Gévora vs Llerenense• Tercera División RFEF - Group 14, Spain

#111.6:1.81-2FT11/100.8:0.0#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.75B365X3.40B36522.66PINMargin at best3.4%Books7Markets34Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.55	3.20	2.60	8.9%
Dafabet	2.60	3.00	2.65	9.5%
Pinnacle	2.53	3.00	2.66	10.5%
Bet365	2.75	3.40	2.20	11.2%
William Hill	2.62	2.80	2.62	12.1%
1xBet	2.50	3.00	2.57	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.50	3.00	2.57	12.2%
Best of all books	2.75	3.40	2.66	3.4%
Average	2.58	3.06	2.55	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GévoraLlerenense

Last 10#11Table position#21.22Points per game2.338Form pts · last 5131.6Goals for · last 50.81.8Goals against · last 50.073Attack rating270Defence rating10044Form rating560H2H rating1000Goals model10045Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 13:31 UTC

Gévora

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:16 · per match 1.3 for, 1.6 against

4 Oct	A	Moralo	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Atlético Pueblonuevo	3-1	W
20 Sep	A	Quintana	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Plasencia	4-2	W
5 Sep	A	Castuera	0-5	L
8 Aug	A	Cacereño	1-2	L
10 May	A	Badajoz	0-3	L
3 May	H	Atlético Pueblonuevo	1-1	D
26 Apr	A	Montijo	1-0	W
19 Apr	H	Moralo	2-1	W

Llerenense

4W 3D 3L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

27 Sep	A	CD Zafra	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	Jaraíz	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Villanovense	1-0	W
6 Sep	H	Guadiana	1-0	W
9 May	H	Calamonte	3-1	W
1 May	A	Puebla Calzada	1-4	L
26 Apr	H	Jaraíz	1-1	D
19 Apr	A	Montehermoso	2-2	D
12 Apr	H	Villanovense	0-2	L
3 Apr	A	Cabeza Buey	0-1	L

Head to head

0Gévora wins

0draws

2Llerenense wins

2 meetings · goals 1:5 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Gévora

18 Jan 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 14	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14	Gévora1-2Llerenense
7 Sep 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 14	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14	Llerenense3-0Gévora

Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 tableGroup 14updated 8 Nov 03:20 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 table, Gévora sit 11th with 11 points from 9 games, while Llerenense are 2nd with 21 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Azuaga	9	7	1	1	19:7	+12	22
2	Llerenense	9	6	3	0	10:2	+8	21
3	Moralo	9	5	3	1	15:10	+5	18
4	Castuera	9	5	2	2	16:6	+10	17
5	Villanovense	9	5	2	2	14:5	+9	17
6	Puebla Calzada	9	4	2	3	15:11	+4	14
7	Cabeza Buey	9	3	4	2	14:12	+2	13
8	CD Zafra	9	3	3	3	14:10	+4	12
9	Quintana	9	3	3	3	9:8	+1	12
10	Jerez	9	3	3	3	11:13	-2	12
11	Gévora	9	3	2	4	14:16	-2	11
12	Villafranca	9	3	1	5	12:14	-2	10
13	Jaraíz	9	2	3	4	12:12	0	9
14	Santa Amalia	9	1	6	2	9:11	-2	9
15	Plasencia	9	1	5	3	7:12	-5	8
16	Montijo	9	2	2	5	8:14	-6	8
17	Atlético Pueblonuevo	9	0	4	5	10:24	-14	4
18	Guadiana	9	0	1	8	3:25	-22	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.58X30%3.06235%2.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	2.00	1.74	7.5%
Betano	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Best of all books	2.00	1.85	4.1%
Average	1.96	1.76	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Betano	1.75	1.93	9.0%
1xBet	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.73	1.92	9.9%
Best of all books	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Average	1.74	1.95	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gévora 10%Draw 45%Llerenense 45%

The statistical model rated Gévora at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Llerenense at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.58 | 3.06 | 2.55, which imply roughly 32.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 table: Gévora are 11th (11 pts, 14-16 goals), Llerenense 2nd (21 pts, 10-2).

Over their last five matches, Gévora averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Llerenense averaged 0.8 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Llerenense and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.58	3.06	2.55

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.43	1.42	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.96	1.76

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.95

1st half

1	X	2
3.20	2.05	3.18

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.04	9.10	1.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.15
1.5	1.29	3.09
2.5	1.96	1.76
3.5	3.35	1.25
4.5	6.25	1.09
5.5	17.0	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.30
1.25	1.15	4.20
1.75	1.36	2.77
2	1.48	2.39
2.25	1.73	1.96
2.75	2.26	1.54
3	2.75	1.36
3.25	3.08	1.28
4	6.05	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.06	1.30
-0.5	2.49	1.47
-0.25	2.16	1.60
0	1.83	1.90
+0.25	1.61	2.17
+0.5	1.43	2.62

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.40	1.09
-1.25	4.90	1.11
-1	4.40	1.14
+0.75	1.28	3.16
+1	1.13	4.60
+1.5	1.08	5.55

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 matches

8 Nov

Santa Amalia – Guadiana

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 fixtures and the table

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 results

11 Oct

Villanovense 2-0 Azuaga