Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Mercadal• Tercera División RFEF - Group 11, Spain

#11.6:0.011:00Tomorrow0.8:2.0#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.30B365X5.50BTN213.81XBMargin at best2.4%Books7Markets48Rating75 · 25Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.21	5.50	12.5	8.8%
Pinnacle	1.21	5.37	11.5	10.0%
Dafabet	1.20	5.20	13.0	10.3%
William Hill	1.22	4.80	13.0	10.5%
Bet365	1.30	4.50	8.50	10.9%
1xBet	1.18	5.20	13.8	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.18	5.20	12.8	11.8%
Best of all books	1.30	5.50	13.8	2.4%
Average	1.21	5.11	12.1	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ibiza Islas PitiusasMercadal

Last 10#1Table position#152.40Points per game0.9011Form pts · last 541.6Goals for · last 50.80.0Goals against · last 52.067Attack rating33100Defence rating073Form rating27100H2H rating085Goals model1575Overall rating25

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 19:30 UTC

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas

7W 3D 0L · goals 16:2 · per match 1.6 for, 0.2 against

11 Nov	H	Arenal	2-0	W
7 Nov	A	Alcúdia	3-0	W
1 Nov	H	Constància	0-0	D
24 Oct	A	Santanyí	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Inter Ibiza	3-0	W
4 Oct	H	Formentera	2-0	W
26 Sep	A	Andratx	0-0	D
20 Sep	H	Sineu	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Migjorn	3-1	W
6 Sep	H	Platges Calvià	2-1	W

Mercadal

2W 3D 5L · goals 10:17 · per match 1.0 for, 1.7 against

7 Nov	H	PE Sant Jordi	1-1	D
31 Oct	A	Llosetense	0-2	L
24 Oct	H	Porreres	1-5	L
18 Oct	A	Cardassar	2-1	W
10 Oct	A	Alcúdia	0-1	L
3 Oct	H	Constància	1-3	L
26 Sep	A	Santanyí	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Arenal	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Inter Ibiza	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Formentera	1-1	D

Head to head

2Ibiza Islas Pitiusas wins

0draws

0Mercadal wins

2 meetings · goals 5:0 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas

11 May 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 11	Tercera División RFEF - Group 11	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas3-0Mercadal
20 Jan 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 11	Tercera División RFEF - Group 11	Mercadal0-2Ibiza Islas Pitiusas

Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 tableTercera: Group 11updated 14 Nov 21:30 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 table, Ibiza Islas Pitiusas sit 1st with 24 points from 10 games, while Mercadal are 15th with 9 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	10	7	3	0	16:2	+14	24
2	Platges Calvià	11	8	0	3	22:10	+12	24
3	Manacor	10	6	3	1	22:10	+12	21
4	Constància	11	5	5	1	18:8	+10	20
5	Porreres	10	6	0	4	15:10	+5	18
6	Santanyí	10	4	5	1	12:6	+6	17
7	PE Sant Jordi	9	4	4	1	16:10	+6	16
8	Llosetense	10	5	1	4	11:11	0	16
9	Formentera	10	4	3	3	13:9	+4	15
10	Cardassar	10	4	2	4	18:14	+4	14
11	Binissalem	10	4	2	4	16:15	+1	14
12	Alcúdia	10	4	0	6	13:18	-5	12
13	Sineu	11	3	2	6	12:19	-7	11
14	Andratx	11	2	4	5	15:20	-5	10
15	Mercadal	10	2	3	5	10:17	-7	9
16	Migjorn	11	1	3	7	11:24	-13	6
17	Arenal	11	1	2	8	7:23	-16	5
18	Inter Ibiza	11	1	2	8	6:27	-21	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg175%1.21X18%5.1127%12.2

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.60	2.21	7.7%
Betano	1.70	2.02	8.3%
1xBet	1.63	2.03	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.03	10.6%
Best of all books	1.85	2.21	-0.7%
Average	1.68	2.05	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.20	1.62	7.2%
Betano	2.55	1.44	8.7%
1xBet	2.39	1.49	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.39	1.47	9.9%
Best of all books	2.55	1.62	0.9%
Average	2.38	1.50	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 50%Draw 50%Mercadal 0%

The statistical model rates Ibiza Islas Pitiusas at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Mercadal at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.21 | 5.11 | 12.15, which imply roughly 82.6% for a Ibiza Islas Pitiusas win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 table: Ibiza Islas Pitiusas are 1st (24 pts, 16-2 goals), Mercadal 15th (9 pts, 10-17).

Over their last five matches, Ibiza Islas Pitiusas averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Mercadal averaged 0.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Ibiza Islas Pitiusas or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.21	5.11	12.2

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.03	3.90	1.11

Draw no bet

1	2
1.09	6.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.38	1.51

1st half

1	X	2
1.66	2.45	10.0

2nd half

1	X	2
1.45	3.10	9.76

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.74	25.7	98.7
HT X	3.68	7.37	22.7
HT 2	23.0	26.3	20.7

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.19	9.30	5.70

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	9.65
1.5	1.20	3.90
2.5	1.68	2.05
3.5	2.56	1.43
4.5	4.38	1.15
5.5	8.00	1.06

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.28	3.14
2.25	1.45	2.45
2.75	1.77	1.89
3	2.01	1.67
3.25	2.25	1.53
3.75	2.92	1.32
4	3.74	1.19
4.25	4.05	1.16
5	7.20	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	2.50	1.43
-2.25	2.26	1.52
-2	2.04	1.68
-1.75	1.79	1.87
-1.5	1.70	2.03
-1.25	1.54	2.32

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4	7.60	1.03
-3.5	4.45	1.14
-3	3.84	1.18
-2.75	2.92	1.32
-1	1.28	3.13
-0.75	1.23	3.42
0	1.04	8.45

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 matches

15 Nov

Manacor – Alcúdia

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 fixtures and the table

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 results

14 Nov	Platges Calvià 0-2 Santanyí
14 Nov	Andratx 0-0 Formentera
14 Nov	Binissalem 2-2 Constància
11 Nov	Manacor 3-0 Inter Ibiza
11 Nov	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2-0 Arenal
8 Nov	Porreres 0-1 Llosetense