Águilas II vs Santomera• Tercera División RFEF - Group 13, Spain

#32.0:0.43-0FTToday2.8:0.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.41PINX3.25B36522.26PINMargin at best4.3%Books7Markets40Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.41	2.86	2.26	8.5%
Betano	3.25	3.00	2.22	9.1%
Dafabet	3.25	3.05	2.17	9.6%
Bet365	3.20	3.25	2.05	10.8%
1xBet	3.27	2.97	2.14	11.0%
William Hill	2.90	3.10	2.20	12.2%
Marathonbet	3.18	2.97	2.12	12.3%
Best of all books	3.41	3.25	2.26	4.3%
Average	3.21	3.03	2.17	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Águilas IISantomera

Last 10#3Table position#11.89Points per game2.7813Form pts · last 5152.0Goals for · last 52.80.4Goals against · last 50.642Attack rating5860Defence rating4046Form rating5464H2H rating3651Goals model4953Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 02:30 UTC

Águilas II

4W 6D 0L · goals 16:8 · per match 1.6 for, 0.8 against

8 Nov	A	Bullas Deportivo	3-0	W
1 Nov	H	Algar	2-0	W
24 Oct	A	Los Garres	2-1	W
11 Oct	A	SFC Minerva	2-0	W
4 Oct	H	Unión Molinense	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Santa Cruz	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Bala Azul	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Cotillas CD	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	Alcantarilla	1-1	D
10 May	H	UCAM Murcia II	2-2	D

Santomera

9W 1D 0L · goals 25:8 · per match 2.5 for, 0.8 against

8 Nov	H	Mazarrón FC	1-0	W
1 Nov	A	Olímpico Totana	3-1	W
24 Oct	H	San Javier	4-0	W
10 Oct	H	Balsicas Atlético	3-0	W
4 Oct	A	Atlético Pulpileño	3-2	W
27 Sep	A	Bullas Deportivo	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Algar	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Los Garres	2-2	D
5 Sep	H	UCAM Murcia II	2-1	W
28 Aug	H	Torrellano	3-1	W

Head to head

2Águilas II wins

1draws

1Santomera wins

4 meetings · goals 5:4 · last 4: 2W 1D 1L for Águilas II

28 Mar 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 13	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13	Águilas II2-0Santomera
16 Nov 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 13	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13	Santomera2-2Águilas II
19 Mar 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 13	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13	Santomera2-0Águilas II
20 Oct 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 13	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13	Águilas II1-0Santomera

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 tableTercera: Group 13updated 14 Nov 21:40 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 table, Águilas II sit 3rd with 17 points from 9 games, while Santomera are 1st with 25 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Santomera	9	8	1	0	22:7	+15	25
2	Santa Cruz	10	6	3	1	17:10	+7	21
3	Águilas II	9	4	5	0	14:6	+8	17
4	San Javier	10	4	5	1	15:13	+2	17
5	UCAM Murcia II	10	4	3	3	18:11	+7	15
6	Alcantarilla	10	4	3	3	16:10	+6	15
7	Unión Molinense	10	4	3	3	17:14	+3	15
8	Los Garres	10	4	3	3	11:8	+3	15
9	Bala Azul	10	3	5	2	12:10	+2	14
10	Balsicas Atlético	10	4	1	5	12:16	-4	13
11	Atlético Pulpileño	10	3	3	4	14:15	-1	12
12	Olímpico Totana	9	3	2	4	13:14	-1	11
13	SFC Minerva	10	3	2	5	7:12	-5	11
14	Cotillas CD	9	3	1	5	10:13	-3	10
15	Cartagena LU II	9	2	3	4	14:17	-3	9
16	Mazarrón FC	10	2	1	7	13:18	-5	7
17	Algar	9	2	0	7	6:23	-17	6
18	Bullas Deportivo	10	1	2	7	10:24	-14	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.21X30%3.03242%2.17

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.19 → 3.21 +0.6%X3.22 → 3.03 -5.9%22.07 → 2.17 +4.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	2.02	1.76	6.3%
Betano	1.93	1.78	8.0%
1xBet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Best of all books	2.02	1.85	3.6%
Average	1.96	1.77	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Betano	1.67	2.02	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.73	1.92	9.9%
Best of all books	1.73	2.02	7.3%
Average	1.71	1.97	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Águilas II 45%Draw 45%Santomera 10%

The statistical model rated Águilas II at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Santomera at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.21 | 3.03 | 2.17, which imply roughly 31.2% for a Águilas II win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 table: Águilas II are 3rd (17 pts, 14-6 goals), Santomera 1st (25 pts, 22-7).

Over their last five matches, Águilas II averaged 2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Santomera averaged 2.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Águilas II or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.21	3.03	2.17

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.58	1.28	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
2.32	1.54

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.72	1.97

1st half

1	X	2
3.83	2.04	2.76

2nd half

1	X	2
3.46	2.35	2.47

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.33	14.7	25.3
HT X	7.07	4.83	5.27
HT 2	32.7	14.8	3.43

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.26	8.95	1.79

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.40
1.5	1.29	3.16
2.5	1.96	1.77
3.5	3.22	1.27
4.5	6.15	1.10
5.5	15.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.15	4.20
1.75	1.35	2.82
2	1.47	2.43
2.25	1.72	1.98
2.75	2.23	1.55
3	2.69	1.38
3.25	2.96	1.32
3.75	4.15	1.16
4	5.80	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.31	1.29
-0.25	2.75	1.37
0	2.32	1.53
+0.25	1.87	1.85
+0.5	1.62	2.20
+0.75	1.43	2.54

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.40	1.03
-1	6.25	1.06
-0.75	3.74	1.22
+1	1.26	3.34
+1.25	1.23	3.55
+1.5	1.15	4.20
+2	1.01	8.40

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 matches

15 Nov

Cotillas CD – Algar

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 fixtures and the table

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 results

14 Nov	Bala Azul 0-0 Los Garres
14 Nov	Mazarrón FC 1-0 Balsicas Atlético
8 Nov	Los Garres 2-0 Cotillas CD
8 Nov	Santomera 1-0 Mazarrón FC