Liverpool W vs Aston Villa W• WSL Cup, England

3.7:3.319:00Today · St Helens Stadium, St Helens2.3:0.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62BTNX4.75B36524.60BFRMargin at best4.5%Books10Markets62Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L54.9

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Nov 12:28 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.61	4.10	4.60	8.2%
Pinnacle	1.57	4.19	4.48	9.9%
Betfair	1.55	4.20	4.60	10.1%
Bet365	1.53	4.75	4.10	10.8%
1xBet	1.56	4.00	4.60	10.8%
Betano	1.62	3.85	4.30	11.0%
William Hill	1.57	3.90	4.40	12.1%
Marathonbet	1.54	4.00	4.50	12.2%
SBO	1.54	3.63	4.00	17.5%
BetVictor	1.50	3.50	4.00	20.2%
Best of all books	1.62	4.75	4.60	4.5%
Average	1.56	4.01	4.36	12.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Liverpool WAston Villa W

Last 101Form pts · last 583.7Goals for · last 52.33.3Goals against · last 50.555Attack rating4517Defence rating8333Form rating6740H2H rating600Goals model10038Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Nov 19:00 UTC

Liverpool W

3W 1D 6L · goals 20:25 · per match 2.0 for, 2.5 against

8 Nov	H	Arsenal W	1-2	L
1 Nov	A	West Ham W	1-4	L
25 Oct	H	London City Lionesses W	2-2	D
21 Oct	H	Manchester United W	3-5	L
18 Oct	A	Aston Villa W	1-2	L
3 Oct	A	Manchester United W	0-1	L
30 Sep	A	Birmingham City W	4-3	W
27 Sep	H	Everton W	2-0	W
23 Sep	H	Sunderland W	4-2	W
18 Sep	A	Manchester City W	2-4	L

Aston Villa W

5W 3D 2L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

8 Nov	H	Manchester United W	0-1	L
1 Nov	A	Arsenal W	1-1	D
28 Oct	H	Birmingham City W	1-1	D
25 Oct	A	Everton W	3-2	W
21 Oct	A	Burnley W	2-0	W
18 Oct	H	Liverpool W	2-1	W
4 Oct	H	Crystal Palace W	1-1	D
30 Sep	H	Newcastle United W	3-1	W
27 Sep	A	Tottenham Hotspur W	0-4	L
23 Sep	A	Nottingham Forest W	2-0	W

Head to head

4Liverpool W wins

2draws

4Aston Villa W wins

10 meetings · goals 18:15 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Liverpool W

18 Oct 2026FA WSL	FA WSL	Aston Villa W2-1Liverpool W
8 Feb 2026FA WSL	FA WSL	Liverpool W4-1Aston Villa W
11 Dec 2025FA WSL	FA WSL	Aston Villa W3-0Liverpool W
30 Mar 2025FA WSL	FA WSL	Liverpool W1-2Aston Villa W
3 Nov 2024FA WSL	FA WSL	Aston Villa W1-2Liverpool W
3 Mar 2024FA WSL	FA WSL	Aston Villa W1-4Liverpool W
8 Oct 2023FA WSL	FA WSL	Liverpool W2-0Aston Villa W
21 May 2023FA WSL	FA WSL	Aston Villa W3-3Liverpool W
6 Nov 2022FA WSL	FA WSL	Liverpool W0-1Aston Villa W
13 Oct 2021WSL Cup	WSL Cup	Liverpool W1-1Aston Villa W

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.56X22%4.01220%4.36

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.77 → 1.56 -11.9%X3.56 → 4.01 +12.6%23.67 → 4.36 +18.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Pinnacle	1.49	2.44	8.1%
Betfair	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Betano	1.55	2.22	9.6%
1xBet	1.49	2.30	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.30	10.6%
BetVictor	1.42	2.02	19.9%
Best of all books	1.55	2.44	5.5%
Average	1.50	2.29	10.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
William Hill	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.20	10.0%
BetVictor	1.44	1.95	20.7%
Best of all books	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Average	1.54	2.15	11.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Liverpool W 10%Draw 45%Aston Villa W 45%

The statistical model rates Liverpool W at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Aston Villa W at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.56 | 4.01 | 4.36, which imply roughly 24.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Liverpool W averaged 3.7 goals scored and 3.3 conceded per game; Aston Villa W averaged 2.3 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Aston Villa W and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.56	4.01	4.36

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.12	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.24

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.54	2.15

1st half

1	X	2
2.03	2.38	4.45

2nd half

1	X	2
1.90	2.77	4.27

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.36	14.9	37.3
HT X	4.63	6.67	10.0
HT 2	17.7	14.9	7.49

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.48	18.5	2.63

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.5
1.5	1.13	4.48
2.5	1.50	2.29
3.5	2.24	1.52
4.5	3.84	1.17
5.5	6.44	1.05

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.20
1.75	1.22	3.50
2	1.25	3.23
2.25	1.33	2.70
2.75	1.59	2.06
3	1.77	1.85
3.25	1.99	1.62
3.75	2.53	1.38
4	3.22	1.27
4.25	3.58	1.21
5	6.60	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.44	1.41
-1.25	2.17	1.52
-1	1.92	1.73
-0.75	1.71	1.95
-0.5	1.62	2.05
-0.25	1.38	2.54

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.90	1.02
-3	8.50	1.01
-2.5	4.60	1.13
-2	3.88	1.18
-1.75	3.03	1.30
0	1.25	3.21
+0.25	1.22	3.67
+1	1.01	9.00
+1.5	1.03	8.85

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.09	4.90
7.5	1.27	3.14
8.5	1.54	2.27
9.5	1.94	1.81
10.5	2.46	1.46
11.5	3.35	1.24
12.5	4.89	1.10

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.12	4.43
8	1.35	2.80
9	1.70	2.03
10	2.20	1.59
11	3.03	1.30
12	4.50	1.12
13	7.18	1.01

Next WSL Cup matches

11 Nov	Birmingham City W – Sunderland W
11 Nov	Everton W – Durham W
11 Nov	Tottenham Hotspur W – Crystal Palace W
11 Nov	Charlton Athletic W – Ipswich Town W
11 Nov	Brighton W – Watford W

All WSL Cup fixtures and the table

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