Aretxabaleta vs Pasaia KE• Tercera División RFEF - Group 4, Spain

#80.8:0.64-2FT11/101.4:1.2#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.05WHX3.30BTN23.35BTNMargin at best8.9%Books7Markets43Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.05	3.30	3.35	8.9%
Dafabet	2.00	3.30	3.35	10.2%
Pinnacle	2.05	3.18	3.29	10.6%
1xBet	2.01	3.22	3.32	10.9%
Bet365	2.00	3.25	3.25	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.99	3.22	3.24	12.2%
William Hill	2.05	3.00	3.30	12.4%
Best of all books	2.05	3.30	3.35	8.9%
Average	2.02	3.21	3.30	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AretxabaletaPasaia KE

Last 10#8Table position#41.60Points per game2.008Form pts · last 5100.8Goals for · last 51.40.6Goals against · last 51.236Attack rating6467Defence rating3344Form rating5675H2H rating2522Goals model7851Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 13:41 UTC

Aretxabaleta

4W 2D 4L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against

3 Oct	A	Lagun Onak	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Derio	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	Durango	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Beasain	0-0	D
5 Sep	A	Touring	1-0	W
9 May	H	Zamudio	3-1	W
3 May	A	Santurtzi	1-2	L
26 Apr	H	Real Sociedad III	2-5	L
15 Apr	A	Pasaia KE	2-3	L
11 Apr	H	Lagun Onak	2-1	W

Pasaia KE

4W 2D 4L · goals 10:19 · per match 1.0 for, 1.9 against

3 Oct	H	Santurtzi	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	San Ignacio	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Real Sociedad III	3-2	W
13 Sep	A	Leioa	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Erandio	0-2	L
9 May	A	Eibar III	0-3	L
3 May	H	Añorga	0-1	L
25 Apr	A	Durango	0-0	D
15 Apr	H	Aretxabaleta	3-2	W
12 Apr	A	Zamudio	0-7	L

Head to head

3Aretxabaleta wins

0draws

1Pasaia KE wins

4 meetings · goals 8:5 · last 4: 3W 0D 1L for Aretxabaleta

15 Apr 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Pasaia KE3-2Aretxabaleta
14 Dec 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Aretxabaleta1-0Pasaia KE
23 Feb 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Aretxabaleta2-1Pasaia KE
12 Oct 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Pasaia KE1-3Aretxabaleta

Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 tableTercera: Group 4updated 10 Oct 19:21 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 table, Aretxabaleta sit 8th with 8 points from 5 games, while Pasaia KE are 4th with 10 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Aurrerá Vitoria	5	4	1	0	10:4	+6	13
2	Derio	6	3	3	0	8:3	+5	12
3	Real Sociedad III	6	3	2	1	11:8	+3	11
4	Pasaia KE	5	3	1	1	7:6	+1	10
5	Leioa	5	2	3	0	12:6	+6	9
6	San Ignacio	6	2	2	2	10:8	+2	8
7	Touring	6	2	2	2	7:6	+1	8
8	Aretxabaleta	5	2	2	1	4:3	+1	8
9	Sodupe	6	2	2	2	5:9	-4	8
10	Deportivo Alavés III	5	2	1	2	11:6	+5	7
11	Durango	6	1	4	1	9:9	0	7
12	Beasain	6	2	1	3	7:8	-1	7
13	Lagun Onak	6	2	1	3	6:9	-3	7
14	Erandio	5	2	0	3	6:6	0	6
15	Santurtzi	6	2	0	4	3:7	-4	6
16	Eibar III	6	1	2	3	9:10	-1	5
17	R. Union B	6	1	2	3	7:12	-5	5
18	Amurrio Club	6	0	1	5	1:13	-12	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.02X28%3.21227%3.30

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.00 → 2.02 +1.0%X3.18 → 3.21 +0.9%23.43 → 3.30 -3.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.92	1.84	6.4%
Betano	1.90	1.80	8.2%
1xBet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.90	1.82	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Betano	1.72	1.95	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.95	9.8%
Best of all books	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Average	1.72	1.97	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aretxabaleta 45%Draw 45%Pasaia KE 10%

The statistical model rated Aretxabaleta at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Pasaia KE at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.02 | 3.21 | 3.30, which imply roughly 49.5% for a Aretxabaleta win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 table: Aretxabaleta are 8th (8 pts, 4-3 goals), Pasaia KE 4th (10 pts, 7-6).

Over their last five matches, Aretxabaleta averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Pasaia KE averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Aretxabaleta or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.02	3.21	3.30

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.26	1.67	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.50	2.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.72	1.97

1st half

1	X	2
2.63	2.11	3.89

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.73	9.25	2.31

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.03
1.5	1.27	3.22
2.5	1.90	1.82
3.5	3.13	1.28
4.5	5.70	1.09
5.5	13.0	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.80
1.25	1.15	4.20
1.75	1.32	2.92
2	1.42	2.53
2.25	1.66	2.06
2.75	2.12	1.61
3	2.53	1.42
3.25	2.84	1.34
3.75	3.90	1.18
4	5.35	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.98	1.33
-0.75	2.34	1.51
-0.5	2.04	1.72
-0.25	1.77	1.95
0	1.50	2.41
+0.25	1.37	2.79

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.10	1.02
-2.25	7.00	1.10
-2	7.00	1.06
-1.75	4.50	1.19
-1.5	3.72	1.22
-1.25	3.33	1.27
+0.5	1.31	3.26
+0.75	1.18	4.07
+1	1.09	6.05
+1.25	1.12	6.25
+1.5	1.06	7.00