Hoogeveen vs TEC• Derde Divisie, Netherlands

#132.4:2.42-2FT08/113.4:1.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.721XBX4.62PIN21.80B365Margin at best4.1%Books7Markets44Rating41 · 60Exp. goals L54.6

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.45	4.50	1.80	6.8%
Betano	3.20	4.15	1.80	10.9%
1xBet	3.60	4.05	1.71	10.9%
Bet365	3.70	4.50	1.60	11.7%
Pinnacle	2.95	4.44	1.80	12.0%
Marathonbet	3.52	4.05	1.69	12.3%
William Hill	3.30	3.90	1.75	13.1%
Best of all books	3.70	4.50	1.80	4.8%
Average	3.39	4.23	1.74	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HoogeveenTEC

Last 10#13Table position#51.17Points per game1.854Form pts · last 5132.4Goals for · last 53.42.4Goals against · last 51.041Attack rating5929Defence rating7132Form rating6850H2H rating5028Goals model7241Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 06:01 UTC

Hoogeveen

3W 2D 5L · goals 21:21 · per match 2.1 for, 2.1 against

8 Nov	H	TEC	2-2	D
24 Oct	A	Sparta Nijkerk	0-2	L
17 Oct	H	ACV	1-4	L
10 Oct	A	Harkemase Boys	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	SC Genemuiden	5-3	W
27 Sep	A	ADO '20	5-1	W
22 Sep	A	ACV	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Excelsior '31	0-2	L
12 Sep	A	Dovo	4-1	W
5 Sep	A	Sportlust '46	2-2	D

TEC

7W 3D 0L · goals 38:21 · per match 3.8 for, 2.1 against

25 Oct	H	Purmersteijn	5-2	W
17 Oct	A	VV Scherpenzeel	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	SVZW	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Staphorst	3-0	W
26 Sep	H	Eemdijk	7-2	W
23 Sep	A	JOS Watergraafsmeer	4-4	D
20 Sep	A	Hercules	4-2	W
12 Sep	H	DVS 33 Ermelo	4-4	D
6 Sep	A	Hollandia	5-4	W
1 Sep	H	Almkerk	4-2	W

Head to head

1Hoogeveen wins

0draws

1TEC wins

2 meetings · goals 5:3 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Hoogeveen

28 Feb 2026Derde Divisie	Derde Divisie	TEC0-3Hoogeveen
28 Sep 2025Derde Divisie	Derde Divisie	Hoogeveen2-3TEC

Derde Divisie tableDerde Divisieupdated 14 Nov 18:20 UTC

In the Derde Divisie table, Hoogeveen sit 13th with 14 points from 12 games, while TEC are 5th with 24 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	ACV	13	9	3	1	34:11	+23	30
1	FC Lisse	13	11	1	1	33:8	+25	34
2	VV Scherpenzeel	13	9	3	1	26:14	+12	30
2	Noordwijk	13	11	1	1	28:5	+23	34
3	Harkemase Boys	13	8	2	3	25:17	+8	26
3	Rijnvogels	13	8	3	2	35:17	+18	27
4	SC Genemuiden	13	8	1	4	25:18	+7	25
4	Excelsior Maassluis	13	8	2	3	24:13	+11	26
5	TEC	13	7	3	3	38:24	+14	24
5	Zwaluwen	13	7	1	5	18:19	-1	22
6	Purmersteijn	13	7	3	3	26:18	+8	24
6	Poortugaal	13	7	0	6	20:19	+1	21
7	Sportlust '46	13	6	5	2	21:18	+3	23
7	UDI '19	12	6	2	4	22:13	+9	20
8	Excelsior '31	13	7	1	5	28:20	+8	22
8	Dongen	13	6	1	6	27:27	0	19
9	Sparta Nijkerk	13	6	3	4	30:23	+7	21
9	Blauw Geel	13	5	3	5	19:19	0	18
10	ADO '20	13	5	2	6	23:28	-5	17
10	GOES	12	5	2	5	25:29	-4	17
11	Eemdijk	13	5	1	7	26:33	-7	16
11	Gemert	11	4	4	3	17:18	-1	16
12	Hercules	13	5	1	7	20:28	-8	16
12	TOGB	13	4	3	6	22:28	-6	15
13	Hoogeveen	12	4	2	6	26:27	-1	14
13	Roosendaal	11	3	2	6	21:26	-5	11
14	Staphorst	13	2	4	7	19:29	-10	10
14	Vvsb	12	3	2	7	16:25	-9	11
15	Dovo	13	2	4	7	18:30	-12	10
15	UNA	13	2	5	6	16:23	-7	11
16	DVS 33 Ermelo	13	2	3	8	18:26	-8	9
16	Groene Ster	12	2	3	7	15:32	-17	9
17	Hollandia	12	2	2	8	20:33	-13	8
17	Achilles Veen	13	2	0	11	11:33	-22	6
18	SVZW	13	0	1	12	16:42	-26	1
18	EVV	13	0	3	10	13:28	-15	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.41X21%4.24252%1.74

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.28 → 3.41 -20.3%X4.47 → 4.24 -5.1%21.55 → 1.74 +12.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.30	3.40	6.3%
1xBet	1.28	3.08	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.28	3.08	10.6%
Best of all books	1.30	3.40	6.3%
Average	1.29	3.19	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.35	2.90	8.6%
1xBet	1.32	3.00	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.32	2.92	10.0%
Best of all books	1.35	3.00	7.4%
Average	1.33	2.94	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Hoogeveen 10%Draw 45%TEC 45%

The statistical model rated Hoogeveen at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and TEC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.41 | 4.24 | 1.74, which imply roughly 23.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Derde Divisie table: Hoogeveen are 13th (14 pts, 26-27 goals), TEC 5th (24 pts, 38-24).

Over their last five matches, Hoogeveen averaged 2.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; TEC averaged 3.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : TEC and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.39	4.23	1.74

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.93	1.24	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
2.86	1.39

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.33	2.94

1st half

1	X	2
3.60	2.65	2.15

2nd half

1	X	2
3.42	2.96	2.03

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.47	15.2	17.3
HT X	8.95	8.17	5.30
HT 2	27.0	14.8	2.53

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.33	29.0	1.54

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	23.0
1.5	1.08	6.50
2.5	1.29	3.19
3.5	1.79	1.89
4.5	2.70	1.36
5.5	4.75	1.15

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.07	5.80
2.75	1.34	2.81
3	1.42	2.50
3.25	1.60	2.11
3.75	1.97	1.70
4	2.25	1.52
4.25	2.48	1.44
4.75	3.20	1.26
5	4.10	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.63	1.39
+0.25	2.19	1.56
+0.5	1.89	1.78
+0.75	1.75	1.90
+1	1.66	2.09
+1.25	1.44	2.45

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.95	1.04
-1	6.15	1.06
-0.25	2.93	1.32
+1.5	1.36	2.70
+1.75	1.26	3.20
+2	1.15	4.20
+2.5	1.11	4.90
+3	1.04	6.85

Next Derde Divisie matches

15 Nov	Hollandia – Hoogeveen
15 Nov	Groene Ster – UDI '19

All Derde Divisie fixtures and the table

Latest Derde Divisie results

14 Nov	Roosendaal 3-4 GOES
14 Nov	Vvsb 2-4 Gemert
14 Nov	ACV 4-0 ADO '20
8 Nov	UNA 0-4 FC Lisse
8 Nov	Blauw Geel 1-0 UDI '19
8 Nov	EVV 0-1 Vvsb