Subiza vs Cirbonero• Tercera División RFEF - Group 15, Spain

#72.7:2.02-0FT27/090.3:1.7#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.70BFRX3.65BTN24.721XBMargin at best7.4%Books4Markets37Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Sep 00:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.65	3.65	4.85	8.6%
1xBet	1.60	3.60	4.87	10.8%
Bet365	1.62	3.60	4.60	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.58	3.60	4.75	12.1%
Best of all books	1.65	3.65	4.87	8.5%
Average	1.61	3.61	4.77	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SubizaCirbonero

Last 10#7Table position#181.40Points per game0.407Form pts · last 552.7Goals for · last 50.32.0Goals against · last 51.789Attack rating1145Defence rating5567Form rating3362H2H rating3858Goals model4265Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 13:41 UTC

Subiza

3W 2D 5L · goals 14:18 · per match 1.4 for, 1.8 against

3 Oct	A	San Juan	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Cirbonero	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Avance Ezcabarte	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Valle Egüés	5-2	W
5 Sep	A	Gazte Berriak	2-3	L
30 Aug	A	Huesca II	1-4	L
24 May	A	Izarra	0-4	L
17 May	H	Izarra	1-0	W
9 May	A	Beti Kozkor	0-0	D
3 May	A	Peña Sport	1-2	L

Cirbonero

3W 4D 3L · goals 9:12 · per match 0.9 for, 1.2 against

20 Sep	H	Beti Onak	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Txantrea	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Izarra	0-4	L
9 May	H	Valle Egüés	2-0	W
3 May	A	Huarte	0-2	L
26 Apr	H	Cortes	2-2	D
19 Apr	A	Oberena	0-0	D
12 Apr	H	Izarra	1-3	L
1 Apr	A	Bidezarra	2-0	W
29 Mar	H	Txantrea	1-0	W

Head to head

3Subiza wins

2draws

2Cirbonero wins

7 meetings · goals 5:5 · last 7: 3W 2D 2L for Subiza

4 Mar 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 15	Tercera División RFEF - Group 15	Subiza0-1Cirbonero
19 Oct 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 15	Tercera División RFEF - Group 15	Cirbonero1-2Subiza
10 Feb 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 15	Tercera División RFEF - Group 15	Subiza2-0Cirbonero
24 Sep 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 15	Tercera División RFEF - Group 15	Cirbonero0-0Subiza
2 Apr 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 15	Tercera División RFEF - Group 15	Cirbonero0-0Subiza
1 Dec 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 15	Tercera División RFEF - Group 15	Subiza1-0Cirbonero
24 Nov 2019Tercera División RFEF - Group 15	Tercera División RFEF - Group 15	Cirbonero3-0Subiza

Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 tableTercera: Group 15updated 10 Oct 19:21 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 table, Subiza sit 7th with 7 points from 5 games, while Cirbonero are 18th with 2 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Izarra	6	6	0	0	20:3	+17	18
2	Mutilvera	6	4	2	0	8:1	+7	14
3	Beti Kozkor	6	4	1	1	8:4	+4	13
4	Gazte Berriak	6	4	1	1	8:4	+4	13
5	Avance Ezcabarte	6	3	2	1	11:4	+7	11
6	Aoiz	6	2	3	1	5:3	+2	9
7	Subiza	5	2	1	2	11:8	+3	7
8	San Juan	6	2	1	3	9:8	+1	7
9	Doneztebe FT	6	1	3	2	11:8	+3	6
10	Valle Egüés	6	1	3	2	9:10	-1	6
11	Txantrea	6	1	3	2	4:9	-5	6
12	Beti Onak	6	0	5	1	5:8	-3	5
13	Cortes	6	1	2	3	2:8	-6	5
14	Pamplona	6	0	4	2	3:5	-2	4
15	Huarte	6	0	4	2	4:7	-3	4
16	Bidezarra	5	0	3	2	3:9	-6	3
17	Cantolagua	5	1	0	4	3:15	-12	3
18	Cirbonero	5	0	2	3	1:11	-10	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.65X25%3.55220%4.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.61 → 1.65 +2.5%X3.61 → 3.55 -1.7%24.77 → 4.53 -5.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Betano	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Average	1.85	1.85	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.82	9.9%
Betano	1.80	1.80	11.1%
Best of all books	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Average	1.81	1.82	10.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Subiza 45%Draw 45%Cirbonero 10%

The statistical model rated Subiza at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Cirbonero at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.65 | 3.55 | 4.53, which imply roughly 60.6% for a Subiza win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 table: Subiza are 7th (7 pts, 11-8 goals), Cirbonero 18th (2 pts, 1-11).

Over their last five matches, Subiza averaged 2.7 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Cirbonero averaged 0.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Subiza or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.61	3.61	4.77

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.10	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.81	1.82

1st half

1	X	2
2.17	2.16	5.24

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.51	9.15	2.86

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	6.20
1.5	1.26	3.22
2.5	1.85	1.85
3.5	2.98	1.30
4.5	5.35	1.10

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.80
1.75	1.31	2.92
2	1.39	2.59
2.25	1.62	2.09
2.75	2.03	1.63
3	2.43	1.44
3.25	2.74	1.35
3.75	3.70	1.20
4	4.95	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	3.20	1.26
-1.5	2.66	1.37
-1.25	2.36	1.48
-1	2.06	1.64
-0.75	1.78	1.91
-0.25	1.40	2.56

4 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.15	1.10
-2	4.40	1.14
0	1.22	3.50
+0.25	1.17	4.05

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 results

11 Oct	Subiza 2-1 Bidezarra
9 Oct	Huarte 0-2 Gazte Berriak
8 Oct	Txantrea 0-0 Cortes
3 Oct	Cortes 0-2 Izarra
3 Oct	Pamplona 0-0 Huarte
3 Oct	Valle Egüés 0-1 Aoiz