Berceo vs 
San Marcial• Tercera División RFEF - Group 16, Spain
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 26 Sep 16:15 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.65 | 3.95 | 8.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.75 | 3.52 | 3.95 | 10.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.60 | 3.90 | 11.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.73 | 3.52 | 3.85 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.78 | 3.65 | 3.95 | 8.9% |
| Average | 1.75 | 3.57 | 3.91 | 10.8% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Sep 11:41 UTC
Berceo
5W 0D 5L · goals 22:15 · per match 2.2 for, 1.5 against
| 20 Sep | A | Cenicero | 1-2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | River Ebro | 7-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | Yagüe | 2-1 | W |
| 10 May | A | Autol | 1-2 | L |
| 30 Apr | H | Yagüe | 2-0 | W |
| 26 Apr | H | UD Logroñés II | 1-2 | L |
| 19 Apr | A | Oyonesa | 0-3 | L |
| 12 Apr | H | Pradejón | 4-1 | W |
| 2 Apr | A | Anguiano | 2-1 | W |
| 28 Mar | H | Haro Deportivo | 2-3 | L |
San Marcial
2W 5D 3L · goals 10:15 · per match 1.0 for, 1.5 against
| 4 Oct | H | River Ebro | 1-1 | D |
| 27 Sep | A | Berceo | 1-2 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Comillas | 1-1 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Varea | 0-0 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Vianés | 1-0 | W |
| 10 May | H | Anguiano | 0-2 | L |
| 3 May | A | Haro Deportivo | 0-0 | D |
| 26 Apr | H | Agoncillo | 4-3 | W |
| 18 Apr | A | Villegas | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Apr | H | Calahorra | 0-4 | L |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 3:4 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Berceo
| 8 Feb 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 | San Marcial1-1Berceo |
| 28 Sep 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 | Berceo2-3San Marcial |
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 tableTercera: Group 16updated 10 Oct 19:21 UTC
In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 table, Berceo sit 2nd with 12 points from 5 games, while San Marcial are 10th with 6 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haro Deportivo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:6 | +6 | 13 |
| 2 | Berceo | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 | La Calzada | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Alfaro | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 | Pradejón | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 | Calahorra | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:7 | +7 | 9 |
| 7 | Agoncillo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | +4 | 8 |
| 8 | Anguiano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 | Varea | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | San Marcial | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Yagüe | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 6 |
| 12 | Cenicero | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Oyonesa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Comillas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Calasancio | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | River Ebro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:15 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 | Casalarreina | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 3 |
| 18 | Vianés | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 5.6% |
| Betano | 1.78 | 1.93 | 8.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.77 | 1.90 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 1.90 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.80 | 2.00 | 5.6% |
| Average | 1.78 | 1.93 | 7.9% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.70 | 1.99 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 1.96 | 9.8% |
| Betano | 1.67 | 1.95 | 11.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.70 | 1.99 | 9.1% |
| Average | 1.69 | 1.97 | 10.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Berceo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and San Marcial at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.64 | 3.67 | 4.45, which imply roughly 27.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 table: Berceo are 2nd (12 pts, 14-5 goals), San Marcial 10th (6 pts, 4-4).
Over their last five matches, Berceo averaged 3.3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; San Marcial averaged 0.7 scored and 0.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or San Marcial.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 3.57 | 3.91 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.18 | 1.89 | 1.21 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.35 | 2.88 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.69 | 1.97 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 2.19 | 4.45 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.56 | 12.3 | 2.50 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.23 | 3.43 |
| 2.5 | 1.78 | 1.93 |
| 3.5 | 2.82 | 1.33 |
| 4.5 | 4.35 | 1.13 |
| 5.5 | 6.50 | 1.05 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 8.40 |
| 1.75 | 1.27 | 3.14 |
| 2 | 1.35 | 2.74 |
| 2.25 | 1.56 | 2.19 |
| 2.75 | 1.96 | 1.70 |
| 3 | 2.28 | 1.50 |
| 3.25 | 2.59 | 1.39 |
| 3.75 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| 4 | 4.60 | 1.13 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.25 | 2.71 | 1.37 |
| -1 | 2.36 | 1.49 |
| -0.75 | 1.96 | 1.74 |
| -0.5 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
| -0.25 | 1.52 | 2.24 |
| 0 | 1.32 | 2.88 |
7 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5.90 | 1.07 |
| -2 | 5.20 | 1.10 |
| -1.75 | 3.74 | 1.19 |
| -1.5 | 2.97 | 1.30 |
| +0.25 | 1.25 | 3.28 |
| +1 | 1.03 | 7.40 |
| +1.5 | 1.02 | 8.30 |
Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 results
| 11 Oct | Cenicero 1-3 San Marcial |
| 3 Oct | Yagüe 2-1 Cenicero |