Villanovense vs Azuaga• Tercera División RFEF - Group 14, Spain

#41.0:0.82-0FT11/102.8:0.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.90PINX3.20B36522.70B365Margin at best2.8%Books7Markets34Rating45 · 56Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.85	2.92	2.52	9.0%
Dafabet	2.85	2.90	2.48	9.9%
Pinnacle	2.90	2.88	2.42	10.5%
Bet365	2.40	3.20	2.62	11.1%
William Hill	2.80	2.75	2.50	12.1%
1xBet	2.74	2.91	2.42	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.74	2.91	2.42	12.2%
Best of all books	2.90	3.20	2.62	3.9%
Average	2.75	2.92	2.48	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VillanovenseAzuaga

Last 10#4Table position#11.67Points per game2.507Form pts · last 5151.0Goals for · last 52.80.8Goals against · last 50.426Attack rating7433Defence rating6732Form rating6864H2H rating3632Goals model6845Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 07:30 UTC

Villanovense

5W 1D 4L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against

4 Oct	A	Cabeza Buey	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Montijo	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Villafranca	1-0	W
13 Sep	H	Llerenense	0-1	L
6 Sep	A	Moralo	1-2	L
29 Jul	H	Cacereño	0-2	L
10 May	H	Jaraíz	0-1	L
3 May	A	Montehermoso	3-0	W
26 Apr	H	Jerez	2-0	W
19 Apr	H	Cabeza Buey	3-2	W

Azuaga

6W 2D 2L · goals 19:7 · per match 1.9 for, 0.7 against

4 Oct	H	Guadiana	4-0	W
27 Sep	H	Jerez	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Cabeza Buey	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Montijo	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Villafranca	4-1	W
23 May	A	Moralo	0-0	D
17 May	H	Moralo	0-1	L
10 May	A	Atlético Pueblonuevo	0-1	L
2 May	H	Montijo	4-2	W
26 Apr	A	Moralo	1-1	D

Head to head

2Villanovense wins

1draws

1Azuaga wins

4 meetings · goals 4:1 · last 4: 2W 1D 1L for Villanovense

8 Feb 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 14	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14	Villanovense0-1Azuaga
28 Sep 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 14	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14	Azuaga0-0Villanovense
2 Feb 2020Tercera División RFEF - Group 14	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14	Azuaga0-2Villanovense
15 Sep 2019Tercera División RFEF - Group 14	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14	Villanovense2-0Azuaga

Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 tableGroup 14updated 11 Oct 14:11 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 table, Villanovense sit 4th with 10 points from 6 games, while Azuaga are 1st with 15 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Azuaga	6	5	0	1	14:4	+10	15
2	Moralo	6	4	2	0	12:6	+6	14
3	Castuera	5	4	0	1	13:3	+10	12
4	Villanovense	6	3	1	2	7:4	+3	10
5	Llerenense	4	3	1	0	3:0	+3	10
6	Puebla Calzada	6	2	2	2	9:7	+2	8
7	CD Zafra	5	2	2	1	6:4	+2	8
8	Gévora	5	2	2	1	8:9	-1	8
9	Montijo	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
10	Santa Amalia	5	1	3	1	6:5	+1	6
11	Villafranca	5	2	0	3	7:8	-1	6
12	Cabeza Buey	5	1	2	2	6:6	0	5
13	Quintana	5	1	2	2	2:5	-3	5
14	Jerez	4	1	1	2	4:6	-2	4
15	Jaraíz	5	1	1	3	6:9	-3	4
16	Atlético Pueblonuevo	6	0	3	3	5:15	-10	3
17	Plasencia	5	0	2	3	2:8	-6	2
18	Guadiana	5	0	1	4	2:11	-9	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.75X31%2.92236%2.48

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Pinnacle	2.21	1.61	7.4%
Betano	2.15	1.62	8.2%
1xBet	2.15	1.60	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.15	1.60	9.0%
Best of all books	2.21	1.65	5.9%
Average	2.17	1.62	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.83	1.84	9.0%
Betano	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.81	9.9%
Best of all books	1.85	1.87	7.5%
Average	1.83	1.84	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Villanovense 10%Draw 45%Azuaga 45%

The statistical model rated Villanovense at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Azuaga at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.75 | 2.92 | 2.48, which imply roughly 34.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 table: Villanovense are 4th (10 pts, 7-4 goals), Azuaga 1st (15 pts, 14-4).

Over their last five matches, Villanovense averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Azuaga averaged 2.8 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Azuaga.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.75	2.92	2.48

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.43	1.38	1.32

Draw no bet

1	2
1.87	1.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.83	1.84

1st half

1	X	2
3.46	1.96	3.21

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.04	7.35	2.03

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	6.39
1.5	1.36	2.77
2.5	2.17	1.62
3.5	3.74	1.20
4.5	7.55	1.07
5.5	21.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.07	5.95
1.25	1.21	3.58
1.75	1.45	2.46
2	1.62	2.12
2.25	1.90	1.78
2.75	2.49	1.43
3	3.17	1.28
3.25	3.50	1.22
4	6.95	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.85	1.37
-0.25	2.37	1.49
0	1.94	1.80
+0.25	1.67	2.05
+0.5	1.51	2.39
+0.75	1.32	2.91

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.00	1.06
-1	5.00	1.10
-0.75	3.41	1.24
+1	1.16	4.15
+1.25	1.12	4.64
+1.5	1.10	5.10

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 results

11 Oct

Gévora 1-2 Llerenense