Yagüe vs 
Cenicero• Tercera División RFEF - Group 16, Spain
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 16:16 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.40 | 2.84 | 9.3% |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.75 | 11.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 3.34 | 2.76 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.24 | 3.40 | 2.84 | 9.3% |
| Average | 2.20 | 3.38 | 2.78 | 10.9% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Oct 13:21 UTC
Yagüe
1W 3D 6L · goals 10:20 · per match 1.0 for, 2.0 against
| 27 Sep | A | Haro Deportivo | 0-3 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | River Ebro | 1-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Alfaro | 1-2 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Berceo | 1-2 | L |
| 9 May | H | Calahorra | 4-4 | D |
| 30 Apr | A | Berceo | 0-2 | L |
| 26 Apr | A | Comillas | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Apr | H | UD Logroñés II | 0-3 | L |
| 12 Apr | A | Vianés | 0-1 | L |
| 1 Apr | H | Oyonesa | 2-2 | D |
Cenicero
2W 2D 6L · goals 7:20 · per match 0.7 for, 2.0 against
| 3 Oct | A | Yagüe | 1-2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | River Ebro | 2-3 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Berceo | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Comillas | 0-0 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Varea | 1-1 | D |
| 1 May | H | Varea | 0-1 | L |
| 24 Apr | A | Haro Deportivo | 0-5 | L |
| 14 Apr | H | Oyonesa | 0-4 | L |
| 10 Apr | A | Rapid de Murillo | 1-0 | W |
| 3 Apr | H | Calahorra II | 0-3 | L |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 5:1 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Yagüe
| 6 Feb 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 | Cenicero0-3Yagüe |
| 25 Sep 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 | Yagüe2-1Cenicero |
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 tableTercera: Group 16updated 10 Oct 19:21 UTC
In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 table, Yagüe sit 11th with 6 points from 6 games, while Cenicero are 12th with 5 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haro Deportivo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:6 | +6 | 13 |
| 2 | Berceo | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 | La Calzada | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Alfaro | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 | Pradejón | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 | Calahorra | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:7 | +7 | 9 |
| 7 | Agoncillo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | +4 | 8 |
| 8 | Anguiano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 | Varea | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | San Marcial | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Yagüe | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 6 |
| 12 | Cenicero | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Oyonesa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Comillas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Calasancio | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | River Ebro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:15 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 | Casalarreina | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 3 |
| 18 | Vianés | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 5.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.75 | 1.93 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.80 | 2.00 | 5.6% |
| Average | 1.77 | 1.96 | 7.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 2.11 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.60 | 2.11 | 9.9% |
| Average | 1.60 | 2.11 | 9.9% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Yagüe at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Cenicero at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.19, which imply roughly 50% for a Yagüe win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 table: Yagüe are 11th (6 pts, 5-11 goals), Cenicero 12th (5 pts, 6-7).
Over their last five matches, Yagüe averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Cenicero averaged 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Yagüe or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.20 | 3.38 | 2.78 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.35 | 1.55 | 1.25 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.67 | 2.10 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.60 | 2.11 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.83 | 2.19 | 3.33 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.81 | 12.1 | 2.08 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.20 | 3.72 |
| 2.5 | 1.78 | 1.97 |
| 3.5 | 2.88 | 1.32 |
| 4.5 | 5.50 | 1.08 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 8.50 |
| 1.75 | 1.25 | 3.28 |
| 2 | 1.32 | 2.88 |
| 2.25 | 1.52 | 2.24 |
| 2.75 | 1.92 | 1.71 |
| 3 | 2.28 | 1.50 |
| 3.25 | 2.56 | 1.40 |
| 3.75 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
| 4 | 4.75 | 1.12 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| -0.75 | 2.59 | 1.39 |
| -0.25 | 1.94 | 1.77 |
| 0 | 1.64 | 2.06 |
| +0.25 | 1.46 | 2.38 |
| +0.75 | 1.23 | 3.42 |
6 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8.50 | 1.01 |
| -2 | 8.80 | 1.01 |
| -1.5 | 4.35 | 1.14 |
| -1.25 | 3.92 | 1.18 |
| +1 | 1.10 | 5.00 |
| +1.5 | 1.06 | 6.00 |
Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 results
| 11 Oct | Cenicero 1-3 San Marcial |
| 27 Sep | Berceo 2-1 San Marcial |