UNA vs FC Lisse• Derde Divisie, Netherlands

#151.2:1.40-4FT08/113.0:0.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.00DAFX4.33B36521.56DAFMargin at best7.2%Books7Markets48Rating29 · 71Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	5.00	4.30	1.56	7.4%
Pinnacle	4.71	4.04	1.55	10.5%
1xBet	4.74	4.25	1.51	10.9%
Betano	4.65	3.95	1.55	11.3%
William Hill	4.60	3.90	1.55	11.9%
Bet365	4.10	4.33	1.55	12.0%
Marathonbet	4.55	4.25	1.50	12.2%
Best of all books	5.00	4.33	1.56	7.2%
Average	4.62	4.15	1.54	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

UNAFC Lisse

Last 10#15Table position#10.85Points per game2.625Form pts · last 5131.2Goals for · last 53.01.4Goals against · last 50.629Attack rating7130Defence rating7028Form rating7236H2H rating6420Goals model8029Overall rating71

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 03:02 UTC

UNA

2W 4D 4L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

25 Oct	A	Groene Ster	3-1	W
18 Oct	H	UDI '19	0-2	L
10 Oct	A	Poortugaal	0-1	L
4 Oct	A	Blauw Geel	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Dongen	2-2	D
20 Sep	A	GOES	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Rijnvogels	1-4	L
6 Sep	A	Gemert	1-1	D
2 Sep	A	Staphorst	2-2	D
30 Aug	H	EVV	4-1	W

FC Lisse

7W 1D 2L · goals 22:9 · per match 2.2 for, 0.9 against

24 Oct	H	Dongen	4-0	W
18 Oct	A	GOES	6-2	W
10 Oct	H	Rijnvogels	2-0	W
4 Oct	A	Gemert	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	EVV	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Zwaluwen	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	TOGB	3-2	W
5 Sep	A	Vvsb	2-1	W
1 Sep	A	SC Genemuiden	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Excelsior Maassluis	1-0	W

Head to head

1UNA wins

1draws

2FC Lisse wins

4 meetings · goals 3:7 · last 4: 1W 1D 2L for UNA

10 May 2026Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	UNA0-2FC Lisse
29 Nov 2025Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	FC Lisse1-1UNA
1 Feb 2025Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	FC Lisse0-1UNA
8 Sep 2024Derde Divisie - Sunday	Derde Divisie - Sunday	UNA1-4FC Lisse

Derde Divisie tableDerde Divisieupdated 14 Nov 18:20 UTC

In the Derde Divisie table, UNA sit 15th with 11 points from 13 games, while FC Lisse are 1st with 34 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	ACV	13	9	3	1	34:11	+23	30
1	FC Lisse	13	11	1	1	33:8	+25	34
2	VV Scherpenzeel	13	9	3	1	26:14	+12	30
2	Noordwijk	13	11	1	1	28:5	+23	34
3	Harkemase Boys	13	8	2	3	25:17	+8	26
3	Rijnvogels	13	8	3	2	35:17	+18	27
4	SC Genemuiden	13	8	1	4	25:18	+7	25
4	Excelsior Maassluis	13	8	2	3	24:13	+11	26
5	TEC	13	7	3	3	38:24	+14	24
5	Zwaluwen	13	7	1	5	18:19	-1	22
6	Purmersteijn	13	7	3	3	26:18	+8	24
6	Poortugaal	13	7	0	6	20:19	+1	21
7	Sportlust '46	13	6	5	2	21:18	+3	23
7	UDI '19	12	6	2	4	22:13	+9	20
8	Excelsior '31	13	7	1	5	28:20	+8	22
8	Dongen	13	6	1	6	27:27	0	19
9	Sparta Nijkerk	13	6	3	4	30:23	+7	21
9	Blauw Geel	13	5	3	5	19:19	0	18
10	ADO '20	13	5	2	6	23:28	-5	17
10	GOES	12	5	2	5	25:29	-4	17
11	Eemdijk	13	5	1	7	26:33	-7	16
11	Gemert	11	4	4	3	17:18	-1	16
12	Hercules	13	5	1	7	20:28	-8	16
12	TOGB	13	4	3	6	22:28	-6	15
13	Hoogeveen	12	4	2	6	26:27	-1	14
13	Roosendaal	11	3	2	6	21:26	-5	11
14	Staphorst	13	2	4	7	19:29	-10	10
14	Vvsb	12	3	2	7	16:25	-9	11
15	Dovo	13	2	4	7	18:30	-12	10
15	UNA	13	2	5	6	16:23	-7	11
16	DVS 33 Ermelo	13	2	3	8	18:26	-8	9
16	Groene Ster	12	2	3	7	15:32	-17	9
17	Hollandia	12	2	2	8	20:33	-13	8
17	Achilles Veen	13	2	0	11	11:33	-22	6
18	SVZW	13	0	1	12	16:42	-26	1
18	EVV	13	0	3	10	13:28	-15	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg120%4.62X22%4.15259%1.54

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.42 → 4.62 +4.5%X4.36 → 4.15 -4.8%21.54 → 1.54 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.36	3.00	6.9%
Pinnacle	1.41	2.63	8.9%
1xBet	1.38	2.62	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.38	2.62	10.6%
Best of all books	1.41	3.00	4.3%
Average	1.38	2.72	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.47	2.44	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.39	9.9%
William Hill	1.44	2.40	11.1%
Best of all books	1.47	2.44	9.0%
Average	1.46	2.41	10.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

UNA 0%Draw 50%FC Lisse 50%

The statistical model rated UNA at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and FC Lisse at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.62 | 4.15 | 1.54, which imply roughly 24.1% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Derde Divisie table: UNA are 15th (11 pts, 16-23 goals), FC Lisse 1st (34 pts, 33-8).

Over their last five matches, UNA averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; FC Lisse averaged 3 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : FC Lisse.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.62	4.15	1.54

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.20	1.14	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
3.48	1.26

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.46	2.41

1st half

1	X	2
4.51	2.53	1.98

2nd half

1	X	2
4.30	2.90	1.84

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.75	15.8	18.0
HT X	10.8	7.40	4.68
HT 2	35.3	15.0	2.24

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.57	22.5	1.47

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	19.0
1.5	1.11	5.50
2.5	1.38	2.72
3.5	2.03	1.67
4.5	3.20	1.26
5.5	6.00	1.10

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.0
2	1.13	4.55
2.25	1.26	3.20
2.75	1.48	2.36
3	1.61	2.11
3.25	1.83	1.83
3.75	2.29	1.52
4	2.71	1.37
4.25	2.92	1.31
4.75	3.48	1.22
5	5.05	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.73	1.36
+0.5	2.32	1.53
+0.75	2.04	1.65
+1	1.84	1.85
+1.25	1.61	2.11
+1.5	1.48	2.35

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1	8.30	1.01
-0.25	3.98	1.17
0	3.58	1.21
+1.75	1.35	2.77
+2	1.27	3.22
+2.5	1.17	4.00
+3	1.07	6.08
+3.5	1.06	6.35

Next Derde Divisie matches

15 Nov	Hollandia – Hoogeveen
15 Nov	Groene Ster – UDI '19

All Derde Divisie fixtures and the table

Latest Derde Divisie results

14 Nov	Roosendaal 3-4 GOES
14 Nov	Vvsb 2-4 Gemert
14 Nov	ACV 4-0 ADO '20
8 Nov	Blauw Geel 1-0 UDI '19
8 Nov	EVV 0-1 Vvsb
8 Nov	Hoogeveen 2-2 TEC