-4	L
10 Oct	H	Sunderland U21	2-2	D
18 Sep	A	Birmingham City U21	0-0	D
15 Sep	A	Leyton Orient	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Chelsea U21	1-4	L
31 Aug	A	Brighton U21	2-2	D
22 Aug	H	Crystal Palace U21	1-1	D
18 Aug	A	Barnet	1-5	L
17 Jul	A	Boreham Wood	1-1	D

Aston Villa U21

3W 2D 5L · goals 18:23 · per match 1.8 for, 2.3 against

27 Oct	A	Blackpool	2-3	L
17 Oct	A	Burnley U21	1-0	W
22 Sep	A	Crewe	1-4	L
18 Sep	H	Middlesbrough U21	2-2	D
15 Sep	H	Real Sociedad II	5-1	W
11 Sep	A	Fulham U21	3-3	D
2 Sep	H	Brondby U21	0-4	L
28 Aug	H	Crystal Palace U21	0-2	L
21 Aug	H	Brighton U21	2-1	W
18 Aug	A	Wigan	2-3	L

Head to head

1Arsenal U21 wins

0draws

1Aston Villa U21 wins

2 meetings · goals 7:6 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Arsenal U21

30 Aug 2024Premier League 2 Division One	Premier League 2 Division One	Arsenal U214-1Aston Villa U21
15 Apr 2024Premier League 2 Division One	Premier League 2 Division One	Arsenal U213-5Aston Villa U21

Premier League 2 Division One tablePremier League 2 U21updated 8 Nov 18:10 UTC

In the Premier League 2 Division One table, Arsenal U21 sit 21st with 7 points from 7 games, while Aston Villa U21 are 19th with 8 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Southampton U21	6	5	1	0	17:6	+11	16
2	Chelsea U21	7	5	1	1	20:12	+8	16
3	Tottenham Hotspur U21	7	5	1	1	18:11	+7	16
4	Fulham U21	7	4	1	2	20:15	+5	13
5	Norwich City U21	7	4	1	2	16:15	+1	13
6	Nottingham Forest U21	7	4	1	2	13:13	0	13
7	Liverpool U21	6	3	2	1	11:6	+5	11
8	Reading U21	7	3	2	2	10:9	+1	11
9	Manchester United U21	5	3	1	1	15:7	+8	10
10	Leeds United U21	6	3	1	2	17:14	+3	10
11	Sunderland U21	7	3	1	3	18:16	+2	10
12	AFC Bournemouth U21	7	3	1	3	15:18	-3	10
13	Everton U21	6	2	3	1	7:5	+2	9
14	Brentford U21	7	3	0	4	15:15	0	9
15	West Ham United U21	7	2	3	2	12:12	0	9
16	Blackburn Rovers U21	5	3	0	2	10:10	0	9
17	Crystal Palace U21	6	2	2	2	10:9	+1	8
18	Brighton U21	6	2	2	2	14:14	0	8
19	Aston Villa U21	6	2	2	2	10:13	-3	8
20	Derby County U21	6	2	1	3	16:16	0	7
21	Arsenal U21	7	1	4	2	12:15	-3	7
22	Manchester City U21	4	2	0	2	11:9	+2	6
23	Ipswich Town U21	4	2	0	2	11:10	+1	6
24	Wolves U21	5	2	0	3	4:11	-7	6
25	Leicester City U21	6	1	2	3	7:12	-5	5
26	Stoke City U21	7	1	1	5	12:15	-3	4
27	Burnley U21	7	1	1	5	10:14	-4	4
28	Newcastle United U21	5	1	1	3	5:12	-7	4
29	Birmingham City U21	6	0	3	3	7:18	-11	3
30	Middlesbrough U21	6	0	2	4	9:14	-5	2
31	West Bromwich Albion U21	5	0	1	4	11:17	-6	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.83X22%4.04229%3.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.89 → 1.86 -1.6%X4.05 → 4.08 +0.7%23.02 → 3.11 +3.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.36	3.00	6.9%
Betfair	1.30	3.20	8.2%
Betano	1.35	2.87	8.9%
1xBet	1.30	2.97	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.30	2.97	10.6%
Best of all books	1.36	3.20	4.8%
Average	1.32	3.00	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.30	3.20	8.2%
William Hill	1.35	2.90	8.6%
Betano	1.36	2.82	9.0%
1xBet	1.33	2.95	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.33	2.88	9.9%
BetVictor	1.25	2.50	20.0%
Best of all books	1.36	3.20	4.8%
Average	1.32	2.88	10.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Arsenal U21 10%Draw 45%Aston Villa U21 45%

The statistical model rated Arsenal U21 at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Aston Villa U21 at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.83 | 4.04 | 3.11, which imply roughly 24.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League 2 Division One table: Arsenal U21 are 21st (7 pts, 12-15 goals), Aston Villa U21 19th (8 pts, 10-13).

Over their last five matches, Arsenal U21 averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Aston Villa U21 averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Aston Villa U21.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.83	4.04	3.11

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.80	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.47	2.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.32	2.88

1st half

1	X	2
2.26	2.57	3.39

2nd half

1	X	2
2.16	2.90	3.20

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.76	13.4	23.2
HT X	5.58	7.74	8.48
HT 2	17.1	13.6	5.10

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.65	27.0	2.11

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	18.5
1.5	1.08	6.20
2.5	1.32	3.00
3.5	1.82	1.82
4.5	2.84	1.35
5.5	4.91	1.12

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	13.5
1.75	1.07	5.80
2	1.09	5.40
2.25	1.19	3.76
2.75	1.36	2.63
3	1.44	2.36
3.25	1.62	2.01
3.75	1.98	1.64
4	2.25	1.48
4.25	2.48	1.40
4.75	3.35	1.24
5	4.30	1.15
5.25	4.60	1.13
6	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.71	1.38
-1	2.34	1.45
-0.75	1.99	1.64
-0.5	1.82	1.84
-0.25	1.61	2.03
0	1.43	2.40

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	9.60	1.01
-2.5	5.45	1.08
-2	4.85	1.11
-1.75	3.58	1.21
-1.5	2.97	1.30
+0.25	1.37	2.74
+0.75	1.21	3.58
+1	1.10	5.00
+1.25	1.09	5.40
+1.5	1.07	5.75
+1.75	1.03	7.30
+2	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.35	2.83
9.5	1.54	2.26
10	1.70	1.98
10.5	1.95	1.73
11	2.30	1.52
11.5	2.61	1.41

Next Premier League 2 Division One matches

9 Nov

Middlesbrough U21 – Derby County U21

All Premier League 2 Division One fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League 2 Division One results

8 Nov	Tottenham Hotspur U21 1-3 Chelsea U21
8 Nov	Burnley U21 1-1 Manchester United U21
8 Nov	Leeds United U21 5-1 AFC Bournemouth U21
8 Nov	Crystal Palace U21 1-1 Everton U21
7 Nov	Southampton U21 5-2 Norwich City U21
6 Nov	Nottingham Forest U21 2-2 Leicester City U21