Rosario Central Res. vs Sarmiento Res.• Reserve League, Argentina

#171.4:1.418:00Today1.0:1.0#31

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.70WHX3.60B36524.75BFRMargin at best7.7%Books9Markets43Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 04:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.70	3.53	4.52	9.3%
Dafabet	1.69	3.60	4.40	9.7%
Betfair	1.62	3.60	4.75	10.6%
1xBet	1.64	3.54	4.66	10.7%
Bet365	1.67	3.60	4.33	10.8%
Betano	1.70	3.45	4.30	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.62	3.54	4.55	12.0%
William Hill	1.70	3.25	4.40	12.3%
BetVictor	1.57	3.13	4.10	20.0%
Best of all books	1.70	3.60	4.75	7.7%
Average	1.66	3.47	4.45	11.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Rosario Central Res.Sarmiento Res.

Last 10#17Table position#311.44Points per game0.898Form pts · last 551.4Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 51.058Attack rating4242Defence rating5862Form rating38100H2H rating047Goals model5360Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 16:30 UTC

Rosario Central Res.

4W 4D 2L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against

20 Oct	A	Argentinos Juniors Res.	2-1	W
14 Oct	H	Aldosivi Res.	1-1	D
6 Oct	A	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	2-2	D
30 Sep	H	Unión Santa Fe Res.	2-0	W
24 Sep	A	Newell's Old Boys Res.	0-3	L
16 Sep	A	Atlético Tucumán Res.	1-0	W
10 Sep	H	Godoy Cruz Res.	0-3	L
3 Sep	A	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	2-1	W
27 Aug	H	Barracas Central Res.	2-2	D
19 Aug	A	Talleres Córdoba Res.	2-2	D

Sarmiento Res.

2W 5D 3L · goals 10:9 · per match 1.0 for, 0.9 against

20 Oct	H	Tigre Res.	1-1	D
15 Oct	A	San Lorenzo Res.	1-1	D
8 Oct	H	Vélez Sársfield Res.	0-1	L
1 Oct	A	River Plate Res.	0-1	L
23 Sep	H	Atl. Rafaela 2	3-1	W
15 Sep	H	Racing Club Res.	0-1	L
9 Sep	A	Instituto Res.	2-2	D
1 Sep	A	Argentinos Juniors Res.	1-1	D
25 Aug	H	Aldosivi Res.	0-0	D
19 Aug	A	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	2-0	W

Head to head

5Rosario Central Res. wins

0draws

0Sarmiento Res. wins

5 meetings · goals 9:1 · last 5: 5W 0D 0L for Rosario Central Res.

28 May 2026Reserve League	Reserve League	Sarmiento Res.0-2Rosario Central Res.
27 Aug 2025Reserve League	Reserve League	Sarmiento Res.0-1Rosario Central Res.
1 Apr 2025Reserve League	Reserve League	Rosario Central Res.2-0Sarmiento Res.
4 Mar 2023Reserve League	Reserve League	Rosario Central Res.2-0Sarmiento Res.
8 Jul 2022Reserve League	Reserve League	Sarmiento Res.1-2Rosario Central Res.

Reserve League tableAperturaupdated 26 Oct 16:30 UTC

In the Reserve League table, Rosario Central Res. sit 17th with 26 points from 18 games, while Sarmiento Res. are 31st with 16 points from 18.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Vélez Sársfield Res.	20	15	2	3	42:13	+29	47
2	Boca Juniors Res.	20	12	3	5	36:12	+24	39
3	Racing Club Res.	21	11	6	4	33:26	+7	39
4	River Plate Res.	21	11	4	6	29:20	+9	37
5	Independiente Res.	19	11	3	5	38:19	+19	36
6	Lanús Res.	19	11	2	6	40:27	+13	35
7	Newell's Old Boys Res.	19	10	4	5	27:18	+9	34
8	Quilmes 2	18	10	3	5	20:12	+8	33
9	Defensa y Justicia Res.	18	9	5	4	38:24	+14	32
10	Atlético Tucumán Res.	19	9	3	7	26:28	-2	30
11	Unión Santa Fe Res.	18	7	8	3	23:19	+4	29
12	Estudiantes La Plata Res	18	8	4	6	25:16	+9	28
13	Argentinos Juniors Res.	18	7	7	4	24:18	+6	28
14	Belgrano Córdoba Res.	18	8	3	7	27:29	-2	27
15	Talleres Córdoba Res.	18	7	5	6	27:21	+6	26
16	Huracán Res.	18	7	5	6	23:17	+6	26
17	Rosario Central Res.	18	7	5	6	25:22	+3	26
18	Platense Res.	18	7	5	6	17:20	-3	26
19	Deportivo Riestra Res.	18	7	4	7	25:18	+7	25
20	Independiente Riva. Res.	18	7	3	8	23:23	0	24
21	Instituto Res.	18	5	9	4	20:21	-1	24
22	San Lorenzo Res.	18	6	6	6	22:24	-2	24
23	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	18	6	5	7	19:17	+2	23
24	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	18	6	5	7	16:19	-3	23
25	Banfield Res.	18	6	5	7	14:18	-4	23
26	Ferro 2	18	6	4	8	20:23	-3	22
27	Central Córdoba SdE Res.	18	5	4	9	21:33	-12	19
28	Colón Res.	18	5	3	10	15:23	-8	18
29	Aldosivi Res.	18	5	3	10	17:28	-11	18
30	Barracas Central Res.	18	4	5	9	11:24	-13	17
31	Sarmiento Res.	18	4	4	10	16:26	-10	16
32	Tigre Res.	18	4	4	10	15:25	-10	16
33	Godoy Cruz Res.	18	4	3	11	20:30	-10	15
34	Atl. Rafaela 2	18	3	3	12	21:36	-15	12
35	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	18	2	5	11	9:32	-23	11
36	San Martín San Juan Res.	18	2	2	14	16:59	-43	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.65X26%3.50220%4.42

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.65 → 1.65 0.0%X3.60 → 3.50 -2.8%24.33 → 4.42 +2.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	2.01	1.79	5.6%
1xBet	1.92	1.76	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.76	8.9%
Betano	1.78	1.87	9.7%
BetVictor	1.73	1.61	19.9%
Best of all books	2.01	1.87	3.2%
Average	1.89	1.76	9.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.86	1.81	9.0%
William Hill	1.80	1.85	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.78	9.9%
BetVictor	1.70	1.65	19.4%
Best of all books	1.86	1.85	7.8%
Average	1.81	1.77	11.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rosario Central Res. 45%Draw 45%Sarmiento Res. 10%

The statistical model rates Rosario Central Res. at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sarmiento Res. at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.65 | 3.50 | 4.42, which imply roughly 60.6% for a Rosario Central Res. win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Reserve League table: Rosario Central Res. are 17th (26 pts, 25-22 goals), Sarmiento Res. 31st (16 pts, 16-26).

Over their last five matches, Rosario Central Res. averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Sarmiento Res. averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Rosario Central Res. or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.66	3.47	4.45

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.00	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.26	3.07

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.81	1.77

1st half

1	X	2
2.21	2.13	4.86

2nd half

1	X	2
2.03	2.44	4.54

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.65	16.3	43.3
HT X	4.45	5.37	9.52
HT 2	22.7	16.7	7.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.54	9.25	2.81

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	6.90
1.5	1.25	2.97
2.5	1.89	1.77
3.5	3.10	1.23
4.5	5.35	1.06
5.5	15.0	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.80
1.75	1.35	2.80
2	1.44	2.35
2.25	1.67	1.95
2.75	2.13	1.55
3	2.55	1.38
3.25	3.01	1.31
3.75	4.10	1.16
4	5.70	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.76	1.32
-1.25	2.46	1.41
-1	2.15	1.55
-0.75	1.82	1.81
-0.5	1.62	1.98
-0.25	1.42	2.40

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.80	1.07
-2	5.00	1.10
-1.75	3.50	1.22
0	1.24	3.23
+0.25	1.18	3.90
+1.5	1.02	9.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.85	1.85

Next Reserve League matches

27 Oct	Independiente Res. – Defensa y Justicia Res.
27 Oct	Platense Res. – Lanús Res.
27 Oct	Banfield Res. – Argentinos Juniors Res.
27 Oct	Talleres Córdoba Res. – Aldosivi Res.

All Reserve League fixtures and the table

Latest Reserve League results

22 Oct	Godoy Cruz Res. 1-1 Instituto Res.
22 Oct	Unión Santa Fe Res. 1-1 Barracas Central Res.
22 Oct	Racing Club Res. 2-3 San Lorenzo Res.
22 Oct	Huracán Res. 1-0 Boca Juniors Res.
22 Oct	Atlético Tucumán Res. 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza 2
22 Oct	Deportivo Riestra Res. 3-1 Central Córdoba SdE Res.