Gemert vs Excelsior Maassluis• Derde Divisie, Netherlands

#80.8:1.43-1FT07/112.0:0.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.10DAFX4.10B36522.13DAFMargin at best3.6%Books6Markets40Rating34 · 67Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 15:25 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.10	3.60	2.13	7.0%
1xBet	3.04	3.50	2.10	9.1%
Betano	2.92	3.45	2.10	10.9%
Bet365	3.00	4.10	1.85	11.8%
Pinnacle	2.98	3.34	2.07	11.8%
William Hill	2.90	3.20	2.10	13.4%
Best of all books	3.10	4.10	2.13	3.6%
Average	2.99	3.53	2.06	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GemertExcelsior Maassluis

Last 10#8Table position#41.58Points per game2.007Form pts · last 5120.8Goals for · last 52.01.4Goals against · last 50.829Attack rating7136Defence rating6432Form rating680H2H rating037Goals model6334Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 02:30 UTC

Gemert

5W 2D 3L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

7 Nov	H	Excelsior Maassluis	3-1	W
29 Oct	A	Purmersteijn	0-2	L
25 Oct	A	Roosendaal	0-0	D
17 Oct	H	Achilles Veen	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Noordwijk	0-4	L
4 Oct	H	FC Lisse	0-2	L
27 Sep	A	Groene Ster	2-1	W
23 Sep	A	Ijsselmeervogels	3-0	W
20 Sep	H	UDI '19	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Poortugaal	2-1	W

Excelsior Maassluis

8W 1D 1L · goals 20:8 · per match 2.0 for, 0.8 against

28 Oct	H	Heerenveen	0-2	L
24 Oct	H	EVV	1-0	W
17 Oct	A	Zwaluwen	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	TOGB	3-2	W
3 Oct	A	Vvsb	3-2	W
26 Sep	H	Blauw Geel	1-0	W
22 Sep	A	Sportlust '46	2-0	W
19 Sep	H	Roosendaal	5-0	W
12 Sep	A	Achilles Veen	3-2	W
5 Sep	H	Noordwijk	0-0	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Gemert and Excelsior Maassluis on record.

Derde Divisie tableDerde Divisieupdated 14 Nov 20:20 UTC

In the Derde Divisie table, Gemert sit 8th with 19 points from 12 games, while Excelsior Maassluis are 4th with 26 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	ACV	13	9	3	1	34:11	+23	30
1	FC Lisse	13	11	1	1	33:8	+25	34
2	VV Scherpenzeel	13	9	3	1	26:14	+12	30
2	Noordwijk	13	11	1	1	28:5	+23	34
3	Harkemase Boys	13	8	2	3	25:17	+8	26
3	Rijnvogels	13	8	3	2	35:17	+18	27
4	SC Genemuiden	13	8	1	4	25:18	+7	25
4	Excelsior Maassluis	13	8	2	3	24:13	+11	26
5	TEC	13	7	3	3	38:24	+14	24
5	Zwaluwen	13	7	1	5	18:19	-1	22
6	Purmersteijn	13	7	3	3	26:18	+8	24
6	Poortugaal	13	7	0	6	20:19	+1	21
7	Sportlust '46	13	6	5	2	21:18	+3	23
7	UDI '19	12	6	2	4	22:13	+9	20
8	Excelsior '31	13	7	1	5	28:20	+8	22
8	Gemert	12	5	4	3	21:20	+1	19
9	Sparta Nijkerk	13	6	3	4	30:23	+7	21
9	Dongen	13	6	1	6	27:27	0	19
10	ADO '20	13	5	2	6	23:28	-5	17
10	Blauw Geel	13	5	3	5	19:19	0	18
11	Eemdijk	13	5	1	7	26:33	-7	16
11	GOES	12	5	2	5	25:29	-4	17
12	Hercules	13	5	1	7	20:28	-8	16
12	TOGB	13	4	3	6	22:28	-6	15
13	Hoogeveen	12	4	2	6	26:27	-1	14
13	Roosendaal	11	3	2	6	21:26	-5	11
14	Staphorst	13	2	4	7	19:29	-10	10
14	UNA	13	2	5	6	16:23	-7	11
15	Dovo	13	2	4	7	18:30	-12	10
15	Vvsb	13	3	2	8	18:29	-11	11
16	DVS 33 Ermelo	13	2	3	8	18:26	-8	9
16	Groene Ster	12	2	3	7	15:32	-17	9
17	Hollandia	12	2	2	8	20:33	-13	8
17	Achilles Veen	13	2	0	11	11:33	-22	6
18	SVZW	13	0	1	12	16:42	-26	1
18	EVV	13	0	3	10	13:28	-15	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%2.99X26%3.53244%2.06

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.36	3.00	6.9%
1xBet	1.52	2.35	8.3%
Pinnacle	1.53	2.26	9.6%
Best of all books	1.53	3.00	-1.3%
Average	1.47	2.54	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.47	2.60	6.5%
William Hill	1.44	2.40	11.1%
Best of all books	1.47	2.60	6.5%
Average	1.46	2.50	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gemert 0%Draw 50%Excelsior Maassluis 50%

The statistical model rated Gemert at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Excelsior Maassluis at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.99 | 3.53 | 2.06, which imply roughly 28.3% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Derde Divisie table: Gemert are 8th (19 pts, 21-20 goals), Excelsior Maassluis 4th (26 pts, 24-13).

Over their last five matches, Gemert averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Excelsior Maassluis averaged 2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Excelsior Maassluis.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.99	3.53	2.06

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.67	1.33	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
2.33	1.54

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.46	2.50

1st half

1	X	2
3.32	2.42	2.43

2nd half

1	X	2
3.04	2.71	2.31

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.85	12.5	21.3
HT X	7.30	5.95	5.60
HT 2	27.0	12.3	3.22

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.9
1.5	1.13	4.80
2.5	1.47	2.54
3.5	2.21	1.57
4.5	3.90	1.20
5.5	8.00	1.07

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.0
2	1.20	4.00
2.25	1.38	2.71
2.75	1.67	2.05
3	1.79	1.89
3.25	2.10	1.64
3.75	2.66	1.39
4	2.96	1.34
5	6.00	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.57	1.41
0	2.28	1.56
+0.25	1.89	1.82
+0.5	1.73	1.99
+0.75	1.50	2.33
+1	1.37	2.83

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.70	1.09
-1	4.90	1.12
-0.5	2.90	1.33
+1.5	1.25	3.30
+2	1.10	5.40
+2.5	1.08	6.00
+3	1.05	7.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.74	2.00

Next Derde Divisie matches

15 Nov	Hollandia – Hoogeveen
15 Nov	Groene Ster – UDI '19

All Derde Divisie fixtures and the table

Latest Derde Divisie results

14 Nov	Roosendaal 3-4 GOES
14 Nov	Vvsb 2-4 Gemert
14 Nov	ACV 4-0 ADO '20
8 Nov	UNA 0-4 FC Lisse
8 Nov	Blauw Geel 1-0 UDI '19
8 Nov	EVV 0-1 Vvsb