Vélez Sársfield Res. vs San Lorenzo Res.• Reserve League, Argentina

#11.8:0.418:00Today1.6:1.6#22

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.44BTNX4.34PIN27.021XBMargin at best6.7%Books8Markets52Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 00:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.41	4.34	7.00	8.2%
Dafabet	1.41	4.20	6.60	9.9%
Betano	1.44	4.00	6.20	10.6%
1xBet	1.37	4.20	7.02	11.0%
Bet365	1.40	4.00	6.50	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.36	4.20	6.65	12.4%
William Hill	1.40	3.90	6.50	12.5%
BetVictor	1.33	3.60	5.75	20.4%
Best of all books	1.44	4.34	7.02	6.7%
Average	1.39	4.05	6.53	11.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Vélez Sársfield Res.San Lorenzo Res.

Last 10#1Table position#222.35Points per game1.3311Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 51.60.4Goals against · last 51.653Attack rating4780Defence rating2052Form rating4860H2H rating4075Goals model2563Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:40 UTC

Vélez Sársfield Res.

6W 4D 0L · goals 16:2 · per match 1.6 for, 0.2 against

29 Oct	A	Instituto Res.	2-0	W
21 Oct	A	River Plate Res.	1-1	D
15 Oct	H	Racing Club Res.	4-0	W
8 Oct	A	Sarmiento Res.	1-0	W
1 Oct	H	Argentinos Juniors Res.	1-1	D
22 Sep	H	Ferro 2	4-0	W
15 Sep	A	Aldosivi Res.	1-0	W
8 Sep	H	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	0-0	D
1 Sep	A	Unión Santa Fe Res.	0-0	D
25 Aug	H	Atlético Tucumán Res.	2-0	W

San Lorenzo Res.

4W 1D 5L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

28 Oct	H	River Plate Res.	0-3	L
22 Oct	A	Racing Club Res.	3-2	W
15 Oct	H	Sarmiento Res.	1-1	D
8 Oct	A	Argentinos Juniors Res.	1-0	W
29 Sep	H	Aldosivi Res.	3-2	W
22 Sep	H	Huracán Res.	0-2	L
16 Sep	A	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	0-2	L
9 Sep	H	Unión Santa Fe Res.	0-1	L
2 Sep	A	Atlético Tucumán Res.	1-2	L
26 Aug	H	Godoy Cruz Res.	3-0	W

Head to head

5Vélez Sársfield Res. wins

1draws

2San Lorenzo Res. wins

8 meetings · goals 13:6 · last 8: 5W 1D 2L for Vélez Sársfield Res.

4 Jun 2026Reserve League	Reserve League	San Lorenzo Res.0-1Vélez Sársfield Res.
8 Aug 2025Reserve League	Reserve League	San Lorenzo Res.1-0Vélez Sársfield Res.
6 Jul 2025Reserve League	Reserve League	Vélez Sársfield Res.3-1San Lorenzo Res.
13 Mar 2025Reserve League	Reserve League	Vélez Sársfield Res.2-1San Lorenzo Res.
18 Jul 2024Reserve League	Reserve League	San Lorenzo Res.2-1Vélez Sársfield Res.
8 Feb 2024Reserve League	Reserve League	Vélez Sársfield Res.3-0San Lorenzo Res.
28 Apr 2023Reserve League	Reserve League	San Lorenzo Res.1-1Vélez Sársfield Res.
10 Oct 2022Reserve League	Reserve League	Vélez Sársfield Res.2-0San Lorenzo Res.

Reserve League tableAperturaupdated 4 Nov 02:50 UTC

In the Reserve League table, Vélez Sársfield Res. sit 1st with 47 points from 20 games, while San Lorenzo Res. are 22nd with 24 points from 18.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Vélez Sársfield Res.	20	15	2	3	42:13	+29	47
2	Boca Juniors Res.	20	12	3	5	36:12	+24	39
3	Racing Club Res.	21	11	6	4	33:26	+7	39
4	River Plate Res.	21	11	4	6	29:20	+9	37
5	Independiente Res.	19	11	3	5	38:19	+19	36
6	Lanús Res.	19	11	2	6	40:27	+13	35
7	Newell's Old Boys Res.	19	10	4	5	27:18	+9	34
8	Quilmes 2	18	10	3	5	20:12	+8	33
9	Defensa y Justicia Res.	18	9	5	4	38:24	+14	32
10	Atlético Tucumán Res.	19	9	3	7	26:28	-2	30
11	Unión Santa Fe Res.	18	7	8	3	23:19	+4	29
12	Estudiantes La Plata Res	18	8	4	6	25:16	+9	28
13	Argentinos Juniors Res.	18	7	7	4	24:18	+6	28
14	Belgrano Córdoba Res.	18	8	3	7	27:29	-2	27
15	Talleres Córdoba Res.	18	7	5	6	27:21	+6	26
16	Huracán Res.	18	7	5	6	23:17	+6	26
17	Rosario Central Res.	18	7	5	6	25:22	+3	26
18	Platense Res.	18	7	5	6	17:20	-3	26
19	Deportivo Riestra Res.	18	7	4	7	25:18	+7	25
20	Independiente Riva. Res.	18	7	3	8	23:23	0	24
21	Instituto Res.	18	5	9	4	20:21	-1	24
22	San Lorenzo Res.	18	6	6	6	22:24	-2	24
23	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	18	6	5	7	19:17	+2	23
24	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	18	6	5	7	16:19	-3	23
25	Banfield Res.	18	6	5	7	14:18	-4	23
26	Ferro 2	18	6	4	8	20:23	-3	22
27	Central Córdoba SdE Res.	18	5	4	9	21:33	-12	19
28	Colón Res.	18	5	3	10	15:23	-8	18
29	Aldosivi Res.	18	5	3	10	17:28	-11	18
30	Barracas Central Res.	18	4	5	9	11:24	-13	17
31	Sarmiento Res.	18	4	4	10	16:26	-10	16
32	Tigre Res.	18	4	4	10	15:25	-10	16
33	Godoy Cruz Res.	18	4	3	11	20:30	-10	15
34	Atl. Rafaela 2	18	3	3	12	21:36	-15	12
35	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	18	2	5	11	9:32	-23	11
36	San Martín San Juan Res.	18	2	2	14	16:59	-43	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.39X22%4.06214%6.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.84	1.95	5.6%
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Betano	1.78	1.87	9.7%
BetVictor	1.63	1.70	20.2%
Best of all books	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Average	1.78	1.87	9.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.05	1.67	8.7%
1xBet	1.99	1.70	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.68	9.8%
BetVictor	1.80	1.55	20.1%
Best of all books	2.05	1.70	7.6%
Average	1.96	1.65	11.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vélez Sársfield Res. 45%Draw 45%San Lorenzo Res. 10%

The statistical model rates Vélez Sársfield Res. at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and San Lorenzo Res. at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.39 | 4.06 | 6.53, which imply roughly 71.9% for a Vélez Sársfield Res. win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Reserve League table: Vélez Sársfield Res. are 1st (47 pts, 42-13 goals), San Lorenzo Res. 22nd (24 pts, 22-24).

Over their last five matches, Vélez Sársfield Res. averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; San Lorenzo Res. averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Vélez Sársfield Res. or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.39	4.06	6.53

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.07	2.58	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
1.12	4.37

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.96	1.65

1st half

1	X	2
1.87	2.25	6.51

2nd half

1	X	2
1.72	2.65	6.12

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.10	19.3	62.0
HT X	3.97	6.03	13.7
HT 2	22.0	20.2	11.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.37	11.0	3.44

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	7.48
1.5	1.21	3.21
2.5	1.78	1.87
3.5	2.78	1.29
4.5	4.75	1.08
5.5	12.0	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.30
1.75	1.29	3.10
2	1.36	2.61
2.25	1.56	2.11
2.75	1.96	1.67
3	2.28	1.47
3.25	2.66	1.39
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.75	1.12

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.42	1.42
-1.5	2.09	1.57
-1.25	1.87	1.76
-1	1.66	2.01
-0.75	1.45	2.34
-0.5	1.34	2.61

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.60	1.03
-3	6.90	1.04
-2.5	3.88	1.18
-2	3.07	1.26
-0.25	1.24	3.34
0	1.10	5.10
+0.25	1.08	5.65
+1.5	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.38	2.70
9	1.49	2.36
9.5	1.80	1.89
10	1.96	1.72
10.5	2.25	1.54
11	2.77	1.37

Next Reserve League matches

4 Nov	Gimnasia La Plata Res. – Gimnasia Mendoza 2
4 Nov	Unión Santa Fe Res. – Godoy Cruz Res.
4 Nov	Aldosivi Res. – Barracas Central Res.

All Reserve League fixtures and the table

Latest Reserve League results

3 Nov	River Plate Res. 2-1 Tigre Res.
3 Nov	Lanús Res. 4-2 Atl. Rafaela 2
3 Nov	Sarmiento Res. 0-2 Banfield Res.
3 Nov	Newell's Old Boys Res. 2-2 Independiente Res.
3 Nov	Argentinos Juniors Res. 1-8 Talleres Córdoba Res.
3 Nov	Independiente Riva. Res. 1-4 Estudiantes La Plata Res