Cortes vs Izarra• Tercera División RFEF - Group 15, Spain

#150.5:1.50-2FT03/104.0:0.5#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.58PINX3.921XB21.771XBMargin at best3.8%Books4Markets37Rating29 · 71Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 16:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.70	3.70	1.97	4.8%
Betano	3.65	3.45	1.90	9.0%
Bet365	3.70	3.40	1.80	12.0%
Marathonbet	3.62	3.38	1.82	12.2%
Best of all books	3.70	3.70	1.97	4.8%
Average	3.67	3.48	1.87	9.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CortesIzarra

Last 10#15Table position#10.71Points per game2.714Form pts · last 5120.5Goals for · last 54.01.5Goals against · last 50.511Attack rating8925Defence rating7525Form rating7550H2H rating500Goals model029Overall rating71

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Oct 16:51 UTC

Cortes

1W 3D 6L · goals 7:19 · per match 0.7 for, 1.9 against

3 Oct	H	Izarra	0-2	L
26 Sep	H	Pamplona	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Beti Kozkor	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Bidezarra	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	San Juan	0-5	L
9 May	A	Txantrea	1-3	L
3 May	H	Pamplona	0-0	D
26 Apr	A	Cirbonero	2-2	D
18 Apr	H	Atlético Artajonés	1-2	L
12 Apr	A	Subiza	1-4	L

Izarra

6W 2D 2L · goals 26:10 · per match 2.6 for, 1.0 against

26 Sep	H	Beti Kozkor	4-1	W
19 Sep	A	Bidezarra	4-0	W
12 Sep	H	San Juan	4-1	W
5 Sep	A	Cirbonero	4-0	W
6 Jun	A	Pamplona	1-5	L
30 May	H	Pamplona	1-1	D
24 May	H	Subiza	4-0	W
17 May	A	Subiza	0-1	L
9 May	A	Aoiz	4-1	W
3 May	H	Bidezarra	0-0	D

Head to head

1Cortes wins

0draws

1Izarra wins

2 meetings · goals 2:4 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Cortes

24 Jan 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 15	Tercera División RFEF - Group 15	Izarra3-0Cortes
14 Sep 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 15	Tercera División RFEF - Group 15	Cortes2-1Izarra

Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 tableTercera: Group 15updated 22 Oct 17:31 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 table, Cortes sit 15th with 5 points from 7 games, while Izarra are 1st with 19 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Izarra	7	6	1	0	20:3	+17	19
2	Mutilvera	7	5	2	0	11:2	+9	17
3	Beti Kozkor	7	5	1	1	10:5	+5	16
4	Gazte Berriak	7	4	1	2	8:5	+3	13
5	Avance Ezcabarte	7	3	2	2	12:7	+5	11
6	San Juan	7	3	1	3	13:8	+5	10
7	Subiza	7	3	1	3	14:11	+3	10
8	Doneztebe FT	7	2	3	2	14:9	+5	9
9	Aoiz	7	2	3	2	6:5	+1	9
10	Valle Egüés	7	2	3	2	11:11	0	9
11	Beti Onak	7	1	5	1	9:8	+1	8
12	Cirbonero	7	2	2	3	4:12	-8	8
13	Pamplona	7	1	4	2	4:5	-1	7
14	Txantrea	7	1	4	2	4:9	-5	7
15	Cortes	7	1	2	4	2:12	-10	5
16	Huarte	7	0	4	3	5:9	-4	4
17	Bidezarra	7	0	3	4	5:14	-9	3
18	Cantolagua	7	1	0	6	3:20	-17	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.30X25%3.56253%1.70

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.67 → 4.30 +17.2%X3.48 → 3.56 +2.3%21.87 → 1.70 -9.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.00	1.81	5.2%
Bet365	2.08	1.73	5.9%
Marathonbet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Betano	1.95	1.67	11.2%
Best of all books	2.08	1.81	3.3%
Average	2.01	1.72	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.90	1.82	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.80	9.9%
Betano	1.85	1.75	11.2%
Best of all books	1.90	1.82	7.6%
Average	1.86	1.79	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cortes 10%Draw 45%Izarra 45%

The statistical model rated Cortes at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Izarra at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.30 | 3.56 | 1.70, which imply roughly 28.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 table: Cortes are 15th (5 pts, 2-12 goals), Izarra 1st (19 pts, 20-3).

Over their last five matches, Cortes averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Izarra averaged 4 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Izarra.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.67	3.48	1.87

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.82	1.22	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
2.65	1.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
4.32	2.12	2.55

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.47	10.5	1.61

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	5.90
1.5	1.32	2.99
2.5	2.01	1.72
3.5	3.44	1.24
4.5	6.15	1.07

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.80
1.25	1.16	4.15
1.75	1.38	2.62
2	1.50	2.28
2.25	1.78	1.90
2.75	2.30	1.49
3	2.92	1.31
3.25	3.28	1.25
4	6.70	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	3.14	1.27
0	2.70	1.39
+0.25	2.08	1.60
+0.5	1.85	1.87
+0.75	1.58	2.12
+1	1.40	2.65

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1	8.00	1.02
-0.75	4.80	1.12
+1.25	1.27	3.14
+1.5	1.24	3.45
+2	1.04	7.10
+2.5	1.02	8.10

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 matches

23 Oct

Huarte – Avance Ezcabarte

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 fixtures and the table

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 results

11 Oct	Subiza 2-1 Bidezarra
9 Oct	Huarte 0-2 Gazte Berriak
8 Oct	Txantrea 0-0 Cortes
3 Oct	Pamplona 0-0 Huarte
3 Oct	Valle Egüés 0-1 Aoiz
27 Sep	Subiza 2-0 Cirbonero