Purmersteijn vs Hollandia• Derde Divisie, Netherlands

#62.0:2.04-1FT08/111.2:1.8#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75DAFX4.33B36523.80PINMargin at best6.6%Books7Markets40Rating57 · 44Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.75	4.20	3.80	7.3%
1xBet	1.69	4.15	3.63	10.8%
Betano	1.72	4.00	3.55	11.3%
Bet365	1.70	4.33	3.40	11.3%
Pinnacle	1.65	4.03	3.80	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.67	4.15	3.55	12.1%
William Hill	1.73	3.75	3.60	12.2%
Best of all books	1.75	4.33	3.80	6.6%
Average	1.70	4.09	3.62	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PurmersteijnHollandia

Last 10#6Table position#171.85Points per game0.6710Form pts · last 572.0Goals for · last 51.22.0Goals against · last 51.863Attack rating3847Defence rating5350Form rating500H2H rating066Goals model3457Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 03:02 UTC

Purmersteijn

5W 2D 3L · goals 17:14 · per match 1.7 for, 1.4 against

29 Oct	H	Gemert	2-0	W
25 Oct	A	TEC	2-5	L
17 Oct	H	Sparta Nijkerk	3-0	W
10 Oct	A	ACV	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Harkemase Boys	4-2	W
26 Sep	A	SC Genemuiden	0-2	L
23 Sep	A	Zwaluwen	1-0	W
20 Sep	H	ADO '20	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Excelsior '31	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Dovo	1-2	L

Hollandia

2W 2D 6L · goals 16:26 · per match 1.6 for, 2.6 against

8 Nov	A	Purmersteijn	1-4	L
31 Oct	A	Eemdijk	1-0	W
25 Oct	H	VV Scherpenzeel	2-2	D
17 Oct	A	SVZW	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Staphorst	2-4	L
27 Sep	H	Hercules	0-3	L
19 Sep	A	DVS 33 Ermelo	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Sportlust '46	2-4	L
6 Sep	H	TEC	4-5	L
2 Sep	H	Halsteren	2-2	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Purmersteijn and Hollandia on record.

Derde Divisie tableDerde Divisieupdated 14 Nov 20:20 UTC

In the Derde Divisie table, Purmersteijn sit 6th with 24 points from 13 games, while Hollandia are 17th with 8 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	ACV	13	9	3	1	34:11	+23	30
1	FC Lisse	13	11	1	1	33:8	+25	34
2	VV Scherpenzeel	13	9	3	1	26:14	+12	30
2	Noordwijk	13	11	1	1	28:5	+23	34
3	Harkemase Boys	13	8	2	3	25:17	+8	26
3	Rijnvogels	13	8	3	2	35:17	+18	27
4	SC Genemuiden	13	8	1	4	25:18	+7	25
4	Excelsior Maassluis	13	8	2	3	24:13	+11	26
5	TEC	13	7	3	3	38:24	+14	24
5	Zwaluwen	13	7	1	5	18:19	-1	22
6	Purmersteijn	13	7	3	3	26:18	+8	24
6	Poortugaal	13	7	0	6	20:19	+1	21
7	Sportlust '46	13	6	5	2	21:18	+3	23
7	UDI '19	12	6	2	4	22:13	+9	20
8	Excelsior '31	13	7	1	5	28:20	+8	22
8	Gemert	12	5	4	3	21:20	+1	19
9	Sparta Nijkerk	13	6	3	4	30:23	+7	21
9	Dongen	13	6	1	6	27:27	0	19
10	ADO '20	13	5	2	6	23:28	-5	17
10	Blauw Geel	13	5	3	5	19:19	0	18
11	Eemdijk	13	5	1	7	26:33	-7	16
11	GOES	12	5	2	5	25:29	-4	17
12	Hercules	13	5	1	7	20:28	-8	16
12	TOGB	13	4	3	6	22:28	-6	15
13	Hoogeveen	12	4	2	6	26:27	-1	14
13	Roosendaal	11	3	2	6	21:26	-5	11
14	Staphorst	13	2	4	7	19:29	-10	10
14	UNA	13	2	5	6	16:23	-7	11
15	Dovo	13	2	4	7	18:30	-12	10
15	Vvsb	13	3	2	8	18:29	-11	11
16	DVS 33 Ermelo	13	2	3	8	18:26	-8	9
16	Groene Ster	12	2	3	7	15:32	-17	9
17	Hollandia	12	2	2	8	20:33	-13	8
17	Achilles Veen	13	2	0	11	11:33	-22	6
18	SVZW	13	0	1	12	16:42	-26	1
18	EVV	13	0	3	10	13:28	-15	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.70X22%4.10225%3.63

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.92 → 1.70 -11.5%X4.09 → 4.09 0.0%22.98 → 3.62 +21.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.30	3.40	6.3%
1xBet	1.25	3.28	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.25	3.28	10.5%
Best of all books	1.30	3.40	6.3%
Average	1.27	3.32	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.33	3.00	8.5%
1xBet	1.29	3.16	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.29	3.08	10.0%
Best of all books	1.33	3.16	6.8%
Average	1.30	3.08	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Purmersteijn 45%Draw 45%Hollandia 10%

The statistical model rated Purmersteijn at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Hollandia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.70 | 4.10 | 3.63, which imply roughly 58.8% for a Purmersteijn win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Derde Divisie table: Purmersteijn are 6th (24 pts, 26-18 goals), Hollandia 17th (8 pts, 20-33).

Over their last five matches, Purmersteijn averaged 2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Hollandia averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Purmersteijn or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.70	4.09	3.62

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.90	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.44	2.60

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.30	3.08

1st half

1	X	2
2.10	2.64	3.73

2nd half

1	X	2
1.96	3.02	3.60

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.63	13.7	26.0
HT X	5.47	7.83	8.78
HT 2	17.7	14.2	5.34

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.61	30.5	2.18

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	26.0
1.5	1.07	7.50
2.5	1.27	3.32
3.5	1.71	1.96
4.5	2.58	1.40
5.5	4.33	1.18

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.05	6.55
2.75	1.30	2.97
3	1.38	2.65
3.25	1.55	2.22
3.75	1.88	1.78
4	2.13	1.59
4.25	2.36	1.47
4.75	3.05	1.28
5	3.88	1.18

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.63	1.39
-1.25	2.36	1.47
-1	2.10	1.61
-0.75	1.85	1.84
-0.5	1.73	1.99
-0.25	1.49	2.32

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	4.90	1.11
-2	4.20	1.15
0	1.33	2.90
+0.25	1.27	3.14
+0.75	1.14	4.40
+1	1.06	6.35
+1.5	1.03	7.20

Next Derde Divisie matches

15 Nov	Hollandia – Hoogeveen
15 Nov	Groene Ster – UDI '19

All Derde Divisie fixtures and the table

Latest Derde Divisie results

14 Nov	Roosendaal 3-4 GOES
14 Nov	Vvsb 2-4 Gemert
14 Nov	ACV 4-0 ADO '20
8 Nov	UNA 0-4 FC Lisse
8 Nov	Blauw Geel 1-0 UDI '19
8 Nov	EVV 0-1 Vvsb